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At least five people died and nine were injured in air and drone strikes by Russian forces in the Ukrainian provinces of Kirovohrad and Dnipropetrovsk, while Ukrainian air defense systems managed to shoot down 39 enemy drones during the night. #GuerraNaUcrânia #DefesaAérea #Rússia (translated)

Joren Vermeersch wrote that he did not view the closure of Starlink for Ukrainian drone operations on Ukrainian territory as a lever to make Ukraine stop attacking Russian refineries. According to him, Ukraine had already unilaterally halted those attacks at Trump's request. Vermeersch suspected that Trump might want to force Ukraine to withdraw from the non-occupied parts of the Donetsk province and hand them over to Russia. He derived this from Trump's statements that Zelensky did not want to reach an agreement and that Putin was more focused on an agreement than Zelensky. According to Vermeersch, Trump seemed to think that Putin would be willing to negotiate a ceasefire after such a Ukrainian concession. He described that expectation as dangerous wishful thinking and pointed out that, in his view, Putin also claimed the non-conquered parts of Zaporizhia and Kherson. According to Vermeersch, Russia had constitutionally annexed those provinces; the claimed areas also included both provincial capitals. A Russian presence there would give Russia, according to him, a foothold on the right bank of the Dnipro in two places, in view of a possible third phase of the conquest war. As the main obstacle to a ceasefire, Vermeersch mentioned Putin's demand that Ukraine unilaterally disarm and demilitarize. According to him, that would amount to capitulation and certainly provoke a new invasion. He wrote that Putin had repeated that demand in every diplomatic round, including during the last round in Moscow the month before, with Witkoff and Kuchner. Vermeersch believed that Trump was wrongly thinking that Putin did not take that demand seriously. Vermeersch argued that Ukraine could not afford dangerous wishful thinking, as it was fighting for the survival of its society, people, and state. Because Putin continued to insist on unconditional capitulation, Ukraine was forced to keep defending itself. He wrote that it would continue to do so until it achieved a ceasefire that left it free in the part of the country it had successfully defended. #Oekraïne #Rusland #Vrede (translated)

The author wrote that Russia launched ballistic missiles against Kiev on October 12, 2026, towards October 13. According to his account, the Ukrainian Air Force reported that approximately six ballistic missiles hit several districts, including transport infrastructure in Dniprovskyi, on the left bank of the Dnipro. #Rusia #Ucraina #conflict #RU #UA (translated)

Regina Laska wrote that Donald Trump promised hundreds of thousands of tons of Russian diesel after a phone call with Vladimir Putin. The U.S. Treasury then allowed an exemption from the sanctions. Given the midterms in four weeks and a diesel price at record levels, Laska interpreted the move as a possible campaign maneuver. In mid-September, Trump publicly called on Volodymyr Zelensky to stop attacks on Russian refineries. According to a Reuters report led by Laska, at that time three of the six largest Russian diesel refineries were shut down or operating at limited capacity. She also pointed to a Russian export ban on diesel until the end of October and noted that Russia imported almost seven times as much diesel from Belarus from January to July as in the same period of the previous year. Deputy Prime Minister Novak is now talking about surpluses, she wrote; however, it is unclear whether the announced delivery quantities and deadlines will actually be met. Zelensky offered to stop Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries if Russia ends its attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. Laska referred to this as a symmetrical de-escalation offer that is on the table for the Americans. She also cited rocket attacks on a residential building in Pryluky, glide bombs on city buses in Kramatorsk, and shelling of the energy supply in Kyiv, Dnipro, Kharkiv, and Odesa. She warned that Russia would respond to the diesel with terrorism. The EU also criticized Laska: On September 22, Usmanov and Fridman were removed from the sanctions list under pressure from France, Slovakia, and Luxembourg. According to Laska, Zelensky pointed out that the attacks had since increased. At the same time, the EU extended the remaining personal sanctions from six months to three years. Latvia had long resisted the compromise and ultimately paved the way for it by abstaining. Laska compared Trump's diesel concession to Russia with the European compromise in favor of unanimity. In her view, the costs of such agreements are borne not by their authors but by the people in Pryluky, Kramatorsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Oleshkiv. #Trump #Putin #Dieselpreise (translated)

The author wrote that at the time when Vladimir Putin was celebrating his 74th birthday, Ukrainians were spending the night in shelters and subway stations. According to him, Russia launched ballistic missiles, guided missiles, and drones on Kyiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhia, and Sumy, which hit industrial and transportation facilities as well as residential areas. He also noted that people who were sleeping at home died in the attacks. #Ukrajina #Putin #Válka #RU #UA (translated)

The author accused Putin of marking his birthday by unleashing another wave of drones and missiles on Ukraine. They wrote that civilians and critical infrastructure were the primary targets, and said residential buildings had been hit in Kyiv, Dnipro, Pryluky and Zaporizhzhia. The post also cited “at least seven” but did not specify what the figure referred to. #Putin #Ukraine #War #UA

Russia, on the night of President Vladimir Putin's 74th birthday, carried out a massive missile and drone attack on Kyiv, resulting in several explosions and the deaths of two people, with the attack also hitting other cities such as Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia. #Kyjev #Rusko #VálkaNaUkrajině (translated)

Piotr Kaszuwara reported that Kyiv, Kryvyi Rih, and Dnipro were under missile fire, and the metro again served as a shelter. He called Putin a war criminal and assessed that the Russian president decided to celebrate his 74th birthday in this way, adding that he wished it would be his last. He also expressed confusion towards politicians who— as he wrote—smiled while shaking hands with Putin. Kaszuwara stated that around 6 a.m. further attacks with cruise missiles launched from Russian bombers were expected, and warnings indicated the launching of several dozen missiles. He added that the Ukrainian air defense had a lot of work to do but was strengthened by the help of foreign partners. The journalist announced a report from a Ukrainian shelter and a report on TVP Info during the day. #Ukraina #Wojsko #Ostrzał (translated)

"Impact on the roadway of the North Bridge. Emergency services are reaching the site. In recent days, Russia has struck several bridges on the Dnipro River and energy infrastructure; on Friday, the city's mayor, Vitali Klitschko, described the situation in Kiev as 'very dramatic'." #Ucraina #Merz #Russia (translated)

Regina Laska wrote that the Russian Foreign Ministry warned against a stay in Kyiv on Saturday and announced further massive attacks. Just a few hours later, the train of Chancellor Friedrich Merz arrived unexpectedly at the main train station in Kyiv, accompanied by Minister of Economy Katherina Reiche and representatives from the defense and energy industries. Laska called Merz's trip a bold and important sign in light of the situation. Russia has been attacking the Dnipro bridges connecting East and West Kyiv for days, wrote Laska. According to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the Ukrainian intelligence service has seen documents indicating that Vladimir Putin has issued a new doctrine foreseeing attacks on roads, logistics, schools, and hospitals to drive people out of Kyiv and other cities. The documents are not public, and Moscow has denied the allegations, she added. Laska wrote that people might flee from cities that are becoming increasingly uninhabitable in winter to Poland, the Czech Republic, or Germany. The provision for Ukrainian refugees has cost Germany around 32.4 billion euros since the start of the war, she cited an overview from the Ministry of Finance quoted by Spiegel. She criticized that these costs are being used in Germany as an argument against supporting Ukraine, including against arms deliveries. Merz wrote from Kyiv that Germany is helping out of self-interest because its own security depends on the outcome of the war, Laska stated. He announced one billion euros in military aid, 350 million euros for the energy system, thousands of interception drones, and closer German-Ukrainian defense cooperation. Officially, Taurus cruise missiles are still missing, she wrote. In October 2024, Merz said Germany must deliver Taurus to hit Russian supply routes if Putin does not end the bombardment of the Ukrainian civilian population within 24 hours. Although Moscow has since openly announced further massive attacks, Taurus still has not arrived, wrote Laska. #Ukraine #Russland #Politik (translated)

In the Dniprovski district, drone fragments fell on the roof of a house, but no fire broke out. Additionally, in this district, fragments fell in an open area near a road. Also without fire. According to Mayor Vitali Klitschko, a fire broke out in the Desniansky district on the territory of an uninhabited building after fragments fell. #Ucraina #Rusia #Poduri (translated)

The author said Russian attacks were escalating, claiming that the South Bridge across the Dnipro had been hit repeatedly over the previous two days, causing traffic disruption in Kyiv, and that a Russian drone struck the city’s North Bridge that morning. They added that, because it was Saturday, people could stay home. #Kyiv #Ukraine #WarUpdates #RU #UA