Marc Vanguard recalled that France Inter had published content two months before the attacks of November 13. He stated that eight of the ten terrorists in the command had taken the migratory route to enter Europe and committed, in his opinion, the worst attack on metropolitan soil since 1944. https://t.co/hDgTyvtpTH #Attentats #Terrorisme #Histoire (translated)
Marc Vanguard dedicated a thread to Islamist attacks in France since 2012, mentioning the attacks of November 13, eleven years earlier. He wrote that in March 2012, Mohamed Merah killed three soldiers and attacked a Jewish school in Toulouse, where four other people, including three children, were killed. https://t.co/AXhiuYQnhy #France #Attentats #Mémoire (translated)
Marc Vanguard recalled that, ten years earlier, Marin, a student, had intervened in Lyon when a group of five young men attacked a couple who was kissing. According to his account, one of the assailants hit him several times on the head with a crutch. Marin had surgery that night, spent 15 days in a coma, and his life was in danger for a month and a half. Vanguard stated that Marin had to relearn how to walk and talk, and had undergone at least three skull surgeries in seven months. Five years after the assault, he remained severely disabled, suffered from headaches and great fatigue, and needed home care. In 2020, he stated: "I have this for the rest of my life," the author recalled. Vanguard also wrote that the assailant already had 21 convictions by the age of 17, at the time of the events. The jurors sentenced him to 15 years in prison, a sentence reduced by half due to his age, and he was released in October 2022, less than six years after the assault. According to the author, he received about fifteen disciplinary sanctions in prison. Vanguard finally lamented that, ten years after the events, only the regional media Le Progrès had recalled Marin's story. #Héroïsme #Justice #Solidarité (translated)
Marc Vanguard found David Lisnard's progress in the Cluster 17 polls impressive, where he went from 4% in September to 7% in October and then to 10% in November. He estimated that if this trend continued, Lisnard would surpass Glucksmann and Philippe in December and become the third candidate, behind Le Pen and Mélenchon. https://t.co/ua1bppjLFZ #politique #élections2024 #sondages (translated)
Marc Vanguard wrote that Édouard Philippe could soon be overtaken by Glucksmann in the first round if the trend continued. He wondered if such a collapse had ever been observed. https://t.co/ONsFPqX1X6 #politique #France #ÉdouardPhilippe (translated)
Marc Vanguard stated that Édouard Philippe was falling sharply in the latest Harris poll. He wrote that Marine Le Pen had a 16-point lead over him in the second round and that both she and Jean-Luc Mélenchon were ahead of him from the first round. He wondered whether the candidate could continue his campaign as if nothing had happened. #Politique #Élections2022 #Sondage (translated)
Marc Vanguard stated that the media outlet Blast attempted to discredit him in a biased article. He believed that the article was so poorly written that the approach backfired on the media outlet, and he announced that he would explain why in a thread. https://t.co/JYZWRFYx3s #Média #Débat #Débunking (translated)
Marc Vanguard indicated that the Ministry of the Interior had published new data on recorded domestic violence. He stated that foreigners were significantly overrepresented among the individuals implicated and presented a thread of five graphs on the subject. https://t.co/M7umebLQyS #ViolencesConjugales #Données #Intérieur (translated)
Marc Vanguard criticized the wording of a Politico survey conducted among companies, which he deemed biased. https://t.co/0EKPCW9z2m #Sondage #Politique #Entreprises (translated)
Marc Vanguard indicated that the latest Ifop poll placed Marine Le Pen at 37%, her highest level to date, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon gained one point. Édouard Philippe was stagnant at 15%, which, according to him, moved away the hypothesis of a second round. In a scenario where David Lisnard was tested instead of Bruno Retailleau, he obtained 9%, which is two points more, he added. https://t.co/vYCs0Q6SCK #Sondage #Politique #France (translated)
Marc Vanguard mentioned a time when, according to him, one could wear a mask on Halloween, where it was not necessary to finance a riot tax of 400 million euros per year, and where it took ten days of riots to reach the human toll of just October 17, 2026. He also cited traders forced to barricade themselves on Saturdays, the protests capable of connecting Bastille to Nation, and the deployment of 22,000 police officers and gendarmes during an important PSG match. He recalled that it then seemed absurd to install metal detection gates at the entrance of high schools, concrete blocks around Christmas markets, or a wall of armored glass around the Eiffel Tower. He also wrote that people carrying pepper spray were considered paranoid. Vanguard believed that this period, where one could still question a possible intensification of violence, seemed to be over. According to him, violence had become a habit in France and people were more focused on adapting to it rather than fighting it. He urged not to get used to it or to resign oneself to a degradation of the country's situation. #France #Violence #Société (translated)
Marc Vanguard wrote that Insee announced a 0.1% decrease in GDP in the third quarter and that Eurostat indicated the day before that France was once again the most heavily taxed country in Europe. He also claimed that France was borrowing at nearly 5%, the highest rate in the eurozone, before writing that the priority was to reform Parcoursup. https://t.co/c4SR2KJRTd #Économie #France #Reformes (translated)
Marc Vanguard presented the results of the "Experience and Perception of Security" (EPS) survey as alarming. According to the figures he shared, over 30% of adults ranked crime as the top issue among eight social problems, compared to 20% in 2022. Insecurity at home affected 8.3 million people, or 16% of adults, a 27% increase since 2022 and the third consecutive rise. He also indicated that 11.5 million people refrained from going out alone for safety reasons, an increase of 29% in three years, with 32% of women affected. Vanguard added that 12.1 million people felt unsafe in their neighborhood, which is 2.7 million more than in 2022, nearly one in four adults. He reported 658,000 victims of physical violence in 2024, an increase of 26% since 2021, and noted that the document described this increase as clear and progressive. Insults would have affected 2.6 million people in 2024, up 26% in nearly three years; 96% of victims reportedly did not file a complaint. Finally, he indicated that 1.1 million people were affected by burglaries in 2024, a 25% increase since 2021. He described the EPS as the official survey of the statistical service of the Ministry of the Interior, conducted with 200,000 adults each year since 2022, and clarified that it allows for an estimate of the total number of victims, including those who did not file a complaint. #Insécurité #Délinquance #Sécurité (translated)
Marc Vanguard indicated that the Ministry of Justice had quietly published its report on its "key figures." He stated that he had created four charts from this document and claimed that 45% of the people convicted of offenses were already known to the justice system. https://t.co/XF7JgpGICr #Justice #Rapport #Statistiques (translated)
Marc Vanguard wrote that this example would illustrate, according to him, the excesses of social media censorship in Europe. #censure #réseauxsociaux #Europe (translated)
Marc Vanguard had thought that the public deficit would be the main issue of the presidential election. He ultimately believed that the climate of violence and tensions, which he felt divided the nation, had relegated all other issues to the background. #Politique #France #Violence (translated)
Marc Vanguard wrote that Harris had published its weekly poll, in which Marine Le Pen was ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 16 points. He noted that Édouard Philippe had fallen to 15% and that Bruno Retailleau, credited with 4%, was behind David Lisnard, at 7%. According to him, Lisnard's progress was confirmed. https://t.co/wsMoxgkeIq #Politique #Sondage #Élections (translated)
Marc Vanguard found the situation particularly astonishing, perhaps even unprecedented, and wrote that Marine Le Pen dominated her opponents both in voting intentions and in popularity indices. https://t.co/eDqe5TxILD #politique #MarineLePen #élections (translated)
Marc Vanguard estimated that David Lisnard would not be penalized for his comments on October 17, 1961, and suggested that he could, on the contrary, benefit from it. He recalled that Bruno Retailleau gained 14 points of popularity during his standoff with Algeria, adding that, in his opinion, public opinion did not like the FLN. https://t.co/m1FtBMGupJ #politique #France #opinionpublique (translated)
Marc Vanguard wrote that many people needed explanations regarding David Lisnard's messages, and then offered his interpretation. He indicated that Lisnard had relayed a post about the increase in the proportion of people declaring themselves without religion among the descendants of Algerian immigrants: 32%, compared to 11% among Algerian immigrants, according to the TeO survey. Vanguard also interpreted Lisnard's message about Sandrine Moulères, fined €22 for driving in full veil, as irony, and explained that Lisnard had joked about her face not being visible. He added that Lisnard had relayed a pun from an internet user about halal, followed by a message from lawyer Maître Eolas, whose positions he described as left-leaning and whose statements he called cynical. According to Vanguard, Lisnard had also ironically responded to an internet user regarding the French settling in Morocco, labeling them as "neo-colonists." Finally, Vanguard claimed that Lisnard had refused the night before to enter into a memorial debate on Algeria, and that this refusal explained the attacks he was facing. He said that the evolution of the situation in the polls remained to be seen and attributed Bruno Retailleau's popularity and his rise to the presidency of the Republicans to this political stance. #Immigration #Société #Politique (translated)
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