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Daniel Szeligowski

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Daniel Szeligowski

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Polish political scientist and economist
@dszeligowski · 26,452 Followers
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The author said the issue merited attention and again questioned why Western leaders were surprised by Russia’s behaviour, which they described as entirely predictable. #Russia #Politics #Leadership #RU #US

The war has become a self-perpetuating machine that feeds Putin, his cronies, and his minions. They won't stop just because you offer them a deal #Putin #War #PeaceNegotiations #RU

Yes, the West helped create Vladimir Putin. Not through shock therapy - Poland had it too and produced no Putin - but by constantly trying to accommodate Russia and treating it like a spoiled brat somehow entitled to more than everyone else. And now we are reaping what we sowed #Putin #Russia #WesternPolicy #PL #RU

Who fights a hybrid war, they win a hybrid peace. Unless we respond kinetically, Russia will continue down the path of escalation #HybridWar #KineticResponse #RussiaEscalation #RU

A conclusion which follows from the assumption that "the war is embedded in Putinism, just as Putinism is embedded in the war" is that Russia's failure to subjugate Ukraine would inevitably lead to the collapse of Putinism and of Putin himself. This, therefore, should be the goal #Putinism #Ukraine #Russia #RU #UA

3x TAK Opcja namiestnika przepadła wraz z odwrotem rosyjskich wojsk spod Kijowa, teraz tylko 'podbij albo zniszcz' Polska uratowała Ukrainę wiosną '22 i Rosja nam tego nigdy nie zapomni Polska musi generować Rosji koszty na każdym możliwym odcinku - na Ukrainie jest najtaniej #Polska #Ukraina #Rosja #PL #UA #RU

Ukraine's refusal to lose disables Russia from winning. A truly profound contribution to strategic analysis #Ukraine #Russia #Strategy #UA #RU

Putin isn't interested in win-win. He's been offered plenty and turned it all down. He chose total war because he wants total victory. If he can't have Ukraine, he'll go for lose-lose instead and try to destroy it. That's why Putin must be defeated. A deal with him is an illusion #Putin #TotalWar #DefeatPutin #UA #RU

If partners had provided Ukraine with military equipment out of generosity or strategic partnership, Ukraine would already be dead. Fortunately, Poland minded its own strategic interests and sent Ukraine what it had on hand, while others were busy multiplying conditions #Ukraine #Poland #MilitarySupport #UA #PL

No wonder Witkoff is thinking about retirement. He's made his fortune and now gets to play diplomat. But one may tell him that Putin isn't retiring. Autocrats don't retire, especially when they're responsible for war crimes. They take their job with them to the grave. Literally #Putin #Autocrats #WarCrimes #RU

Let's not fetishise good manners in diplomacy. They are owed to those who genuinely want to engage in the diplomatic process and negotiate in good faith. The Russians do not #Diplomacy #GoodFaith #Russia #RU

Putin telling Witkoff "it's been quite convenient to work with you" may actually be the truest thing he has said in years. This is probably the most amateurish American delegation ever sent to negotiate with Moscow #Putin #Negotiations #USRussiaRelations #RU #US

No peace coming out of this, because the decrepit tsar in the Kremlin has zero intention of ending the war. Still, everyone (Putin, Zelensky, Witkoff, Budanov, even cringe-posting Dmitriev) has something to squeeze out of yet another act in this political theater #Kremlin #WarPolitics #Putin #RU #UA

Poklad is no amateur. Instead of focusing on dirty games at home, he should now live up to his well-earned nickname - he's just been given a free hand to take out FSB chief Bortnikov #Poklad #FSB #Bortnikov #Therearenospecificcountriesmentionedinthetweet #sotheresultis:

Lame article. Sentiment towards Ukraine has deteriorated in Poland because: 1st/ longstanding bilateral problems remain unresolved; 2nd/ migration from Ukraine suddenly changed Poland's demographics; 3rd/ Ukraine's hostile political rhetoric towards Poland https://t.co/cVRQKNJsJP #Ukraine #Poland #BilateralRelations #UA #PL

Oczywiście nie ma przypadków. Dron nie wleci sobie tak po prostu do centrum Kijowa i nie uderzy w siedzibę SBU dokładnie tam, gdzie znajduje się gabinet jej szefa. Wyraźna eskalacja ze strony Rosji. Spora wpadka ze strony Ukrainy, że do tego dopuszczono #Ukraina #Rosja #eskalacja #UA #RU

Strategiczna kalkulacja stojąca za pomocą dla Ukrainy w walce z Rosją - zarysowana niemalże 300 lat temu przez Brytyjczyków, w odniesieniu do wspierania ich kontynentalnych sojuszników wiążących siły francuskie https://t.co/kWN3iyZNru #Ukraina #Rosja #Historia #UA #RU #GB #FR

The only ones who failed to notice were Ukrainian (but also Polish!) journalists, who are now suddenly surprised that Poland has adopted a new position: that nothing should be given away for free anymore #Ukraine #Poland #Journalism #UA #PL

Let me quote Budanov from his recent interview: "What this victory will look like depends on us [Ukraine]. But for it to be a real victory, we [Ukrainians] need allies, partners, friends, and so on. And we have to fight for them" #Ukraine #Victory #Allies #UA

Nowy sondaż Rating: ▪️50% Ukraińców uważa, że Polska jest krajem przyjaznym; 21% - że jesteśmy krajem wrogim ▪️36% Ukraińców wyraża pozytywny stosunek do Polaków, 39% - neutralny, 24% - negatywny [CBOS: 29% Polaków wyraża sympatię do Ukraińców, 25% - obojętność, 43% - niechęć] https://t.co/zTHjfCYCcq #Polska #Ukraina #StosunkiMiędzynarodowe #PL #UA