Victor Garcia

Victor Garcia wrote that, in the following year, Flávio would have to choose between cutting expenses to try to save R$ 150 billion and resuming the bets, which, according to him, would drain R$ 170 billion from the economy during a global crisis. Garcia stated that he would be present to double the profile with the regretful voters. #Política #Economia #Eleições (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that, in a potential government of Flávio, Lula would be the main name of the opposition, not the PT. He imagined that Lula could travel to China to talk with Xi Jinping and to Russia and the United States to dialogue with the Democrats, should they win the majority in Congress. Garcia assessed that Flávio would not have an easy time in the international scenario. According to him, the moral barriers to seeking external support and justifying interventions would have fallen after the adversaries themselves established this logic. In the author's view, Lula could influence the country's direction more as an opposition leader than in government, if he were conditioned by a Congress dominated by them. #Política #Brasil #Lula (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that privatizing a public company equated, in his view, to a politician receiving a commission to hand it over for a value 50, 100, or 600 times lower than its worth, despite having been financed with public money. He said that, as a result, people would pay more for a worse service. #Privatização #ServiçosPúblicos #Corrupção (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that China was buying soybeans from Brazil due to Brazilian competitiveness and the strategic interest in diversifying suppliers beyond the United States. According to him, if these economic and geopolitical conditions changed, Beijing could shift a significant portion of its purchases to the Americans. Garcia also said that Donald Trump had plans to reduce Brazilian sales to China and that the Brazilian agribusiness was still unaware of this. In the end, he defended allowing the situation to worsen. #China #Brasil #Agro (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that Flávio would have asked for votes while committing an electoral crime, possibly as a strategy to go viral. He encouraged the dissemination of the allegation that Flávio's first act would have been to commit an illegal act and proposed to repeat the tactic. #Eleições2024 #CrimeEleitoral #Viralizar (translated)

Victor Garcia wrote that the TSE considered that asking for votes on election day could constitute the crime of "boca de urna" even without mentioning the candidate's number. According to him, what characterized the conduct was trying to convince someone to vote for a specific candidate, party, federation, or coalition. Garcia added that the court also pointed out that requests for votes and approaches to voters to influence their choice were prohibited. #Eleições2023 #BocaDeUrna #TSE (translated)

Victor Garcia cited a statement from Felipe Nunes of Quaest, stating that voters could see Flávio Bolsonaro as a protest vote against judicial interference in the elections. Garcia claimed that Nunes had been completely instructed by the contractor, which, according to him, had been promoting this discourse over the past two days. #Eleições2024 #Política #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that the demobilization of voters was a factor studied in electoral polls and said he found it strange that, despite a candidate leading the numbers of a poll, the narrative spread that he would end up losing. According to Garcia, this could lead supporters to stop voting in the first round because they would believe the defeat was already defined. He also said he suspected that a media group preferred the victory of the opponent of the current ruler because of another decision that, according to him, was costing the group millions per day. Garcia noted that he could not prove this intention and presented his interpretation as the only explanation he found for the coverage. #Voto #Eleições #Desmobilização (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that the CNT survey reassured him and that its numbers were consistent with other polls. According to him, the survey indicated a ceiling of votes for Flávio and a higher rejection of him than of Lula. Garcia said that, as he had already predicted, the election would be defined by rejection and by the end of the 6x1 scale, which could be approved in the second round. #Eleições2024 #Política #Pesquisa (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that Bolsonaro's supporters had stopped attacking Alexandre de Moraes and had started to criticize Flávio Dino. He predicted that the next target would be Gilmar and said that the group would try to weaken, one by one, those they considered opponents of the "myth." Garcia assessed that the strategy should not have a significant effect and criticized the theses used by the Bolsonaro supporters. #Política #Brasil #Bolsonaro (translated)

Victor Garcia stated that for Flávio to win, he would need to surpass Lula by 14% in São Paulo, 10% in Rio de Janeiro, and 6% in Minas Gerais. He also wrote that Lula would have to lose 10% in the Northeast, while the rest would maintain a balance of 22. #Eleições2024 #Política #ResultadosEleitorais (translated)