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Lorenzo Pregliasco

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Lorenzo Pregliasco

Italian academic
@lorepregliasco · 85,086 Followers
@lorepregliasco
3 Followers

"See reform töötati välja ajal, mil Vannacci polnud veel pildil. See kavandati ajal, mil Meloni ei osanud oodata opositsiooni tekkimist oma paremale tiivale, opositsiooni, mis võiks toetust vähendada ja osutuda üleriigilistel valimistel otsustavaks teguriks,"

Itaalia senat andis Meloni valimissüsteemi reformile rohelise tule
www.err.ee

The new New York Times/Siena poll on the midterm elections: very dark shades for Trump and the Republicans. The president's unpopularity on the economy, inflation, and wars is sinking the GOP's support. (translated)

Electoral flows in Saxony-Anhalt: AfD gains 280 thousand votes, well 170 thousand from abstention. Turnout increases by 18 points and rewards the right. Even in Italy, if someone worked on recovering the abstainers, they could win elections for a long time. (translated)

In fact, the level of education is strongly correlated with the socio-economic condition of the family, as well as with the geography of urban/rural and center/periphery. Those who study more often do so because they can afford it. It is an indirect indicator of class dynamics. (translated)

One must really be acting in bad faith to think that presenting the social and demographic analysis of the vote contains a value judgment on the dignity of the voters. In democracy, fortunately, the vote of a citizen who has not studied counts as much as that of someone with a doctorate. (translated)

Gigantic gap in the vote in Saxony-Anhalt based on education level. AfD at 57% among the least educated and at 23% among graduates. (translated)

The flows: as many as 157 thousand votes for AfD come from voters who previously abstained. Very interesting dynamics of mobilization. (translated)

The growth of AfD in Saxony-Anhalt compared to previous elections is the largest growth in the history of German elections since the Second World War to today. (translated)

In Saxony-Anhalt, the AfD is at 44.5% in the exit poll, slightly above the pre-vote polls (where it was at 42%). It's worth watching the allocation of seats: at the moment, AfD is estimated between 39 and 41, with the threshold for an absolute majority being 42. (translated)

“non esiste in Europa un sistema con premio di maggioranza e doppio turno”

Legge elettorale, le simulazioni con il ballottaggio: ecco chi vincerebbe (e perché Vannacci potrebbe essere decisivo)
www.ilmessaggero.it

Il generale Vannacci non crede ai sondaggi, ma i sondaggi (molto positivi per Futuro Nazionale!) sono il principale motivo per cui si parla di Futuro Nazionale #FuturoNazionale #sondaggi #politica

CIA Director John Ratcliffe, in the secret meeting in Moscow, told the Russian authorities that their war in Ukraine is going very badly. (translated)

Historic decision in the United States. Meta will pay up to 17 billion dollars in fines and will implement radical changes to its products, limiting for example the usage time for adolescents. (translated)

Sensational story: upon returning from the NATO summit in Ankara, Trump was secretly transferred from Air Force One to another jet, without the knowledge of the other passengers. Americans took the Iranian threats very seriously. (translated)

Controversy over primaries and Ukraine. Conte and Schlein, the leadership issue. Will the broad field manage to lose the elections despite Vannacci? Soon at the Cube of @SkyTG24 (translated)

Articles written with AI. Books written with AI. Podcasts written with AI. Shows written with AI. Have you noticed the frantic output of content in the last two years? As @TheEconomist says, it's a problem because this undermines the value of ALL content. (translated)

In just a little while live on @SkyTG24 with all the data from the new survey @you_trend. Vannacci's explosive growth to 7.6%, just a breath away from Forza Italia. And after the Roggero case regarding self-defense, 57% of Italians are asking for less stringent rules. (translated)

The blocking factor that could determine the outcome of the elections with the new electoral system. (translated)

The problem? With the secret vote, it would be difficult to have the numbers to pass it. But there remains the political rift of FDI towards Lega and FI. (translated)

With @you_trend we have demonstrated that most of the elected would have been the blocked top candidates. In small lists, almost only them. But our analyses also say that, with the Bignami amendment, about 30% of parliamentarians would have been chosen with preferences. (translated)