WRLD

Sam Freedman

@samfr.bsky.social wrld.org
Writes the most popular UK Substack (samf.substack.com)

Author of Sunday Times bestselling book "Failed State". (An Economist and Financial Times Book of the Year for 2024). Working on book two.

Senior fellow: Institute for Government
Mention
Sam Freedman 8h

It's also not true. While emigration rose, Immigration also fell considerably.

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Sam Freedman 10h

Disappointingly inaccurate headline in the FT. (They had two Black senators during Reconstruction - Colom would be the first in 145 years).

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Sam Freedman 2d

This helps explain my point about this election not being just about gas prices. Voters who saw the economy as the main issue split fairly evenly. Those who put democracy first overwhelmingly voted Democrat.

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Sam Freedman 2d

New post: After their midterms disaster the Republicans are in deep trouble - tied to a decrepit, vengeful narcissist with no loyalty to the party. It could rip them apart. Meanwhile, the Democrats have an extraordinary opportunity. Can they hold it together? samf.substack.com/p/the-coming...

samf.substack.com
The coming Republican civil war
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Sam Freedman 3d

Here's a stat. With Susan Collins losing in Maine this is the first time ever that the GOP have had no senators in New England. In their entire history.

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Sam Freedman 4d

The *Democratic primary* in Michigan saw more money spent on it than the entire UK general election. Total spending on the whole senate election there = $435 million.

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Sam Freedman 5d

This is just dire. Means decades of uncertainty for people, with every election creating a risk they'll be sent to unsafe countries by a far right government.

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Sam Freedman 5d

Lol YouGov polled "Hang the peados, fund the NHS" and found it gets only 35%. But that's mainly because Reform voters don't want to fund the NHS.

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Sam Freedman 6d

Higher spending on pensions (and healthcare) is a function of higher life expectancy and a more affluent society. It's happened everywhere in the developed world.

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Sam Freedman 7d

It's also just illogical. If it's bad to treat care workers that way (which it is) then why is it OK for lab technicians or others legally here who don't mean the new salary thresholds?

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Sam Freedman 1w

There's a huge amount of noise about the welfare budget "spiralling out of control." This helpful chart shows it's projected to rise by a whole 0.2 points of GDP over the next five years. A myth that will not die...

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Sam Freedman 2w

Going to rephrase a post because it looked too definitive. On the voting so far in Brazil Lula seems to be doing better than expected. A win is much more possible than I expected with 10% of the vote in.

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Sam Freedman 2w

Incredible. Student List are candidates selected by groups of students to form an anti-corruption party. Another youth-led movement overthrowing an authoritarian government in Europe.

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Sam Freedman 2w

Just to cheer everyone up: according to the latest poll Steve Hilton is losing the California governor race by 28 points.

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Sam Freedman 3w

New Ipsos poll has the Democrats leading by 12 points in a generic ballot poll and Trump's approval down to 31%. If you're wondering why he's being particularly vile at the moment.

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Sam Freedman 3w

To give an indication of the problem here's a chart of 12 government agencies around the world and numbers of applications / appeals / complaints etc... The dotted grey line is when ChatGPT was invented.

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Sam Freedman 3w

Think there is a reasonable chance of this happening under a Democrat president, especially if Musk starts threatening them.

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Sam Freedman 3w

The only minor redeeming feature of this foulness is that someone around Trump still has enough awareness of how bad this looks to brief against Musk.

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Sam Freedman 3w

Another triumph for Starmer. I think firing Robbins without cause was the moment Whitehall completely lost faith in him.

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Sam Freedman 3w

New post: "Drowning in slop" Large parts of the state are being increasingly overwhelmed with complaints, appeals, objections.... written by AI. It's gumming up every process. Britain is particularly vulnerable. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning-i...

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