Who fights a hybrid war, they win a hybrid peace. Unless we respond kinetically, Russia will continue down the path of escalation #HybridWar #KineticResponse #RussiaEscalation #RU
A conclusion which follows from the assumption that "the war is embedded in Putinism, just as Putinism is embedded in the war" is that Russia's failure to subjugate Ukraine would inevitably lead to the collapse of Putinism and of Putin himself. This, therefore, should be the goal #Putinism #Ukraine #Russia #RU #UA
The option of the viceroy was lost with the retreat of Russian troops from Kyiv, now it's only 'conquer or destroy' Poland saved Ukraine in the spring of '22 and Russia will never forget it Poland must generate costs for Russia at every possible front - in Ukraine it is the cheapest (translated)
Putin isn't interested in win-win. He's been offered plenty and turned it all down. He chose total war because he wants total victory. If he can't have Ukraine, he'll go for lose-lose instead and try to destroy it. That's why Putin must be defeated. A deal with him is an illusion #Putin #TotalWar #DefeatPutin #UA #RU
If partners had provided Ukraine with military equipment out of generosity or strategic partnership, Ukraine would already be dead. Fortunately, Poland minded its own strategic interests and sent Ukraine what it had on hand, while others were busy multiplying conditions #Ukraine #Poland #MilitarySupport #UA #PL
No wonder Witkoff is thinking about retirement. He's made his fortune and now gets to play diplomat. But one may tell him that Putin isn't retiring. Autocrats don't retire, especially when they're responsible for war crimes. They take their job with them to the grave. Literally #Putin #Autocrats #WarCrimes #RU
Let's not fetishise good manners in diplomacy. They are owed to those who genuinely want to engage in the diplomatic process and negotiate in good faith. The Russians do not #Diplomacy #GoodFaith #Russia #RU
Putin telling Witkoff "it's been quite convenient to work with you" may actually be the truest thing he has said in years. This is probably the most amateurish American delegation ever sent to negotiate with Moscow #Putin #Negotiations #USRussiaRelations #RU #US
No peace coming out of this, because the decrepit tsar in the Kremlin has zero intention of ending the war. Still, everyone (Putin, Zelensky, Witkoff, Budanov, even cringe-posting Dmitriev) has something to squeeze out of yet another act in this political theater #Kremlin #WarPolitics #Putin #RU #UA
Poklad is no amateur. Instead of focusing on dirty games at home, he should now live up to his well-earned nickname - he's just been given a free hand to take out FSB chief Bortnikov #Poklad #FSB #Bortnikov #Therearenospecificcountriesmentionedinthetweet #sotheresultis:
Lame article. Sentiment towards Ukraine has deteriorated in Poland because: 1st/ longstanding bilateral problems remain unresolved; 2nd/ migration from Ukraine suddenly changed Poland's demographics; 3rd/ Ukraine's hostile political rhetoric towards Poland https://t.co/cVRQKNJsJP #Ukraine #Poland #BilateralRelations #UA #PL
Of course, there are no coincidences. A drone wouldn't just fly into the center of Kyiv and strike the SBU headquarters exactly where the office of its chief is located. A clear escalation from Russia. A significant blunder on Ukraine's part for allowing this to happen. (translated)
The strategic calculation behind the aid to Ukraine in the fight against Russia - outlined nearly 300 years ago by the British, in relation to supporting their continental allies against French forces. (translated)
The only ones who failed to notice were Ukrainian (but also Polish!) journalists, who are now suddenly surprised that Poland has adopted a new position: that nothing should be given away for free anymore #Ukraine #Poland #Journalism #UA #PL
New survey Rating: ▪️50% of Ukrainians believe that Poland is a friendly country; 21% - that we are an unfriendly country ▪️36% of Ukrainians express a positive attitude towards Poles, 39% - neutral, 24% - negative [CBOS: 29% of Poles express sympathy for Ukrainians, 25% - indifference, 43% - dislike] (translated)
Tell me your invasion of Ukraine has failed spectacularly without telling me your invasion of Ukraine has failed spectacularly #UkraineInvasion #RussiaFail #MilitaryStruggles #UA
Which makes for an interesting game of nerves. Unlike last year, this time President Zelensky withstood the pressure and didn't blink - and came out on top, even though badly bruised. But tougher tests lie ahead #Zelensky #GameOfNerves #Leadership #UA
As defence minister, Fedorov held together a delicate arrangement between the ruling and the anti-corruption camps. With him gone, confrontation is yet again a game in town. But unlike last year, the former have a broader power base, while the latter have less backing from abroad #Ukraine #Politics #Corruption #Nospecificcountrycodesarementionedinthetweet.