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Karina Michelin stated that Nikolas Ferreira had published a video which, in her view, exposed the poverty and lack of basic services faced by people from the Northeast despite decades of political promises. She said that Lula da Silva built part of his public image based on his Pernambuco origins, fighting hunger, and the promise to improve the lives of the poorest. Michelin reported that people interviewed in the video described hardships, illnesses, and suffering that, according to her, spanned generations. She also claimed that the promises made by Lula in 2002 remained similar to those of 2026 and that, in her view, the Northeast should not only be remembered during elections. She argued that the Northeastern population should have a central role in the change and that their basic rights should be guaranteed. #Nordeste #Lula #Eleições2026 (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that, on Monday, October 19, a large crowd dressed in green and yellow took to the streets of Manaus and that, two days earlier, thousands of people in Piauí had prayed the Our Father. She described the scenes as part of the mobilization of people demanding change in the country and supporting Flávio Bolsonaro in the final stretch of the presidential campaign. According to Michelin, faith, patriotism, popular participation, and civism marked the manifestations of the Brazilian right. #Patriotismo #Manifestações #Civismo (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that on the same day the Federal Police's request to investigate Flávio Bolsonaro was made public, which was sent to Minister Alexandre de Moraes, Lula threatened his opponent during the Band debate on October 18, with statements about possible judicial consequences. According to her, the PF's representation, forwarded to the Supreme Federal Court, dealt with suspicions of money laundering and connections with those investigated in the INSS scandal. The request was randomly assigned to Moraes, who was to decide on opening the inquiry. Michelin also reported that Roberta Luchsinger, who is being investigated in the INSS case, told CNN Brazil that she intended to negotiate a plea deal involving Lulinha. Luchsinger accused Lula of using state apparatus against her and stated that she would hold the president responsible if anything happened to her or her two daughters. Regarding the Banco Master case, involving Daniel Vorcaro, Michelin mentioned his allegations that attempts at plea collaboration had been blocked when references to Lula came up. The author claimed that the disclosure of a possible investigation against a presidential candidate on the eve of the second round, combined with Lula's statements in the debate, raised concerns about prosecutorial judicial decisions in the final stretch of the dispute. She advocated for vigilance and transparency and said it was unacceptable for Republic institutions to be instrumentalized to pursue opponents, interfere with the popular will, or remove an opposition candidate from the race through judicial means on the eve of the election. #PolíticaBrasil #Justiça #Eleições2023 (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that images from the Trianon-Masp station on Avenida Paulista showed protesters arriving at a protest in São Paulo on Sunday, October 18. She described a large presence of green and yellow in the area, seven days before the second round of the presidential elections. https://t.co/28IzVlLgsg #Eleições2022 #SãoPaulo #Manifestações (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that Flávio Bolsonaro was interviewed by Renata Lo Prete on Globo on October 16, nine days before the second round. According to her, he confronted Lula, criticized the Supreme Federal Court, and presented government proposals. Michelin reported that the interview addressed Banco Master and suspicions involving Alexandre de Moraes. When asked about Kassio Nunes Marques, nominated by Jair Bolsonaro and mentioned in messages from Daniel Vorcaro, Flávio stated that the law should apply to everyone. He invoked Law 1.079, advocated for the impeachment of ministers, and accused Moraes of acting as Lula's political strategist in Brasília. In the area of security, Flávio announced that he intended to gather commanders of the Armed Forces and police chiefs in January to combat drug trafficking. He also stated that he would seek to classify Comando Vermelho, PCC, and militias as narcoterrorist organizations, strengthen surveillance at the Port of Santos and borders, including the Amazon, and join the Shield of the Americas to share intelligence information. Regarding the outcome of the elections, he said he would respect it. Flávio also stated that the first round indicated a desire for change and criticized Lula's government for violence against women, family indebtedness, wildfires, and business closures. At the end of the interview, according to Michelin, he committed to not promising what he could not fulfill, to restore purchasing power, and to return safety to the streets. Michelin stated that Flávio declared himself ready for the Presidency and described his candidacy as a project from God. She also wrote that the debate between him and Lula was scheduled for October 18 on TV Bandeirantes, presenting the contest as a confrontation between two projects for the country. #Brasil #Política #Eleições2023 (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that aerial images showed the "Bloquinho do 22," held on Thursday, October 15, in Capelinha, in the north of Minas Gerais, a city with about 40,000 inhabitants. She stated that the scale of the mobilization demonstrated the strength of popular support for Flávio Bolsonaro ten days before the presidential runoff. #BloquinhoDo22 #Capelinha #Eleição2022 (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that, in an election year, the so-called "fiscal extravagance" of the Lula government would amount to R$ 354 billion. According to her, with 11 days until the second round, Lula continued to announce billion-dollar promises while Brazilians were being pressured by taxes. Michelin said that the survey included expenses, credits, subsidies, and tax waivers and that the bill would be paid by the workers. She also criticized the lack of cuts to privileges and the reduction of the public machinery. #Lula #Economia #Impostos (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that Edson Fachin received the Federal Police's director-general, Andrei Rodrigues, on Tuesday, October 13, and demanded that all mentions of STF ministers in the investigations be gathered. According to her, Fachin also established that any investigation against members of the Court would depend on authorization from the plenary, after a manifestation from the PGR. Michelin classified the decision as contradictory and stated that, in 2022, the STF itself had decided that a rapporteur could authorize investigations against state judges without approval from the collegiate. She added that, faced with suspicions involving the judiciary's leadership, it would be up to the ministers themselves to decide whether the investigations could proceed. #STF #Justiça #Direitos (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that, on Monday, October 12, Flávio Bolsonaro's electoral program was broadcast without audio on television, while Lula's was transmitted normally afterwards. According to her, Flávio's campaign claimed to have delivered the material with sound and checked the content before the transmission. Michelin recalled that, according to her description, the generation of the national signal was the responsibility of a pool of broadcasters installed at the headquarters of the Superior Electoral Court in Brasília, which distributed the content via satellite. She questioned at what stage the audio might have been lost and who would be responsible, in addition to raising the hypothesis of sabotage. The author said she presented a video comparing the silent transmission with the original version of the program, with audio. She also stated that the incident harmed the fairness of the competition and the right of voters to know Flávio's proposals, which, according to her, had been the target of false news. Michelin requested clarifications, the disclosure of the transmission records, and compensation for the lost time. #Eleições2023 #Brasil #Justiça (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that images of the pro-Lula act on Avenida Paulista showed vandalism, graffiti, and a burning United States flag. She compared the scenes to the coverage of January 8, when, as she wrote, the press broadcast the events in real time and published immediate condemnations. Michelin questioned why Folha, O Globo, and UOL did not give the images from Avenida Paulista similar prominence, with cover photographs and headlines that classified the acts as terrorist or coup-related. She suggested that the difference in treatment could be related to the political identity of those involved. The author also pointed out similarities between the episodes, such as the presence of hooded groups, vandalism, and intimidation, and said that this reinforced the hypothesis of infiltration of violent groups among peaceful protesters on January 8. Finally, she stated that innocent Bolsonaro supporters had been arrested and cruelly convicted and expressed outrage at the possibility that those responsible for the vandalism on Avenida Paulista had not yet been identified or punished. #Imprensa #Vandalismo #GuerrilhaUrbana (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that on Sunday, October 11, the Amazon was still burning and that the smoke in Manaus was affecting residents, while classes were suspended and firefighters were working at their limit. She also reported that a firefighter became ill during the firefighting efforts and had to be carried by colleagues. Michelin said that the Amazon Fire Department requested reinforcements from the federal government on September 18, including four aircraft, transportation, and vehicles. According to her, on October 1, the National Public Security Secretariat, linked to the Lula government, responded that the request could not be met at that moment. The author stated that the federal government claimed the state had waived support and cited 229 extinguished fires and another 20 still being fought. She said the aircraft began to arrive on October 10, following a wave of complaints on social media. The author compared the current mobilization with that of 2021, during the Bolsonaro government, when Caetano Veloso, Gilberto Gil, Maria Bethânia, and Chico César participated in the song "Canção pra Amazônia," by Greenpeace. She questioned the absence of a similar mobilization in light of the situation of residents and firefighters. Michelin called Lula and the Amazonas government hypocrites and demanded explanations about who had denied or waived help and when reinforcements arrived at the fire line. She also stated that human and animal lives threatened by smoke should take precedence over political disputes. #Amazônia #Incêndios #MeioAmbiente (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that the cover of the October 10 to 16 edition of *The Economist* featured the phrase “The Bolsonaros are back” and that the editorial described Brazil as a right-wing country. According to her, the magazine, which had made severe criticisms of Jair Bolsonaro, did not express support for the family but acknowledged a political shift in the country. Michelin wrote that after the first round, Flávio Bolsonaro entered the decisive race ahead of Lula, with about 47% of the valid votes against 45%. She said that the magazine considered him the favorite for October 25 and projected his victory. The author also attributed to the publication the assessment that the PL expanded its presence in the Senate and the Chamber, while the right consolidated its space in the largest electoral colleges. According to Michelin, the magazine linked Lula's decline to the cost of living, debt, fiscal difficulties, scandals, and the loss of strength of his discourse among young people. Michelin stated that the dominance of the PT faced a rupture that, in her view, could not be explained solely by anti-PT sentiment or by the figure of Jair Bolsonaro. Although Lula was still contesting the presidency and the ballots of October 25 would provide the final result, she concluded that the right was not a passing wave and that Brazilians had brought the Bolsonaros back. #Brasil #Política #Eleições (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that images from an assembly at the Federal University of Paraná (UFPR) in Curitiba showed speeches against Flávio Bolsonaro and in defense of Lula's reelection. She said that organizations had announced more than 40 acts at universities across the country and criticized statements that, according to her, advocated for the radicalization of activism and referenced the kidnapping of an ambassador during the dictatorship. Michelin recalled that American ambassador Charles Burke Elbrick was kidnapped in 1969 by members of the ALN and MR-8, and not by the National Union of Students (UNE). She also classified predictions about a potential victory of Flávio Bolsonaro as false and alarmist, stating that the remarks about loss of rights and threats to democracy did not present concrete measures to support them. She mentioned that she did not question the right of students to protest or support candidates but criticized speeches that, in her view, replaced arguments with slogans and romanticized armed struggle. Michelin advocated for universities to shape professionals, researchers, and free citizens and stated that glorifying guerrilla practices and treating opponents as enemies denied democracy. #Educação #Democracia #Política (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that a large-scale fire destroyed laboratories and research at the Federal University of Pernambuco (UFPE) on the night of Wednesday, October 7. According to her, the rector Alfredo Macedo Gomes estimated the damages at R$ 100 million. The author said that, before the conclusion of an investigation into the origin of the flames, the case was already politically associated with supporters of Flávio Bolsonaro. She linked this association to the circulation of anonymous screenshots with threats attributed to Bolsonaro supporters, released by elected federal deputy Jones Manoel from the PSOL party. According to Michelin, he announced that he would request investigations from the Federal Police and the Federal Public Ministry, but there was no confirmed identification of the authors, public authentication of the conversations, or evidence presented that linked the threats to the fire. Michelin also mentioned protests organized by university entities at UFPE on October 6, following the results of the first round, which, according to her, consolidated the advance of the right in Congress. The author questioned who produced and published the screenshots and why political accusations emerged before the conclusion of the investigations. She argued that the hypothesis of a "false flag" should be investigated, including the possible fabrication of political accusations, and stated that using anonymous messages to politically condemn someone without proof could escalate tensions in the country before the second round. #IncêndioUFPE #LiberdadeAcadêmica #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Karina Michelin stated that the PT had adopted, in the second round, a strategy of repeating information that it considered false. According to her, Janja posted a video on Tuesday, October 6, about what could happen if Flávio Bolsonaro were elected, but the predictions were not included in the government plan. Michelin said that the document outlined the program "Brasil por Elas," which included shelters, daycare centers, professional training, credit, and electronic ankle bracelets for aggressors. She also stated that the plan proposed measures against criminal factions, asset blocking, border reinforcement, and the construction of five maximum-security federal prisons. The author added that the plan did not provide for the end of the Popular Pharmacy or a workweek of seven days. Regarding international relations, she said that the document defended national sovereignty and ties with the United States, China, Europe, and Asia. Michelin also stated that Janja, Gleisi Hoffmann, André Janones, and other leftist figures intensified their activity on social media after a meeting with Lula, held after an electoral defeat she described as significant. She said that campaigning and criticizing opponents was legitimate, but accused the mentioned individuals of lying about the content of the plan and recommended that readers consult the document. #PolíticaBrasil #Eleições2022 #Desinformação (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that a CNN report released on Tuesday, October 6, pointed out that a faction of the Supreme Court (STF) was seeking dialogue with bolsonarism after the election, in light of the new composition of the Senate and the possibility of impeachment of ministers. According to the investigation by Jussara Soares and Caio Junqueira, cited by Michelin, Flávio Bolsonaro’s circle reportedly identified signs of a possible negotiation to spare ministers of the Court in exchange for the review of Jair Bolsonaro's imprisonment and the acceptance of amnesty for those convicted for January 8. Michelin stated that the PL party rejected the proposal and, according to CNN, did not intend to negotiate the permanence of Alexandre de Moraes in the STF. The party was reportedly working to promote his impeachment in 2027. In the PL's calculations, there would be 49 favorable votes for his removal in the new Senate, five less than the 54 considered necessary. Flávio Dino was also on the party's radar, depending on his actions. Michelin added that, according to Caio Junqueira, Michel Temer's support for Flávio Bolsonaro was interpreted as one of the first gestures to establish bridges. Temer appointed Moraes to the STF in 2017 and, according to the report she cited, would be a political link between the minister and the Bolsonaro family. The author noted that the impeachment of STF ministers has become an explicit electoral agenda for Flávio Bolsonaro and that the right also concentrated efforts on the election of senators, who are responsible for processing and judging Supreme Court ministers for crimes of responsibility. Michelin argued that any attempt at an agreement would have to take into account that millions of Brazilians voted to change the balance of power in the Senate. She advocated for Brasília to respect the electoral results, reestablish limits between the branches of government, and seek to pacify the country. #Brasil #Política #STF (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that Garotinho (Republicans) had given up on the appeal to the TSE and that Douglas Ruas (PL) should be declared governor-elect of Rio de Janeiro still in the first round. She classified the case as yet another defeat for lulopetism and stated that Eduardo Paes had been defeated by the right, despite, according to her, offering weight-loss medications to the people of Rio. #RioDeJaneiro #Eleições2023 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that the 2026 elections provoked a significant change in the Senate, whose new composition would take office in February 2027. Of the 54 seats up for election, 40 would be occupied by new senators. According to her, the PL elected 19 names and would have 28 of the 81 seats, the largest party caucus at the beginning of a legislature since the 1988 Constitution. Michelin stated that the new Senate would have 49 right-wing lawmakers, 16 center, and 16 left, while the absolute majority required 41 votes. She also cited a survey from Folha indicating that at least 49 senators had already expressed support for the impeachment of Supreme Court ministers — five fewer than the 54 votes needed for a conviction. The author noted that these numbers did not signify automatic removal and said that the presidency of the Senate would be decisive. Under Davi Alcolumbre, dozens of requests against Supreme ministers had not advanced, she wrote. She recalled that Alcolumbre stated in September that there were 109 requests involving members of the Court. Michelin highlighted Rogério Marinho as one of the candidates to preside over the House and stated that he had presented a proposal to establish a deadline for analyzing impeachment requests. She also wrote that some of the elected senators campaigned advocating limits on the actions of the Supreme and the accountability of ministers for any abuse of power. According to the author, the 49 votes from the same ideological camp could allow the approval of matters by absolute majority and, if there was unity, reach the three-fifths needed to approve PECs in the Senate. She assessed that the electoral result had changed the correlation of forces in the House and could lead to discussions on issues that had remained paralyzed. #Eleições2026 #Senado #PolíticaBrasil (translated)

Karina Michelin wrote that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva had amassed and thrown the Brazilian flag in front of journalists and photographers after voting on Sunday, October 4, in São Bernardo do Campo. According to her, the scene was broadcast live and began to circulate on social media. Michelin stated that after voting, Lula spoke to the press about democracy, popular sovereignty, and respect for the election results, and said that Brazilians would have to choose between strengthening the democratic regime and barbarism. She also reported that, according to backstage information, members of his campaign were alarmed by the video’s repercussions. A team member reportedly assessed that the gesture could cost votes. #Lula #Eleições2023 #Democracia (translated)

Há algo profundamente repugnante na transformação da fé de milhões de brasileiros em arma eleitoral. E foi exatamente a esse ponto que chegou a campanha infame de Lula na reta final: Nossa Senhora Aparecida foi arrastada para o centro da disputa, enquanto Lula passou a explorar uma falsa narrativa envolvendo Flávio Bolsonaro e a alimentar um confronto entre católicos e evangélicos. Uma mentira já desmentida virou combustível de uma campanha ignóbil. Flávio Bolsonaro não apresentou projeto para retirar de Nossa Senhora Aparecida o título de Padroeira do Brasil. A proposta era de Victorio Galli, de 2007, e foi arquivada em 2008. Mendonça, no TSE, classificou como “notoriamente inverídica” a afirmação de que Flávio ou sua família pretendam retirar o título da santa. Mais sórdido: enquanto Lula explora essa falsa narrativa, desapareceu do portal de seu governo o registro oficial da consagração do Brasil à Padroeira realizada por Jair Bolsonaro. Mesmo assim, Lula continuou. Quando Adriana Araújo, da Record News, o interrompeu ao vivo - “Mas foi uma fake news, né, presidente?”- Lula respondeu: “Eu não sei se foi fake news”. E justificou: “O dado concreto é que isso está na rede social muito forte”. Desde quando uma mentira repetida nas redes deixa de ser mentira? Agora veio Belém: Lula ergueu uma imagem religiosa no palanque e declarou que ninguém iria “avacalhar” Nossa Senhora Aparecida enquanto fosse presidente. Segundo a CNN, numa roda de petistas durante um jantar de apoio a Lula, a frase “Tanto esforço para recuperar esta eleição e quem vai fazer esse milagre é a santa” provocou risadas. É difícil imaginar cinismo maior do que transformar uma mentira em estratégia e a santa em “milagre” eleitoral. Nossa Senhora Aparecida não é instrumento de campanha; evangélicos não são inimigos a serem contrapostos aos católicos. Usar uma falsidade já desmentida para incendiar uma divisão religiosa e explorar a fé como instrumento eleitoral ultrapassa a baixaria política. Lula está reduzindo a fé a um cálculo de urna - e esse show de horrores merece repúdio. Maria passa à frente, pisa na cabeça da serpente… #Fé #Política #FakeNews