Pedro Menin wrote that a vote migration scenario measured by Nexus/BTG, projected from the first round, would indicate a result close to 52 to 48 if confirmed. According to the data he mentioned, among voters of Augusto Cury (AVANTE), 43% would vote for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and 41% for Lula (PT); among those of Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), the percentages would be 55% and 27%, respectively. For the voters of Renan Santos (MISSÃO), it would be 37% for Flávio and 30% for Lula; among those of Romeu Zema (NOVO), 80% would choose Flávio and 0%, Lula. Menin assessed that Flávio could be underestimated among the voters of Cury, Caiado, and Renan, and said he believed that the result could surprise positively. #Eleições2023 #CenárioPolítico #MigraçãoDeVotos (translated)
