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Clément Macchi indicated that a forthcoming barometer placed Marine Le Pen's popularity at its highest historical level. He also noted a strong increase for David Lisnard, now at one point behind Édouard Philippe in popularity, as well as a positive trend for almost all right-wing personalities. On the left, Raphaël Glucksmann was, according to him, continuing to make progress. #Politique #Élections2024 #Popularité (translated)

Clément Macchi wrote that the updated figures from Cluster 17 showed, according to him, that centrist voters prioritized preventing LFI from accessing power more than RN. He indicated that 43% of the French wanted to prevent LFI and its allies from governing first, compared to 30% for RN. This proportion reached 55 to 56% among the voters of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe, and 25% among those of Raphaël Glucksmann and François Hollande. #politique #France #élections (translated)

Clément Macchi indicated that Marine Le Pen and Raphaël Glucksmann had the lowest voting impossibility rate, at 52% each, down by 4 and 1 points respectively. According to the figures he relayed from Cluster 17 and Politico, the rejection of Jean-Luc Mélenchon reached 69% (+3 points), while it also increased for Gabriel Attal, to 59% (+3), and Édouard Philippe, to 56% (+1). #Politique #Élections #France (translated)

Clément Macchi wrote that Glucksmann's electorate had become so centrist that, according to a poll scheduled for the next day, 25% of his voters would prefer to block LFI rather than RN if they absolutely had to choose. https://t.co/9wiZe9pWkO #politique #élections #sondage (translated)

Clément Macchi reported the results of the eighth wave of the 2027 presidential election survey conducted by Harris Interactive France with RTL France. He indicated that Marine Le Pen was gathering 70% against Jean-Luc Mélenchon (30%), with respective increases of 3 points and decreases of 3 points. Against Raphaël Glucksmann, she obtained 59% compared to 41%, results reported as new. Against Édouard Philippe, she was credited with 57% (+1) against 43% (-1). https://t.co/ibJgqxkrlQ #Présidentielle2027 #Politique #Élections (translated)

Clément Macchi reported the results of the eighth wave of a poll on the 2027 presidential election conducted by Harris Interactive and RTL France. According to him, Le Pen remained well in the lead, with 33 to 35%, while Mélenchon, credited with 17 to 19%, qualified for the second round in all scenarios. He also indicated that the central bloc was still struggling. Tested for the first time, Lisnard garnered 7 to 8% and was ahead of Retailleau by three points, who was credited with 4 to 5%, when the two appeared in the same scenario. Macchi added that the LR candidate was going through a difficult period and that Zemmour was ahead of or matched him in three out of five scenarios. #Présidentielle2027 #Vote #Politique (translated)

Clément Macchi wrote that Lisnard had, for the first time, a clear lead over Retailleau. He indicated that the LR candidate, whom he deemed to be in difficulty, was even trailing Zemmour in one of the scenarios, while Mélenchon was slightly declining. For the second round, Macchi stated that Le Pen was reaching unprecedented levels regardless of her opponent and was surpassing even the results recorded by Ifop. #Politique #Élections2022 #France (translated)

Clément Macchi published the figures from the third wave of a hypothesis for the 2027 presidential election conducted by OpinionWay with CNEWS. He indicated Le Pen at 36% (+1), Mélenchon at 16% (+1), Glucksmann at 13% (stable), Philippe at 12% (stable), Retailleau at 6% (stable), Lisnard at 6% (+2), Attal at 4% (-1), and Zemmour at 4% (-1). https://t.co/JQ30wgSy6B #Présidentielle2027 #Politique #Sondage (translated)

Clément Macchi cited a figure published following October 17, according to which 61% of the French believed they now had to ensure their own protection, as law enforcement could no longer protect them, according to them. He attributed this figure to Elabe and BFMTV. https://t.co/HAjcQ9v3yJ #France #Sécurité #Société (translated)

Clément Macchi announced that an upcoming publication would show that following October 17th, more than 6 out of 10 French people were considering protecting themselves by their own means. He added that more than two-thirds blamed LFI for contributing to an environment conducive to violence. According to him, Le Pen, Retailleau, and Lisnard were at the top of the personalities whom the French trusted the most to protect them from looting. #France #Sécurité #Violences (translated)

Clément Macchi reported, regarding an Ifop Opinion poll for Le Figaro published on October 17 about the 2027 presidential election, that Marine Le Pen reached up to 38%. He indicated that Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualified for the second round in all scenarios, with 15 to 20%. Édouard Philippe, he wrote, was struggling at 15% when he was alone in the center, after losing 6 points over three waves. Raphaël Glucksmann maintained between 12 and 16%, while David Lisnard declined to 5.5% and reached 7% in the absence of Bruno Retailleau. #Présidentielle2027 #politique #sondages (translated)

Clément Macchi relayed figures for five second-round duels of the 2027 presidential election in a publication dated October 17, associating Ifop Opinion, Le Figaro, LCI, and Sud Radio. According to these figures, Marine Le Pen received 56% against Édouard Philippe (up 4 points), 57% against Raphaël Glucksmann (+2), 58% against Gabriel Attal (+4), 59% against François Hollande (+5), and 68% against Jean-Luc Mélenchon (+1). The scores of her opponents were 44%, 43%, 42%, 41%, and 32%, respectively. https://t.co/4cKGqw8iD7 #Présidentielle2027 #LePen #Politique (translated)

Clément Macchi expressed his astonishment that the statement continues to receive so many "likes." He wrote that no one had won the legislative elections of 2024 and that the NFP had come in first with less than 200 seats out of 577, before being overtaken by a coalition of ENS/LR. He also noted that Emmanuel Macron's mistake had been not to appoint a left-wing Prime Minister first, who would have been immediately censured, in order to then justify Barnier's appointment, adding that he agreed with this analysis. #politique #élections #Macron (translated)

Clément Macchi relayed a presidential hypothesis for 2027 in which David Lisnard would be the candidate for the right and the center. According to the figures he published, Marine Le Pen would obtain 35.5%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 20.5%, David Lisnard 17%, and Raphaël Glucksmann 16%. Éric Zemmour would gather 4%, while Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Fabien Roussel, and Marine Tondelier would each obtain 2%. Macchi indicated that the survey was conducted by Cluster17 with Le Point on October 14 and 15. #Présidentielle2027 #Politique #Élections (translated)

Clément Macchi wrote that Marine Le Pen was watching the street and that 40% were waiting for her in the first round the following week. He added that she could run the worst campaign of her life while gaining two points each week. https://t.co/STXk2Gy8zI #LePen #Élections2023 #Politique (translated)

Clément Macchi indicated that, according to figures from Elabe and BFMTV, more than two out of three French people supported the mobilization on October 17, while 17% opposed it. He reported that support reached 92% among supporters of LFI, 80% among those of the PS, 76% among environmentalists, 74% among supporters of the RN and sovereignists, 68% among people without a political preference, 53% among Emmanuel Macron's voters in 2022, 50% among LR supporters, and 43% among RE supporters. https://t.co/IqBCPp4F1S #Mobilisation #Sondage #Politique (translated)

Clément Macchi wrote that some militant supporters of a candidate were very aggressive when he put forward a hypothesis about another left candidate. He claimed that Glucksmann was progressing without taking votes away from Mélenchon and urged these supporters to relax. #politique #gauche #France (translated)