Fortis

Fortis stated that the PoderData survey conducted from October 13 to 15 indicated a tie between Flávio and Lula, with 50% of valid votes for each. However, according to the author, his analysis of the numbers suggested a scenario more favorable to Flávio than the tie indicated. #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasil #PoderData (translated)

Fortis published an aggregator of valid votes for the second round of 2026 in Porto Alegre (RS), according to which Lula (PT) had 50.9% and Flávio (PL) had 49.1%. He stated that Flávio had advanced 7.2 percentage points compared to the first round, while Lula had grown by 2.3 points. In comparison to the second round of 2022, Fortis pointed out that Lula's vote went from 53.5% to 50.9%, and Bolsonaro's from 46.5% to 49.1%. #Eleições2026 #Política #Brasil (translated)