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Michal Smetana

24 posts
Profile compiled from news and social media.

Michal Smetana

Czech political scientist and researcher
@MichalSmetana3 · 6,332 Followers

(TR) So far, it is not clear whether the content of the MoU is actually formulated this way. Trump is allegedly taking time to think. In any case, it currently looks like a shift towards a limited agreement and further negotiations (option no. 1 here: https://t.co/cUaE283lv1)

(TR) According to the website @axios, a memorandum to extend the ceasefire between the USA and Iran has been agreed upon, in the form we discussed last week. It is now reportedly awaiting Trump's approval.

Among the bad options, 1 sounds the most reasonable; if pursued w/ serious diplomacy, it could still (in theory) lead to a solid deal on the nuclear issue (albeit not the one that Trump wanted) with strict verification/monitoring provisions in exchange for sanction relief. #NuclearDiplomacy #SanctionsRelief #Verification #Therearenospecificcountrycodesmentionedinthetweet.

🧵 1/13 Trump convenes a Cabinet meeting at the White House today, likely to discuss next steps regarding Iran. What are the options he can then decide to go for, and the risks for each of them? My 2 cents (if I miss some, let me know): https://t.co/ZIpAnocryX #Trump #Iran #CabinetMeeting #IR

RT @John_Hudson: SCOOP: The U.S. has depleted much of its inventory of advanced missile-defense interceptors after expending far more high-… #MissileDefense #USMilitary #NationalSecurity #US

RT @citrinowicz: Told @IsaCNN @cnni: Nobody should be surprised by the speed of Iran’s military recovery. We already saw indications of th… #Iran #MilitaryRecovery #Geopolitics #IR

RT @G_Slattery: Scoop: The Trump admin is planning to tell NATO allies this week that it will shrink the pool of military capabilities the… #NATO #TrumpAdministration #MilitaryCapabilities #US #NATO

RT @ShabnamShabani: No surprise, but he just admitted they were planning to attack Iran again during the negotiations. https://t.co/7LdwRCu… #Iran #Negotiations #Geopolitics #IR

RT @annmarie: Axios: Some close advisers to President Trump fear the biggest substantive result of the China summit is heightened danger th… #ChinaSummit #TrumpAdvisers #Diplomacy #CN #US

RT @citrinowicz: Before Striking Iran (again): Defining Achievable and realistic Objectives or Washington Keeps Repeating the Same Mistake… #Iran #Washington #ForeignPolicy #IR

Over the past year, there has been a growing perception in Russia that the United States (and other NATO allies) would not defend the Baltics against a Russian attack. https://t.co/tWDBEteu1F #Russia #NATO #Baltics #RU #US #NATO

RT @John_Hudson: SCOOP: A confidential new U.S. intelligence analysis details how China is exploiting the war in Iran to maximize its advan… #China #IranWar #IntelligenceAnalysis #US #CN #IR

(TR) The development of this war caused by the USA and Israel has very negative impacts on Europe/Czech Republic, and its cheering by some people has proven to be unwise.

@prcprague 2/3 Zde odkaz na náš starší článek s daty o rozdílech mezi postoji českých voličů a politiků: https://t.co/PjhGpUcLYM #politika #volby #ČeskáRepublika

1/3 Kolegyně a kolegové z @prcprague mají nová (2026) data k měnícím se postojům Čechů k Izraeli a izraelsko-palestinskému konfliktu👇 #Izrael #Palestina #MěnícíSePostoje

Obecně se dá říct, že čeští politici jsou v průměru výrazně více proizraelští než jejich voliči 👇 https://t.co/GlilM0ynXY #ČeskáPolitika #Izrael #VolebníPreference

@ivan_gabal 2/2 (...) se v jednáních od JPA v r. 2013 k JCPOA v r. 2015 trvala skoro dva roky; současná administrativa nebude mít trpělivost ani na malý zlomek toho. A ďábel bude samozřejmě v detailech, #Diplomacie #JCPOA #MezinárodníVztahy

@ivan_gabal 1/2 Rozhodně souhlas, byla to EU3+3 dohoda a role EU byla klíčová, to "Obamova" bylo spíš vztažené k tomu rámování, co vůči JCPOA používal Trump. Těch témat je tam víc (reprocessing, Arak...), otázka je, co je realistické očekávat v dnešním časovém rámci: jen posunout (...) #EU #diplomacie #JCPOA

13/ ale byla by to dobrá cesta ze současné situace a měla by potenciál konečně vést ke stabilitě. Samozřejmě kromě jaderného programu se budou řešit i otázky Hormuzského průlivu, Libanonu atd., ale nalezení kompromisu v té jaderné je nyní to hlavní pro další průlom v jednáních. #Stabilita #Diplomacie #JadernýProgram

Presenting our @ERC_Research MICROCODE findings at @KingsCollegeLon w/ @Lauren_Sukin & Isabelle Haynes https://t.co/HmPM7YJi4n

“Step back and the broader picture is hard to ignore. Russia wins on all fronts. China largely benefits strategically but suffers economically. U.S. alliances especially NATO take another major hit. And the United States finds itself more entangled, at higher cost in the M. East”

RT @SinaToossi: Netanyahu’s statement is a case study in self-inflicted crises. The uranium stockpiles he wants gone didn’t exist under th…

“[Trump] is getting a little bored with Iran,” [...] “Not that he regrets it or something — he’s just bored and wants to move on.” [...] Trump's public messaging is “confusing, internally inconsistent, and increasingly detached from battlefield reality.” https://t.co/5ro5D3XdtW -

RT @HamidRezaAz: #Iran War Update No. 23 (focus on Iranian strategic narrative): 🔹President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum demanding tha… -