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Debate access on Otto e mezzo between Lilli Gruber and Andrea Scanzi regarding Matteo Renzi's presence in the progressive coalition, with Scanzi calling it a disaster for the center-left, arguing that his involvement would lead to a loss of support, while Gruber defends the idea of a broader alliance. #MatteoRenzi #LilliGruber #CoalizioneProgressista (translated)

In the context of proportional representation, the analysis highlights how, among unusual political actors and surprising coalitions, the right and the left may exploit alliances with those who invite Russians or praise Hamas, in a real electoral freak show. #Politica #Elezioni2027 #Proporzionale (translated)

Mathieu Bock-Côté defended the arrival of Jacinthe-Ève Arel in the Parti québécois, arguing that her right-wing positions should not exclude her from the civic space. He recalled that she had sometimes seen qualities in Donald Trump, severely criticized health measures during the pandemic, and argued that there were only two sexes. Bock-Côté specified that he was not commenting on the merits of these opinions, but that they could be contested without justifying, in his view, Arel's exclusion. He accused members of Québec solidaire of demanding Arel's dismissal and wanting to ban her from political life. He also criticized some Péquistes who had relayed this indignation and claimed that Arel did not have a place in the PQ. According to him, the party was a coalition that could welcome social democrats, progressives, conservatives, and libertarians. Bock-Côté argued that the independence of Quebec was the common ground for Péquistes, despite their disagreements on the model of society. He believed that the sovereignist movement should also welcome people close to Éric Duhaime's ideas, and presented Arel's membership in the independence camp as a contribution to this cause. #Québec #Indépendance #Politique (translated)

Eric Duhaime commented on the appointment of Jacinthe-Ève Arel as chief of staff of the Parti québécois. He said he had known her as a conservative candidate in the 2022 elections and described her as brilliant and eloquent. He wished her success in her mandate related to government efficiency and regulatory easing, believing that Quebec needed to reduce the size of the state and advance conservative ideas. However, he felt that she was repeating the mistake made in 2018, when she ran for a coalition. According to him, the right was then used to display a diversity of opinions, while decisions remained on the left. He warned against the role of a facade right within the PQ, while expressing a desire to give the new government a chance and observe its measures to reduce the size and intervention of the state. Regarding Ruba Ghazal, who called for the departure of Jacinthe-Ève Arel, Duhaime argued that her act of waving a keffiyeh during her swearing-in at the National Assembly deprived her, in his view, of all legitimacy to criticize controversial remarks or actions. #Québec #Politique #Conservateur (translated)

GRANDPAS' ELECTION GAME So, what caught my eye were the recent ALREADY public statements by trump that new attacks on Iran are being prepared immediately after the elections... The fact that preparations were underway had been known for some time, but personally, I was surprised that he started making this public right before the elections. Because for a long time, he himself had been bullshitting about how exactly after the elections, they would be seeking an agreement with Iran. And EVEN more importantly - fuel prices were supposed to go down after the elections! It's all bullshit, obviously. Just lying to the voters, BUT... why start talking about continuing the war right before the elections, when the majority of voters don't want either the war or rising prices at gas stations??? I think it's worth remembering the fact that America has the most corrupt president, and his actions are influenced not only by the fake tsar from russia, but also by another old man from Israel. That is netanyahu, with a large Jewish lobbying network in America, private deals with the kushners, witkoffs, and trump himself. In Israel, as we know, elections have already taken place, and netanyahu failed to get his pre-election fireworks out of trump, but it's worth explaining what he was trying to achieve: netanyahu starts bullshitting again about Iran's atomic bomb. On October 21, he once again publicly started talking about how those guys are DEFINITELY DEFINITELY making that bomb AGAIN right now. Then he posted an atomic explosion in Tel Aviv on social media (he probably learned how to post from trump by now). And, of course, he AGAIN tried to tell everyone that the only way to eliminate the threat is to destroy the Iranian regime. Again, I'm not saying Iran is run by a bunch of good guys. No, no. But I simply don't believe the jew who has been telling us for about 35 years that Iran will DEFINITELY DEFINITELY have a bomb next week. And + every now and then he also suspects other neighbors of developing those bombs. Those atomic bombs are really in fashion in the Middle East. Personally, I trust USA intelligence more, which very CLEARLY said even before the war, earlier this year - NO, they are definitely not making a bomb and there is no such THREAT as being portrayed. Israel and USA have recently intensified air military exercises over Syria. A new Iranian attack was being simulated. And at the same time, Israel, taking advantage of the situation, repeatedly sent dozens of fighter jets with an aerial refueling aircraft through Syria, across Iraq, directly toward Iran. So that it would look as if they were flying to attack. And then, right near the border, they turned around. In other words, they were provoking Iran, hoping that Iran would see it as a threat and attack. Moreover - USA has ALREADY delivered new Patriot air defense systems and a replenishment of missiles to Israel. AT THE SAME TIME as supplying Ukraine with barely two missiles per month, even when the Ukrainians have made actual missile purchases. Cash in the pocket has a lot of influence, and the Jews, as I already mentioned, don't spare money when it comes to trump's family. Why is all this being done? BECAUSE netanyahu wanted to provoke an extension of the conflict before the elections and take advantage of it. After all, only he can protect Israel from an existential threat. BUT... a) Iran did not fall for the provocations. b) Even the Israeli army chief publicly clashed with netanyahu because he refused to launch military actions before the elections. c) trump also refused to launch an attack before the elections taking place in America. And that's how it turned out, netanyahu's existential threat stories no longer worked in the Israeli elections, and the elections ended with neither side managing to secure a majority. So now intense negotiations are underway to form coalitions. The bloc controlled by netanyahu, which also includes super extreme radical parties, has 53 seats. And the political opponent Gadi Eisenkot's party - 48 seats. And then there are the Arab parties, which unexpectedly gathered as many as 19 seats. So there are some nuances there, but to put it simply, if the Arabs form a coalition with Gadi, then Israel will have a new prime minister. So WHY does netanyahu now need to renew the war with Iran so badly? @ To maintain and strengthen the coalition with the radicals. Well, because netanyahu somehow needs a political majority, and to achieve that, it just so happened that in recent years he had to unite forces with extreme parties led by radicals of VERY questionable reputation. @ To divert attention from the investigations into the October 7, 2023 hamas attack. BECAUSE recently there have been huge protests in Israel demanding answers as to WHY security failed to work the way it was supposed to. And netanyahu has been dragging out these investigations for a long time. @ The fact that public support is expected in the face of a threat, but this is already such an outdated and overused trick that it simply no longer works even in Israel. So, here's the situation now: 42 days are given to form a coalition. During this time, netanyahu needs to launch new attacks against Iran. This time, WIN, meaning actually overthrow the Iranian regime, thereby strengthening his leadership position and convincing other parties to join his coalition. And THEN netanyahu will remain prime minister. And I suspect THAT is WHY netanyahu is pressuring trump to launch military actions sooner, and that's why trump may also be starting to prepare the public for new fireworks even before the elections. And it's also important to understand that Israel CANNOT start a war alone. BECAUSE they simply don't have the capabilities to do it ON THEIR OWN. It's critically important for netanyahu that USA starts first and netanyahu acts only as a supporting ally, rather than the one escalating the war. Well... because public opinion, coalition, and so on... you understand. So the whole pre-election interesting part now is that trump, I repeat - EVEN BEFORE the elections, starts talking about war, when this is completely unacceptable to American voters. And that automatically reduces the Republicans' chances of securing a majority in Congress. And then there is a possibility that the Democrats will be able to disrupt trump's military actions. And then the already SUPER small chances of defeating the Iranian regime become even smaller. Of course, it's likely that trump will start attacks anyway, because he is simply committed to Israel (don't look for some personal 5D masterplan by trump here, he's not capable of that). And then finally netanyahu may be able to retire, and as a result, the influence of Israel's radical parties will weaken. One way or another, after this whole story of election games, it's worth mentioning that Iran also already has plans for a response, and if necessary, it will not only cut the internet cables in the Strait of Hormuz, but also shoot back pretty hard. AGAIN across the entire region. And then, obviously, the whole story of rising fuel prices will drag on for even longer. And obviously, even more Patriot missiles will be used up, which will then be begrudged to Ukraine. That's all for today about the delusions of old farts trying to change the world. P.S. Hey, follow me for more interesting geopolitics stories.

Ultimora.net reported that Elly Schlein, Giuseppe Conte, Angelo Bonelli, and Nicola Fratoianni had announced primaries to choose the leader of the coalition by February. According to the site, discussions to define a common program would begin the following week, with the goal of finalizing it by November. #Politica #Primarie #Coalizione (translated)

The leaders of the broad field have announced that the coalition's program will be defined by November and the primaries will be held in February, with the aim of building a government alternative and ensuring a leadership supported by all progressive forces. #Opposizione #AlternativaDiGoverno #Primarie (translated)

Popular Victory 2027 wrote that a recent poll showed the far-right coalition led by Giorgia Meloni losing. The account claimed that the reforms of the head of government were backfiring and allowed the left to achieve an absolute majority. It cited 219 seats for the CSX and 144 for the CDX. https://t.co/2Ji468HZ5l #Politique #Élections #Italie (translated)

After the Israeli parliamentary elections, neither of the two political blocs has achieved an absolute majority, with Netanyahu's Likud party having the largest share at 27 seats, but his coalition still falls 53 seats short of a majority in the Knesset. #Israël #verkiezingen #Netanyahu (translated)