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The author Mafalda Pratas argues that the lack of political accountability in Brazil, evidenced by the absence of discussions on public policies and the prevalence of ideological ties and rejection, threatens the future of Brazilian democracy, regardless of who wins the next elections. (translated)

"THE FORCE WING" DISTURBS THE GAME (ONCE AGAIN) TO BENEFIT LULA In the way it is, an inevitable question arises: what are the rules of this election? Every day there is a new court decision interfering in the electoral process. This generates insecurity and feeds a serious doubt: if Flávio Bolsonaro wins at the polls, will the result be respected or could new decisions alter the course of the election? The episode of the Globo Network debate is yet another example of this discussion. A tradition from previous elections - leaving the podium empty for an absent candidate - has become the object of a court decision. Not even defining as a parameter for a high-level debate that the candidate's party has robust representation in the National Congress is respected anymore. It is also legitimate to question whether the same criteria adopted in 2022 are being applied in 2026. In the last election, for example, Jair Bolsonaro was prevented from streaming live from his official residence, as it was decided that this violated the equality of the race between candidates. Today, Lula gives live interviews to television channels from that same location. Regardless of who is the benefited or harmed candidate, democracy demands clear, predictable, and equal rules for all. When the rules change during the game, trust in the already moribund institutions is once again stabbed. And no democracy can treat this as something normal. In this way, it is better for the "Force Wing" of the STF to soon declare the winner of this and future elections. (translated)

Vasco has the lowest number of injuries in Serie A in 2026, according to @geglobo. The Giant recorded 15 injuries in 54 matches, the best rate among the clubs in the competition. The most serious case is that of Brenner, with a ligament injury in his foot, which has already sidelined the team in 15 games, followed by Cuiabano, with 13. (translated)

In 2022, Moraes was presiding over the TSE and judging the electoral propaganda himself. And he kept Cármen Lúcia, already the holder, in the role, so that the actions would not fall into the hands of a substitute named... Kassio Nunes Marques. No one talked about "cumulative functions." In 2026, Kassio presides over the TSE and does the SAME. He has become an "emperor," in Gilmar's words. And the pro-regime faction of the Supreme Court is already considering that Dino will distance him, along with Mendonça, three days before the election. The request is from Paulinho da Força, who owes his mandate to a decision from the TSE led by Moraes. Filed, look at that, in a case about a TikTok video from Paraná. The rule changes according to the target. If Flávio wins, the carpet already has an address. And only a Senate with 54 votes for the impeachment of ministers can close that door. (translated)

I was just acting in two simultaneous trials; possibly the two most viral electoral cases of 2026: Nikolas vs. ICL (the "lindão" case) and Flávio Bolsonaro vs. Antonio Tabet (the Nossa Senhora Aparecida case). I gave an oral argument in the Nikolas case and we won by majority in the TRE-MG (we will publish a note with details soon). In Tabet's case, I am cautiously optimistic, the current score is 3 to 2 to uphold the injunction of Minister André Mendonça. Two votes are still needed. (translated)

The main change in Minas is Lula's advance: +4.6 points in the 1st round, while Flávio practically remains stable, oscillating -0.3 points. In the direct confrontation, however, the picture changes more clearly: Lula rises 4.5 points, while Flávio retreats 3.6 points. Zema appears with 4.3%, still far below the 9.8% recorded in the previous scenario reported? (translated)

The polls this year have a bias... What we are seeing in some polls in Brazil goes through a methodology called likely voters. Basically, the institutes try to estimate not only who the voter intends to vote for, but also the probability that this voter will actually show up at the polls. And here's an important point: Lula performs very strongly among lower-income voters, a segment that has historically been more prone to abstention. When this factor enters the model, the tendency is to reduce his advantage and create an appearance of greater closeness to Flávio. Does that make sense? More or less... The problem is that this type of methodology depends on something extremely difficult: predicting today who will effectively vote on Election Sunday. And 2026 may have a completely different dynamic from 2022. What we are seeing in terms of mobilization in the streets in favor of Lula, for example, is something that must be taken into account. Mobilization also affects the voter’s willingness to leave home to vote. Therefore, I have my doubts about to what extent this "likely voter" model will be able to accurately capture this election. The traditional method of voting intention has always worked in Brazil. In 2022, we had a very specific context, including PRF operations involving the transportation of voters that led the TSE itself to intervene during the second round. This needs to be remembered when someone tries to use that election as an absolute parameter to project abstention in 2026. So I would be very cautious with polls that try to turn voting intention into predictions of turnout. After all, polls measure intention. Who will or will not step outside on election day is a variable that is much more difficult to predict. (translated)

ANOTHER SURVEY CONFIRMS: SANDERSON AND I ARE LEADING FOR THE SENATE! 🇧🇷 The new Real Time Big Data survey confirms the strength of our people: I lead with 23%, and Sanderson is in second place with 19%! We remain strong in the final stretch to consolidate this duo of courage, principles, and work done in the Federal Senate! Remember that this year, the vote for the Senate is double and you cannot repeat the number on the ballot: to ensure this victory from end to end, vote for Marcel 300 and Sanderson 222! ----- The Real Time Big Data institute's survey interviewed 1,600 voters between September 24 and 28, 2026. The margin of error is 2 percentage points, with a confidence interval of 95%. The survey is registered with the Superior Electoral Court under the number RS-05412/2026. (translated)

🇧🇷 ELEIÇÕES 2026 | SENADO - MINAS GERAIS Quatro candidatos estão tecnicamente empatados na reta final da disputa ao Senado em Minas. 🔵 Domingos Sávio (PL): 14% (+4) 🔴 Marília Campos (PT): 13% (=) 🔵 Carlos Viana (PSD): 12% (+2) 🔵 Aécio Neves (PSDB): 12% (+2) 🔵 Marcelo Aro (PP): 6% (=) 🟠 Marco Antônio Superman (Novo): 4% (+3) 🟣 Áurea Carolina (PSOL): 4% (+1) ⚫ Ana Luiza do MLB (UP): 0% (−1) 🟢 Arcanjo Pimenta (MDB): 0% (=) 🟠 Carlin Moura (Avante): 0% (−1) ⚫ Fidélis Alcântara (UP): 0% (−1) 🔴 Jordano Metalúrgico (PSTU): 0% (=) ⚫ Juiz Ramon Moreira (DC): 0% (=) 🟢 Manoel Carvalho (MDB): 0% (=) 🔴 Tião Pessoa (PCO): 0% (=) 🔴 Victória Mello Vic (PSTU): 0% (=) ⚪️ Branco/nulo/não vai votar: 17% (+2) ❔ Indecisos: 18% (−11) 📊 Quaest/TV Globo 📅 25-28/setembro 1.506 entrevistados • ±3 p.p. • Presencial Registro TSE: MG-02019/2026 #Eleições2026 #Senado #Mineiros

🇧🇷 ELEIÇÕES 2026 | SENADO - RIO DE JANEIRO Empate triplo número na reta final da corrida ao Senado no Rio de Janeiro. 🔴 Benedita da Silva (PT): 15% (=) 🔵 Carlos Jordy (PL): 15% (+5) 🔵 Carlos Portinho (PL): 15% (+5) 🟢 Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos): 7% (=) 🔵 Pedro Paulo (PSD): 7% (+1) 🟣 Monica Benício (PSOL): 6% (+2) 🟢 Waguinho (Republicanos): 2% (−1) ⚫ Michelly Xavier (UP): 1% (=) ⚫ Marcos Dias (Podemos): 1% (=) ⚪️ Branco/nulo/não vai votar: 22% (+1) ❔ Indecisos: 9% (−12) 📊 Quaest/TV Globo 📅 25-28/setembro 1.302 entrevistados • ±3 p.p. • Presencial Registro TSE: RJ-04419/2026 #Eleições2026 #Senado #RioDeJaneiro

A pesquisa ouviu 2.400 pessoas em todo o país de 24 a 28 de setembro de 2026. A margem de erro é 2 pontos percentuais. O grau de confiança do levantamento é de 95,55%. Está registrado no TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) sob o número BR-03929/2026. https://t.co/R5Il3Sm0JL #Pesquisa #Eleições2026 #Brasil

Anitta faz vídeo-manifesto sobre as Eleições 2026: “Para milhões de brasileiros, não existe a escala 6x1, mas sim 7x0. Estão te roubando a coisa mais preciosa que você tem: o seu tempo. Quem defende a família, tem que defender que a família fique junta.” https://t.co/mwddDjDbI6 #Eleições2026 #Anitta #PolíticaBrasil

Uma postagem do perfil oficial de Lula no Instagram sobre a medida provisória que proíbe todas as apostas esportivas e cassinos online no país, assinada na última sexta-feira, se tornou o conteúdo mais visto (mais de 28,7 milhões de visualizações) e com o maior número de interações (1,8 milhão) nas redes sociais do presidente em 2026. O recorde de engajamento no ano validou a avaliação da campanha do petista de que a iniciativa se conectou com a vida real do eleitor brasileiro e poderá ter impacto positivo para ele na votação de domingo. (Globo) #Lula #Apostas #Eleições2026