Today, more than 158 million Brazilians will go to the polls to choose between Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro in the presidential race, marked by fierce competition and a scenario of a technical tie in the polls. #Eleições2026 #LulaDaSilva #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)
Pri wrote that journalist Cláudio Dantas defended audits and investigations into possible financial links between banks, broadcasters, and research institutes. According to her, he also criticized errors in electoral polls and warned that compromising the credibility of a poll would harm the entire sector, urging institutes not to manipulate data and to work seriously. https://t.co/AAQOE7crU0 #Pesquisa #Eleição #Jornalismo (translated)
Hayy wrote that Felipe Nunes, director of Quaest, attributed the rapprochement between Lula and Flávio in the polls to the inclusion of voters who did not vote in the first round. According to Hayy, Nunes stated that when considering the so-called probable voter, this rapprochement could lose strength and Flávio could remain ahead. (translated)
cafecomferri stated that it received three tracking polls in which Flávio was ahead by 5, 4.5, and 3.5 points. He said that polls from the left showed a close race to avoid demobilizing the activists and argued that the matter should be investigated seriously after the elections. He also accused these polls of aiming to manipulate people. #Eleições2024 #PesquisaEleitoral #Manipulação (translated)
Joaquin Teixeira Eterno stated that a source within the PT had confirmed an instruction to insist that Lula "has changed." According to him, polls he considered suspicious and authorities would also reinforce this thesis. The author said that the plan would be to create discouragement among opponents and described the strategy as a coup. #Lula #PT #política (translated)
Pedro Menezes wrote that Quaest had interrupted a series of unfavorable polls for Lula and continued to indicate a turning point. According to him, Flávio Bolsonaro was leading by 1 percentage point, while 2% of the electorate remained undecided. Menezes assessed that if the poll was correct, Lula still had a good chance of reversing the scenario. #Lula #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)
JH Fonseca stated that Flávio Bolsonaro was ahead of Lula in the Palver and Meio/Ideia polls released that day. According to the numbers he mentioned, Palver showed Flávio with 50% and Lula with 48% (-1), while Meio/Ideia recorded 48% for Flávio and 46% for Lula. Fonseca ended with the expression "bye, dear." #Eleições2024 #FlávioBolsonaro #Lula (translated)
Pablo Spyer stated that the market was monitoring research, fiscal issues, earnings reports, and the positive external scenario. He also introduced himself as the winner of the iBest award for the largest investment influencer in 2023 and mentioned the titles of the best investment program in Brazil in 2022 and the best radio program in Brazil in 2021. https://t.co/vghol3hnk4 #Investimentos #MercadoFinanceiro #Prêmios (translated)
Renato Rovai said that it was necessary to strengthen the Democracy Forum Channel for the coverage of Globo's debate, which, in his assessment, would decide the election. Citing surveys released that morning by Ideia and Palver, he stated that the difference remained at 2 points for him and that more than 15% of voters could still change their vote. Rovai said he believed many were waiting for the debate to consolidate their choice and that there were real chances of victory. He stated that Fórum would conduct real-time fact-checking and publish sources to counter false information. He also requested that the channel's link be shared in groups and on social media. https://t.co/fQ3gtcrnEK #Democracia #Eleições2023 #Debate (translated)
JH Fonseca stated that a source from the Workers' Party described the atmosphere in Lula's campaign as shown in a link, amid polls that, according to him, indicated a decline for the leftist candidate. https://t.co/X92KkUM9eb #Lula #Eleições #Política (translated)
The journalist stated that Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign filed a request with the TSE asking for measures against the digital mobilization associated with President Lula and led by André Janones. According to the author, the request aimed to contain, on Google, X, and Meta, the coordinated amplification of searches, search suggestions, and hashtags that could harm the campaign. The journalist questioned whether searches conducted by thousands of Brazilians about the Bolsonaros would also be subject to restrictions and stated that, on the same day, Pablo Marçal gathered about 300 influencers to coordinate digital actions in favor of Flávio. The author accused the campaign of applying different criteria to the mobilization of supporters and opponents, citing as sources the process 0603214-33.2026.6.00.0000 from the TSE and Folha de S.Paulo. #LiberdadeDeExpressão #Censura #Eleições2024 (translated)
Poponze wrote that Janones predicted Flávio Bolsonaro's defeat and Lula's re-election. According to the publication, Janones claimed to have predicted Flávio's rise in the polls and his leadership at the end of the first round, stating that his analysis was based on reading social media, not on optimism. https://t.co/m4YzMqmdaA #Lula #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)
André Janones stated that he had predicted that Flávio would advance in the polls and finish the first round ahead. He said that this was not due to optimism, but to his ability to interpret social media. #Flavio #Eleições2023 #RedesSociais (translated)
Renan Augusto stated that the focus should be on Sunday's voting, and not on the polls or the betting results from Faria Lima. He argued that each person should mobilize three votes and said that the polls could reflect biases, getting closer to reality only on the eve of the election to avoid embarrassment. He also declared that Lula would win. #Eleições2023 #Lula #Votação (translated)
Guga Noblat wrote that the PoderData poll released the day before, which showed Flávio increasing his lead from 2 to 4 points, had not raised any alarms in Lula's campaign. According to him, internal polls indicated a tie in the two previous days, but the release of a Big Data poll, which showed a 3-point difference between Flávio and Lula, made the PT team sound the alarm. Noblat said the team was awaiting new internal polls to assess whether they should be concerned. (translated)
Biazita Gomes wrote that the polls continued to indicate a technical tie between Lula and Flávio. She recalled that, in the last week of the first round, the scenario also showed Flávio behind before he turned the result around. For Gomes, a turnaround was not impossible, but it would depend on everyone continuing to be mobilized. #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasil #Mobilização (translated)
Tiago Guitián Reis stated that, from that point on, the surveys would go through the traditional final adjustment and would "magically" approach the real result. #Pesquisa #Eleições #Resultados (translated)
Dawisson Belém Lopes wrote that Flávio Bolsonaro would arrive at the Globo debate tied or, more likely, behind in the polls, and would have to participate. According to Lopes, Lula could demand from him the release of tax, banking, and telecommunication secrecy. The author stated that the president had put the opponent in check and questioned how Flávio could escape the situation. #Debate #Eleições2024 #Política (translated)
