Research Elections released a survey by PoderData/AYA that showed Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula (PT) tied with 50% of valid votes each in a potential second round. Compared to the previous survey, Flávio dropped one percentage point while Lula gained one point. The publication stated that, considering the margin of error of 1.8 percentage points, the numbers did not allow for a statistical superiority of one candidate. According to the technical data released, the survey was conducted nationally between October 13 and 15, 2026, with 3,000 interviews, a confidence level of 95%, and registered with the TSE BR-04258/2026. https://t.co/KiqJ2PfsoO #Eleição2026 #Brasil #LulaFlavio (translated)