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Nacho Montes de Oca stated that the sequence of events reflected, in his opinion, a plan for Donald Trump to favor Vladimir Putin, in which each had an assigned role. He also claimed that Ukraine was fighting both its adversary and the one who was supposed to arbitrate the conflict, whom he accused of attacking it from behind. #Trump #Putin #Ucrania (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca pointed out that, according to preliminary data published by Europress, the attack in Kharkiv in which children died had been carried out with a Geran-3 drone. He added that Ukraine was using high-speed interceptors to pursue such projectiles and that these were directly affected by the automatic speed limit imposed by the United States on satellite service. He also stated that there was no prior alert for victims to seek shelter, as had happened on other occasions. #Ucrania #Drones #Seguridad (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca stated that, despite the promise to restore the early warning system, the United States once again failed to inform Ukraine of the launch of a Russian attack against its cities. He noted that there were dead, injured, and damage to homes and energy facilities, and argued that Donald Trump had already chosen a side. #Ucrania #Rusia #AlertaTemprana (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca wrote that Trump had said the war wasn't ending because Ukraine didn't want to end it and that he wouldn't act against Putin because, according to his words, he was "helping very little" Iran. He added that Trump had also talked about diesel, Biden, and money, and suggested identifying which ocean he claimed Ukraine had lost. https://t.co/X6Aq3qoaJ1 #Trump #Ucrania #Geopolítica (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca stated that Ukraine launched a massive long-range drone attack against St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region overnight. According to his post, the impacts hit a oil terminal and the main data center of VKontakte, as well as causing fires in several districts. He added that regional authorities reported the downing of dozens of drones and that restrictions at Pulkovo Airport delayed or canceled at least 46 flights. Montes de Oca noted that the terminal had an annual capacity of about 12.5 million tons and was an important point for transporting fuels via the Baltic and supplying the Russian fleet that exported crude oil. Although, according to him, the damage only affected part of the facilities, he stated that the fire in tanks and pumping systems temporarily suspended 100% of loading operations. He estimated that repairs would reduce Russian logistical capacity to export diesel by 15% to 20% for several weeks. Regarding VKontakte, which according to Montes de Oca had over 95 million active monthly users, the author stated that the data center provided communication, video, and access to public platforms, and was also integrated into state systems for education, health, and e-government. He added that NetBlocks recorded a drop in platform traffic to 56% of its normal level, about 44% less. In his analysis, the attack added to previous ones against Yandex data centers in Sasovo, Kaluga, and Vladímir, and could affect digital and state services. Montes de Oca indicated that the Ruchyi depot could store 114,000 cubic meters of fuel and supplied heavy and rail transport of the Leningrad Military District. He also stated that the Baltic ports supported Russian exports of crude and its derivatives. According to his post, Russia aimed to export between 3 and 3.5 million tons of diesel per month by the end of 2026, more than 10% of the global market, and damage to terminals and refineries would limit its income and export capacity. The author said that the offensive weakened the energy truce driven by Donald Trump and that Kiev had warned it would respond if Russia continued attacking Ukrainian infrastructure. He added that Secretary of State Marco Rubio had confirmed that Starshield was not operating in Ukraine nor had it been enabled to guide Ukrainian drones over Russian territory, so, according to Montes de Oca, it was not used in the attack. #Ucrania #SanPetersburgo #GuerraUcrania (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca wrote that Tesla and SpaceX stocks fell after a measure against Ukraine was announced, despite the success that, according to him, Elon Musk's flying car presentation had. He suggested that the declines could also be due to other events. According to Montes de Oca, the Italian government halted negotiations to contract Starlink services for $1.63 billion, amidst the controversy over the reliability of the service and repeated threats and incidents of signal cuts in Ukraine. He also noted that Germany had accelerated the development of its own constellation of sovereign military satellites. He added that Valérie Hayer, president of Renew Europe, and Andrius Kubilius, EU defense commissioner, had advocated for the urgent need for a European alternative to Starlink. The author stated that Democratic and Republican senators had sent a letter to the Defense Department's inspector general demanding an urgent investigation into the restrictions imposed on the network. He said this could affect SpaceX's contracts with the U.S. government, which he estimated at $29.68 billion. Of that total, he indicated, $8.05 billion corresponded to new military contracts awarded and based on Starshield, the company's military division. Montes de Oca maintained that Musk's accusations against Donald Trump and Trump's response— where he denied being responsible and also said he didn't believe Musk was responsible— had harmed the conglomerate's reputation. He attributed the drop in SpaceX's stocks to a loss of $28.6 billion for Musk. He also estimated that Tesla's decline between October 13 and 16, 2026, had reduced its market capitalization by between $35 billion and $38 billion. To those losses, he added the revenues that, in his opinion, could cease to be obtained from the Italian contract and agreements with other countries interested in the system. Finally, he noted that it remained to be seen whether Musk would maintain a strategy that, as he wrote, imitated Trump's aggressive stance towards Ukraine and Volodymyr Zelensky, or if investor pressure would lead him to change his decision. He also stated that support for Vladimir Putin had a high and self-destructive cost. #Tesla #SpaceX #Ucrania (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca claimed that Europe rejected the proposal from Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to place up to $300 billion in frozen Russian assets into a financial vehicle managed by the White House. He wrote that the Trump Administration's plan would allocate part of the funds for the reconstruction of Ukraine and another part for joint investments from Russian and American companies, under the supervision of the U.S. Treasury and a special body designated by Trump. Montes de Oca pointed out that the European response combined indignation and astonishment. He added that the European Union was holding back between 70% and 80% of the funds—about €210 billion—while the United States controlled between 1% and 2%, equivalent to about $5 billion. According to the author, the rest was distributed among banks in Japan, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, and Canada. #Europa #Ucrania #Trump (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca wrote that Elon Musk had claimed the removal of Zelensky based on a clipping that, according to the author, had been manipulated by a MAGA account. He also noted that Ukraine's 7th Rapid Reaction Corps had reported to Reuters severe Starlink outages and restrictions on the frontline in the east and south, in the Donbas and Zaporizhia regions. Montes de Oca cited CNN, which reported that drone operators were experiencing connection interruptions of 10 to 20 seconds even at speeds of 110 to 120 km/h. According to the author, these outages destabilized the guidance of medium-range tactical attack drones in mid-flight, systems that he described as the core of the Russian attack. #Zelensky #Ucrania #Starlink (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca stated that Ukraine attacked the Russian airbase in Borisoglebsk, in the Voronezh region, and that at least four Su-34 fighter-bombers were destroyed and two others were severely damaged. He also said that Russia responded with an attack on a supermarket in Odesa during peak hours. https://t.co/JokxCMEUEI #Ucrania #Rusia #Conflicto (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca stated that Elon Musk's approach to the sector that he believed was seeking to have Ukraine concede could hinder a Russian air and ground offensive, jeopardize the military future of Starlink, and leave Vladimir Putin as the sole winner. #Ucrania #Musk #Starlink (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca argued that the limit imposed by Elon Musk on Starlink favored Putin and added to Donald Trump's cuts to the early warning system for Russian missiles. He stated that Ukraine had started to successfully use Starlink-guided interceptors to shoot down in-flight new Russian drones powered by reactors, which he described as faster than conventional Shahed drones. According to his writings, the limit of 160 km/h hindered the telemetry and control needed for these pursuits. Citing the Financial Times, Montes de Oca noted that mid-range interceptors needed to reach high speeds almost immediately to take off and stabilize. He added that signal loss when exceeding the limit could cause them to crash or lead to mission cancellations before takeoff. In his view, this increased vulnerability to ballistic attacks and high-speed drones, resulting in civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure. #Ucrania #Drones #SeguridadNacional (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca claimed that Elon Musk had used Starlink for political purposes to pressure the Ukrainian government and that it was not the first time he, according to him, had aided Vladimir Putin or followed Donald Trump's orders at a critical moment. He stated that the decision could commercially harm SpaceX by exposing it to geopolitical risks similar to those that, in his opinion, contributed to the international ban on Huawei. Montes de Oca wrote that the intermittent use of critical technological infrastructure as a tool of political or military pressure could lead Western governments to accelerate the development of sovereign networks. He also pointed out that the interruption would have forced the cancellation or failure of several Ukrainian drone missions, reduced the commercial appeal of Starlink for defense customers, and put contracts with the Pentagon and the trust of European partners at risk. Among them, he mentioned Poland, which, he indicated, financed about 50 million dollars annually in terminals for Ukraine. The author estimated the global market for military communications and satellites in 2026 to be 22.03 billion dollars, if only encrypted tactical communication services were counted. He warned that defense buyers could consider their reliance on a private provider financially risky. In his background review, Montes de Oca stated that in September 2002 Ukraine requested to activate Starlink in the region of Sevastopol, in occupied Crimea, to guide maritime drones against the Russian Black Sea fleet, but Musk rejected the request. He added that on September 30 of that year, SpaceX interrupted the signal for several hours—and, in some areas, days—in the regions of Kherson and Donetsk during a Ukrainian counteroffensive, which, he wrote, left drones disconnected and temporarily halted military operations. Montes de Oca also said that the following month Musk threatened to stop providing the service because he could not finance it indefinitely and reversed the decision days later, before the Pentagon formally took over the contracts and Poland covered part of the costs. Additionally, he noted that in February 2023, SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell confirmed that the company had technically limited the use of Starlink in Ukrainian attack drones and asserted that those restrictions had been tightened. Finally, he stated that Airbus was leading the European response and that, with 5.3 billion euros from the European military space program, it was designing and building low-orbit platforms for national and sovereign satellite networks. #ElonMusk #Starlink #Ucrania (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca stated that Elon Musk had limited the speed of Starlink terminals in motion without prior notice, which he wrote affected the military service StarShield and Ukrainian drone forces. He argued that the terminals lost connection when exceeding 160 km/h and that later reports indicated a threshold of 100 km/h. He also pointed out that sources from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense had confirmed signal interruptions. Montes de Oca claimed that the measure could facilitate a Russian offensive and harm both Ukrainian attacks against Russian logistics and the logistical coordination and advance of Ukrainian units. He described it as help to Putin and stated that it came at the worst time for the performance of the Russian army. The author cited Ukrainian presidential advisor Serhii Beskrestnov, who confirmed that "several missions were interrupted" due to the lack of guarantees. He also noted that former Defense Ministry advisor Serhii Sternenko had suggested that the measure was in response to a request from the Donald Trump administration. Montes de Oca linked that possibility to pressures from Washington for Kiev to stop attacks on Russian refineries and to a message from Musk in which, according to the author, he said he would join the White House plan. #Starlink #Ucrania #Putin (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca wrote that Ukraine had attacked an oil depot in Valuyki, in the Belgorod region, in response to attacks against its cities. He stated that, despite Trump’s warnings, Ukraine had resumed its offensive against the Russian energy system as part of a wave of 500 drones targeting sites in western Russia. #Ucrania #Rusia #Conflicto (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca wrote that Volodymyr Zelensky had admitted that the United States had not warned this time about the Russian attacks and stated that the Ukrainian president had departed from political correctness by acknowledging it. https://t.co/US2ZuMRQag #Zelensky #Ucrania #Rusia (translated)

Nacho Montes de Oca wrote that Donald Trump had announced an immediate energy truce between Russia and Ukraine and had assured that both parties accepted it. According to him, Volodymyr Zelensky responded that he was not aware of the agreement and requested clarification on when the ceasefire would begin if Trump had negotiated it with Vladimir Putin. Montes de Oca added that Zelensky conditioned any pause on Russia stopping the bombings against the Ukrainian electrical and energy grid and on real guarantees being signed. He also noted that Russia had not yet commented. #Ucrania #Rusia #EstadosUnidos (translated)

Finalmente me han desmonetizado la cuenta, de manera que en adelante solo dependo de suscripciones y apoyos directos. El deber -y el placer- de mantenerlos informados sigue vigente aunque ya no pertenezca al grupo de creadores de contenidos que X decide que merecen recibir ingresos por su tarea. No es queja porque la realidad puede doler, pero no depende de uno ni tiene remedio. Y aprovecho para agradecer profundamente a todos los que me apoyan. Desde el corazón y desde mi profesión. Se sigue porque el periodismo es un servicio. #Periodismo #ApoyoDirecto #Desmonetización