Political Analysis stated that a survey by Veritá indicated that Lula had gained 600,000 voters from Flávio in three days. According to the published numbers, Flávio had 50.7% (-0.4) and Lula, 49.3% (+0.4). The author mentioned that the interviews were conducted between October 15 and 19, three days after the previous survey and before the Band debate and the payment of the Bolsa Família. #eleições2023 #Lula #Flávio (translated)
Political Analysis stated that, according to Metrópoles, André Mendonça confirmed the existence of a draft that would prohibit politicians' channels on WhatsApp, after Lula's so-called Army reached 7 million. The author classified the proposal as an attempt at censorship. #Censura #LiberdadeDeExpressão #WhatsApp (translated)
The Political Analysis stated that Lula had grown among beneficiaries of the Bolsa Família after the adjustment, reaching 70% (+4), while Flávio appeared with 30% (-4). According to the author, the survey did not cover the majority of the payments scheduled for that day. He said that if Lula reached 75%, he would be reelected, and noted that he had already advocated for the anticipation of government payments. #Lula #BolsaFamília #Eleições2022 (translated)
Political Analysis wrote that, for the Bolsonaro supporters, the opinion of six northeasterners — whom the author considered probably paid — in a video by Nikolas better reflected reality than the vote of 70% of the region for Lula. It also accused the Bolsonaro supporters of not knowing how to interpret statistics. #Bolsonaro #Lula #Nordeste (translated)
Political Analysis stated that, until 2002, 40% of the rural population in the Northeast did not have electricity. According to the author, Lula created the program Light for All in 2003, bringing electricity to almost 8 million Northeasterners. He said that, with electricity at home, residents were able to purchase appliances and study at night, and that migration to the Southeast has dropped by about 60% since then. He also stated that, without this initiative, the right — which, according to him, governed the country for practically the entire 20th century — would have kept Northeasterners without electricity. #LuzPraTodos #Nordeste #EnergiaElétrica (translated)
Political Analysis stated, citing Metrópoles, that the STF would have been threatened by the Centrão to interrupt the trial regarding the corruption of the amendments. According to the publication, lawmakers reportedly said that if Dino continued, they would place the far-right in the presidency of the Senate to promote his impeachment and that of other ministers. #STF #Corrupção #Política (translated)
The Political Analysis stated that Lula had authorized the Justice to break the banking secrecy of him and all his children. It also said that Flávio Bolsonaro had not yet responded and argued that those who had nothing to hide should not fear the measure. #Lula #Justiça #Bolsonaro (translated)
Political Analysis stated that Lula had anticipated the payment of Bolsa Família, which, according to the author, would be made between that day and the 30th and would now take place between that day and Wednesday. It also said that Lula would be the president to grant the largest permanent increase to the program. The author declared that, in 2023, the average amount rose from 405 to 677 reais and that a second increase had now occurred, to 777 reais. #BolsaFamília #Lula #Reajuste (translated)
Political Analysis stated that three polls released that day showed a tie between Flávio and Lula in Nexus, at 50% for each, with variations of -2 and +2, respectively. In Atlas, Flávio had 51% (-2) and Lula, 49% (+2); in PoderData, Flávio appeared with 52% (+2) and Lula with 48% (-2). According to the publication, the average was 51% for Flávio and 49% for Lula, before the Band debate and the adjustment of the Bolsa Família, which began that day. #Pesquisas #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)
The Political Analysis stated that voters from the so-called third way supported the end of the 6x1 shift. According to data from NEXUS cited in the publication, the proposal was approved by 92% of those who voted for Lula, 39% of those who voted for Flávio, 71% of those who chose other candidates, and 68% of those who did not vote or annulled their votes. The author also assessed that very liberal voters had already voted for Flávio in the first round, while the others remained in contention. He added that Lula could gain votes from voters of other candidates and from those who annulled or abstained if he prioritized labor and social issues in the final stretch. #Política #Eleições2024 #Trabalho (translated)
Political Analysis stated that the debates usually did not change the majority of votes, but said that the election would be decided by a difference of at most 2%. According to the author, a change of 1% of voters to one side could determine the winner. #Eleições2023 #Debates #Voto (translated)
The Political Analysis wrote that Nexus indicated a reduction in the difference between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula. In valid votes, Flávio had 50.3%, with a variation of -1.3, and Lula had 49.7%, with a variation of +1.3. According to the publication, the interviews were conducted between 16 and 18/10. #Eleições2024 #FlávioBolsonaro #Lula (translated)
Political Analysis stated that CNN received 10 million per year from Vorcaro and that he required interviews with pre-arranged questions. According to the publication, messages revealed by the ICL showed that the company frequently asked Vorcaro for money. The post also cited a message from Ana Matos, a representative of Master, who described CNN as "another bottomless pit" in search of money. #CNN #Vorcaro #Jornalismo (translated)
The Political Analysis stated that Lula announced free blood and urine tests and teleconsultations through the Popular Pharmacy. The profile also mentioned that Bolsonaro had cut 60% of the program and that Lula multiplied the budget by five and guaranteed 41 free medications. According to the publication, in a possible fourth term, Lula would make a new expansion. #Lula #Saúde #FarmáciaPopular (translated)
The Political Analysis stated that a survey by IPESPE indicated a technical tie between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula in valid votes: 51% for Flávio, a decrease of 2 points, and 49% for Lula, an increase of 2 points. According to the publication, the previous survey had been conducted a week earlier. The interviews took place between the 13th and 15th, mostly before the end of the 6x1. #Lula #FlávioBolsonaro #pesquisa (translated)
Political Analysis stated that Lula did well on Globo, but failed to correct information about Bolsa Família. According to the author, Renata lied when she said that the government only increased the program close to the election. He wrote that the average benefit increased from 405 to 680 in 2023, after the Transition PEC, which created additional payments of 150 for children up to 6 years old and 50 for youths aged 7 to 18 years. He also mentioned that a second increase in 2026 would raise the benefit to 777 reais. The author also stated that Bolsonaro created the benefit of 600 reais for only five months, from August to December 2022, and that the amount returned to 405 in January 2023. #BolsaFamília #Lula #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)
The Political Analysis wrote that Lula announced a PEC to guarantee free transportation two days a week for workers, in the context of the new 5x2 schedule. According to the publication, the proposal would apply to all municipalities in the country that have public transport and would expand opportunities for leisure, culture, art, sports, and family interaction. #Lula #TransporteColetivo #DireitosSociais (translated)
The Political Analysis stated that Flávio Bolsonaro received a plan called Project Brazil of Tomorrow from 500 businessmen. According to the publication, the proposal aimed to raise the retirement age for men and women to 67 years, establish amounts below the minimum wage for the BPC, unemployment insurance, and pensions, as well as significantly cut the Bolsa Família. The publication also stated that the plan did not mention reducing privileges for politicians and businessmen and estimated that a potential Flávio government would save R$ 140 billion in the short term. The post mentioned the ICL. #ProjetoBrasilDeAmanhã #FlávioBolsonaro #EconomiaBrasil (translated)
Political Analysis stated that Flávio Bolsonaro decided to participate in the debates because Lula narrowed the gap in the polls that week. According to the author, Lula had 47% right after the first round ended and was now at 49%. He added that if Flávio did not reverse the trend, Lula would take the lead. #Política #Eleições2024 #Debates (translated)
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