Daniel

Daniel stated that Lula was very lucid on the eve of turning 81 years old. In comparison, he said that Joe Biden, at the same age in 2024, was slow and seemed distracted, which, according to Daniel, was reflected in the June debate when Biden seemed mentally absent. Daniel described Lula as being in great shape. #Lula #Política #Idade (translated)

Daniel cited results of 51-49 from PoderData and Quaest and 50.5-49.5 from Palver. He said that the numbers indicated very solid votes, difficult to change sides, but also a more heated contest than he expected and a more competitive campaign from Flávio. For the Datafolha survey scheduled for that day, he bet on 51-49. #Eleições2024 #Polls #Brasil (translated)

Daniel described a "avalanche" from the right in the Senate and in the states, as well as a much better performance in the presidential race. He stated that this time, no one was talking about fraud as in 2022 and that members of the right trusted the electronic voting machines. #Política #Eleições #Brasil (translated)

Daniel published his final projection for the first round of the 2026 presidential election, in valid votes: Lula would have 45.4%, Flávio Bolsonaro 44.3%, and the other candidates together 10.3%. For a possible second round, he projected 51.0% for Flávio Bolsonaro and 49.0% for Lula. #Eleições2026 #Brasil #Política (translated)