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The author stated that Democrats participated in early voting in Texas in numbers reminiscent of presidential elections, while Republicans voted at a pace typical for congressional elections. According to him, this difference could help Democrats gain control of Texas during the week. https://t.co/kD7gAdmEuk #Texas #volby #Demokraté #US (translated)

Michal Sirový wrote that two years ago, some people in the Czech public space seriously considered Donald Trump a better candidate, according to him, even among pro-Western thinkers, not just among supporters of the SPD. He questioned whether Vondra and Pojar could be taken seriously after this experience. https://t.co/YuGUvYYFdf #politika #Trump #ČeskáRepublika (translated)

Michal Sirový wrote that the greatest impact of the municipal and Senate elections on national politics will be determined more by how the media reports on them than by the results themselves. According to him, the media has established an image of a total defeat for ANO, a success for Grolich, and STAN as the leader of the opposition. According to Sirový, ANO did not win; however, he labeled its decline as an expected result of elections amidst a term, not as a "slaughter." He stated that Grolich achieved an excellent result and advanced from the first round, but benefited from not having competition from the rest of the opposition in his Senate district. Sirový also reminded that Grolich led the party with a three percent support. He described the strengthening of STAN in municipalities and the defense of its positions in the Senate as the most interesting real story. According to him, the party surpassed ODS in both results and public perception, becoming the leader of the opposition. Sirový compared this to the previous four-year period when the Pirates and ODS vied for this position. The impact of this change, he believes, will be shown by time. Sirový also mentioned that he is curious whether Andrej Babiš will respond to this image with greater changes that could also lead to mistakes, or if he will realize that, in his opinion, he lost primarily in media headlines, not in the elections. #volby #politika #ČeskáRepublika (translated)

Michal Sirový sarcastically reacted to Andrej Babiš's statement that the election results give the ANO movement a strong mandate for reflection and a restart. He noted that he had no idea that everyone receives a mandate: the winner to represent the citizens and the loser for reflection. #volby #politika #hnutíANO (translated)

Michal Sirový stated that the Czech debt has significantly increased in price over the last 12 months and that further extensive indebtedness related to Andrej Babiš would, in his opinion, result in even higher interest costs and push services for citizens out of the budget. He then ironically pointed out the conditions under which the Germans borrow. #dluh #půjčky #zdražení (translated)

Michal Sirový described the senatorial duel in Plzeň as exceptionally boring, but he noted that more interesting contests are expected in other districts. According to him, the clash between Láska and Sáblík is worth attention, where a strong, neutrally positioned candidate is pitted against the ODS in Prague, and the battle between Šípová and Paták, which he described as the defense of the mandate by a representative of the weaker Pirates against the ODS. He also considered the contests between STAN and ODS in Hradec Králové and Zlín to be important. He posed the question of which of these brands is currently more popular, or conversely, more toxic. In the clash between Šmarda and Klement, he pointed out the social democrat in neutral colors against a Christian Democrat on the edge of the Czech "Bible belt." He identified Přerov and Karviná as the only two real chances for ANO to gain a mandate and questioned whether voters would show up there. #Volby2023 #SenátníDuel #ČeskáPolitika (translated)

Michal Sirový asked whether the liberal shift of the Mayors would be confirmed in Prague. According to him, it could be shown by the choice between a coalition with SPOLU and cooperation with PS and the Pirates. He added that the possible result could also be explained by local specifics, as traditionally happens in municipal elections. #Praha #politika #volby (translated)

Michal Sirový stated that according to him and polls most inclined towards Republicans, the upcoming Congressional elections predicted a Democratic victory in the Senate and problems for Republicans in states like Kansas. He added that this year the results from firms Trafalgar, Rasmussen, and Insider Advantage, which he said had repeatedly been more favorable for Donald Trump and Republicans in the past, resembled other polls. He described this as one of the more significant signals that Republicans were facing serious issues. #midterms #politika #volby (translated)

Michal Sirový stated that, according to his calculation, a total of seven voters left the Pirates in Prague because of Mamdani. He questioned whether such a statement was meant seriously and wrote that voters often do not know the candidates or the general positions of the parties. He added that most people, in his opinion, do not know who Mamdani is, what he does or says, or how Czech parties express themselves about him. #politika #vnějšípolitika #volby (translated)

Michal Sirový stated that SPOLU could form a coalition with STAN in Prague, which he believes could govern either with SPOLU or with PS and the Pirates. He announced that he would present 13 reasons why SPOLU is in a better position than STAN and should obtain the mayoralty. In conclusion, he ironically remarked that he would like to ask to whom the invoice is being sent. #Praha #politika #SPOLU (translated)

Michal Sirový evaluated his prediction of the municipal election results in Prague and stated that it was successful, especially compared to the polls. He noted that the total error for the seven strongest parties was 11.8 percentage points, while IPSOS reached 20.5, SC&C 23.0, and Median 28.1. He added that the polls were collected about a month before the elections, which he stated partially explained their double error compared to his prediction. He identified his biggest mistakes as undervaluing STAN and overestimating ANO. According to him, he estimated the results for SPOLU, PS, and the Pirates almost precisely. In conclusion, he wrote that he hoped his election reporting entertained the readers. #volby #predikce #Praha (translated)

Michal Sirový estimated that ANO would gain at most two mandates in the second round, mentioning Přerov and Karviná as possible locations. He added that due to the expected lower turnout of already demobilized government voters, the party could end up without any mandate. #volby #ANO #politika (translated)

Michal Sirový congratulated Michal Škop and Datajournalist on their nearly live predictions for all senatorial districts and the largest cities. He stated that successful predictions can be made after counting just a few percent of votes or precincts. He criticized the media for continuing to debate the results, arguing that not enough votes have been counted, even though he believes that sufficient data is usually available during elections to estimate the final outcome. He added that the media, both commercial and public, should preferably publish timely predictions with a small margin of error rather than spend hours commenting on data corresponding to votes for parliamentary parties. #predikce #volby #žurnalistika (translated)

Michal Sirový asked whether the current opposition hopes are Grolich and Rakušan, and suggested that he would be interested in what Gazdík and Bělobrádek would say about it. He added that he believes he was not mistaken, just ahead of his time. https://t.co/s6A9pR776M #politika #opozice #ČeskáRepublika (translated)

Michal Sirový stated that when comparing the results of the ANO movement from 2022 with the predicted current results in regional cities, the average decline was 6 percentage points. According to him, the biggest drops were to occur in Ústí nad Labem and Zlín, while ANO was expected to gain only in Plzeň. He described the results as very poor. https://t.co/cRSTKu1Lo4 #ANO #politika #volby (translated)

Michal Sirový wrote that the government parties were losing due to the non-participation of their own voters. He stated that three surveys in Prague showed an average of 30% for the sum of ANO, SPD, and Motorists, while their actual share should have been only 20%, according to him. He characterized the result for the government parties as very poor. #volby #politika #průzkumy (translated)