Hello, this has no basis whatsoever. It rained much less, on average, in the highland during this event than in 2024. Moreover, the Guaíba has as its main contributor the Jacuí, whose source is not in the highland. The largest part of the basin cuts through the center of the state, where there was no extreme rainfall. Rivers like the Caí and Taquari have already left their beds, and of course, they will contribute to the Guaíba rising, but in 2024 all contributing rivers (Jacui, Taquari, Sinos, Gravataí, and Caí) had record floods simultaneously, and none will even come close to the levels of 2024. That said, there is no possibility in this current event of a repetition of 2024 or anything even remotely similar. (translated)
