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Felipe wrote that Flávio would hardly exceed 52%, unless the PT realized the result and gave up. With this ceiling, he said, the polls would tend to indicate a technical tie. For the final stretch, he said it would be important to monitor the momentum and the flow of news. #Política #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Felipe released a projection of valid votes with Flávio at 46.26%, Lula at 45.66%, Renan at 3.41%, Cury at 2.44%, Caiado at 1.56%, and Zema at 0.67%. He said he used two decimal places to provoke another user and classified the election as the most difficult he had ever seen. He stated that localized abstention could significantly alter the numbers and that, in his assessment, it was unlikely that the race would end in the first round. He considered this outcome preferable to avoid what he called the “ribbon coup,” urged people to vote, and said that the projection indicated 51.5% for Flávio in the second round. Felipe added that he would follow the counting the next day. #Eleições2023 #Democracia #VotoResponsável (translated)