The private sector yield curve is sending a recession warning that is almost completely ignored. Many do not even know it, but the private sector YC measures the spread between the U.S. Baa-rated corporate bonds with maturities of 20(+) years and the bank prime rate. It is the https://t.co/pSNm4PkjeB #RecessionWarning #YieldCurve #FinanceInsights #US
The three yield curves we analyzed all indicated that the U.S. recession is imminent (starting within months). While the asset purchase (QE) and selling (QT) programs of the Fed have affected the traditional yield curves, also the untraditional (private) ones indicate closeness https://t.co/p12Q7WpaET #Recession #YieldCurve #FedPolicy #US
Highest yields since the Great Recession. But its worse than that. Look at the Fed Funds rate relative to the 30y: the yield curve is much steeper. This is “forced high rates” not “chosen high rates” as in 2007. 🇺🇸🏦 https://t.co/MiylUPud0W #YieldCurve #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #US
