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Roberto Reis stated that the electoral race was tight and, in his assessment, Lula had been regaining votes among voters from classes D and E, especially among those concerned about losing social benefits. According to him, this group had supported Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round after promises of improvements and prosperity. Reis said that Lula was not gaining votes from Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, or Renan, but from Flávio. The author claimed that there was an unprecedented fear campaign, with allegations of the political use of CRAS, daycare centers, and educational institutions, in addition to the circulation of false information. According to Reis, voters were being warned that they could lose their pensions, Bolsa Família, BPC, and minimum wage adjustments. Reis said that Flávio had already started to react with an advertisement about public safety, crime, and factions, which also reaffirmed the commitment to maintain and improve social programs. In the author's view, the response should be more incisive, with the participation of new allies. He also advocated for Flávio and Cleitinho to jointly present a national proposal for the IPVA, citing the discussion about the tax in Minas Gerais, where, according to him, Cleitinho won in the first round. Regarding the polls, Reis assessed that Flávio was still leading by about 2 points, possibly reaching 3 in the final stretch, while Lula faced greater rejection and a persistent ceiling. He noted that some polls already indicated a tie but expressed reservations about the sampling considerations, especially regarding the composition of social segments. For Reis, the transfer of votes from the third way had already occurred, and the challenge was to maintain the votes gained in the first round. He asked Rogério Marinho to demand greater participation from the new allies and a more precise direction for communication actions. #Eleições2024 #Lula #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)

Xico Graziano stated that a Datafolha survey indicated a 2 percentage point difference between Flávio and Lula, although, according to him, the institute's methodology tended slightly to the left. Graziano said that Lula had a 46% rejection rate, compared to 44% for Flávio, and that 41% disapproved of the PT government, while 35% supported it. In the author's assessment, the indices indicated that Lula's electoral influence was discredited and that, without an extraordinary event or a serious mistake by Flávio, it would be difficult for Lula to reverse the scenario. #Eleição2024 #PolíticaBrasil #DataFolha (translated)

Attention, Vasco fans! It was reported that the President of the Superior Court of Justice (STJ), Minister Luis Felipe Salomão, did not grant, on Thursday (15), the request from Fla-Flu Serviços S.A. to suspend the decision that authorized Vasco x Boca Juniors at Maracanã on October 20 at 9:30 PM for the semifinal of the Copa Sul-Americana. According to the report, Salomão considered that the concessionaire, constituted by Flamengo and Fluminense, did not have the legitimacy to appeal to this legal instrument, as it is a private company and does not act as a delegate of public service. The minister also understood that the choice of the stadium did not constitute a primary public interest that would justify the exceptional request. The publication stated that Fla-Flu Serviços had claimed risks related to the meeting of the fans, the operation of the stadium, the pitch, and the need for a minimum interval of 72 hours between matches. According to the report, Salomão concluded that the company did not prove a serious threat to public order, security, or the economy. He also pointed out that the transfer of the basketball game between Flamengo and Botafogo alleviated some of the concerns. Furthermore, according to Attention, Vasco fans!, the minister considered that potential damage to the pitch would not constitute serious harm to public assets nor justify the suspension. The publication added that he evaluated that the request could not substitute for a judicial appeal and that any questioning regarding the actions of judges from the Court of Justice of Rio de Janeiro should follow the appropriate appeal channels. The decision maintained the authorization for the match at Maracanã without suspension by the STJ. The publication described the outcome as a procedural victory for Vasco but noted that it did not end all possibilities for judicial contestation. It also informed that the decision concerning Safety Suspension No. 3,678/RJ was signed at 12:49 PM on October 15, 2026. #Vasco #BocaJuniors #Maracanã (translated)

Biazita Gomes stated that, according to the Quaest survey, the rejection of Flávio Bolsonaro had surpassed the rejection of Lula. She interpreted the result as a sign that the campaign to convert votes was working and argued that it should continue. https://t.co/uL8xsOvpxO #Política #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

JH Fonseca stated that the new Quaest survey indicated an increase in rejection of Flávio and attributed the result to André Janones' group, which he accused of spreading lies. According to him, the campaign should react by trying to raise the rejection of Lula and recalling themes such as the Supreme Court, Lava Jato, Mensalão, and inflation. #Política #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Guilherme Cortez stated that some polls indicated a 2% difference, although the previous week it had reached 6%, and that in spontaneous polling, the distance was 1%. He said that the turnaround was getting closer and that the rejection of Flávio had already surpassed that of Lula, while the number of people afraid of the family returning to power was increasing. Cortez stated that the majority of Cury's voters supported Lula and that people intending to abstain or nullify their vote were deciding to vote for the president. He attributed this change to the mobilization of supporters with family, friends, coworkers, and on the streets, as well as viral publications and efforts to reduce abstention. He said that opponents would try to intensify efforts to prevent the campaign from advancing and advocated for increased mobilization. Cortez asserted that victory was near and called on supporters to continue fighting. #Lula #Eleições2024 #VotoConsciente (translated)

Thomaz wrote that a new Quaest poll for the second round showed Flávio Bolsonaro with 46% and Lula with 44%, in addition to 1% undecided. According to him, the rejection was 54% for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and 53% for Lula (PT). Thomaz also asked his supporters to keep up the effort to reverse the result. https://t.co/KsSFqTGhAI #Eleições2024 #Pesquisa #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

The Elections Research reported that a Quaest survey on the Presidency indicated a rejection of 54% for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and 53% for Lula (PT). According to the publication, the rates were virtually tied and, considering the margin of error of two percentage points, there was no statistically conclusive difference. The report stated that the numbers measured the declared resistance of the interviewees, but did not solely determine electoral behavior. The publication mentioned that the survey was commissioned by Globo and the newspaper O Globo, and was conducted between October 10 and 13, 2026, with 2,154 interviewees aged 16 or older. It indicated a margin of error of two percentage points, a confidence level of 95%, and registration with the TSE BR-08729/2026. https://t.co/MEK8D0lpvL #Eleições2026 #PolíticaBrasil #RejeiçãoCandidatos (translated)

Alfred Newmann stated that the anti-PT movement had never had so much engagement in the country and said that the rejection of Lula was huge. He also used a derogatory expression to refer to him and argued that he should not return. #LulaNuncaMais #AntiPT #Rejeição #PolíticaBrasil (translated)

Pedro Menin wrote that, after the Ana Elisa episode, his sources said that Lula's campaign had considered the possibility of him withdrawing from the candidacy and letting Geraldo Alckmin take his place, in an attempt to keep the PT in power. According to Menin, this hypothesis was motivated by the lower rejection of the vice president, and Lula and Janja would take on ministries. Menin stated that, according to Article 77, § 4 of the Constitution, a candidate who withdraws before the second round could not be replaced, and that Augusto Cury, as the highest remaining candidate, would enter the race. He also cited Article 13 of Law 9.504 and said that the substitution rule would only apply if the new registration was requested up to 20 days before the election, except in cases of death; for the second round, the constitutional rule would prevail. He stated that members of the campaign were angry and desperate in the face of a defeat they considered imminent, and said that just a few weeks earlier, no one believed in this possibility. Menin also predicted that Lula would be humiliated and that his political career would come to an end on the 25th, presenting the contest as a “Holy War” between what he called the people of God and the PT. #Lula #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasil (translated)

TWICE BRAZIL stated that it will not promote or encourage streams of a possible collaboration between TWICE and artists that, according to the fan club, are openly associated with Zionism. The group said it hopes that JYP's A&R team, including Jane Kim, is aware that the decision could generate rejection and criticism towards the group. It also accused the company of neglecting TWICE and disrespecting the fans. If the collaboration is confirmed, the fan club stated that it will organize email campaigns, hashtags, and boycott guidance, and requested support from the ONCEs. #TWICE #ONCE #Boicote (translated)

The 2026 Brazilian presidential election revealed a deeply divided country, with Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva emerging as candidates for the runoff despite high levels of rejection, reflecting a political polarization that has consolidated over the past decade. #EleiçõesBrasil #Polarização #LulaBolsonaro (translated)

The article analyzes the political situation in Spain, criticizing "sanchismo" and Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's inadequate response to the housing crisis, which culminated in his decision to call for early elections after the rejection of two decrees in the House of Representatives. #Sanchismo #Habitação #Eleições (translated)

Julio Schneider stated that the leadership of União Brasil rejected Davi Alcolumbre's attempt to condition support for Flávio Bolsonaro on a written guarantee of reelection to the Presidency of the Senate. According to him, Alcolumbre was trying to link support in the presidential succession to remaining in charge of the House, but no agreement was reached. Schneider also said that the Brazilian population rejected Alcolumbre and criticized what he described as maneuvers to stay in office. He added that support for Flávio Bolsonaro would not include Alcolumbre's reelection. #PolíticaBR #Senado #UniãoBrasil (translated)

Felipe Leme stated that five states where Flávio won recorded abstention rates above the average. According to the numbers he presented, in Mato Grosso do Sul the abstention was 23.9%, with 58.6% of the votes for Flávio and 34.7% for Lula; in Rio de Janeiro, 23.3%, 53% and 39.4%, respectively; in Minas Gerais, 22.8%, 48.2% and 43.3%; in São Paulo, 22.5%, 51.9% and 38.2%; and in Mato Grosso, 22.2%, 65.2% and 29.2%. Leme argued that supporters in these states should seek out people who did not vote, investigate the reasons for their absence, and offer help when necessary. He assessed that it would be easier to win rejection votes against Lula's government among abstainers than among voters who chose another candidate. The author also said that, after Sunday’s results, the left had already mobilized, while Flávio’s supporters were limited to celebrating. Leme stated that the dispute involved the PT, the STF, and the PL itself, and accused the PT of distributing false material and news and of dominating social media. For him, it was time to broaden the lead in the first round. #Eleições2023 #Voto #Flávio (translated)