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Clément Macchi indicated that a forthcoming barometer placed Marine Le Pen's popularity at its highest historical level. He also noted a strong increase for David Lisnard, now at one point behind Édouard Philippe in popularity, as well as a positive trend for almost all right-wing personalities. On the left, Raphaël Glucksmann was, according to him, continuing to make progress. #Politique #Élections2024 #Popularité (translated)

Savionova wrote that she watched David Lisnard on CNEWS and found him composed, convincing, and clear in his responses. She believed that he presented his proposals without beating around the bush and clarified several points of his program. According to her account, Lisnard wanted to fundamentally reform the State so that it focuses more on its sovereign missions, particularly security, justice, and law. On juvenile violence, he proposed lowering the age of criminal responsibility to 16 and reducing the minority excuse from 50% to 20%. He also defended the principle of "the vandal pays," she reported. Savionova stated that Lisnard wanted to reduce contributions on earned income by lowering the CSG rate from 9.2% to 6.6%, in order to increase the net income of workers without raising labor costs for companies. Regarding pensions, he advocated for postponing the retirement age, adding a capitalized pension to the existing system, and freezing pensions above 2,200 euros. Regarding immigration, Lisnard mentioned, according to her, about 500,000 legal arrivals per year and wanted to bring that number down to 80,000, prioritizing work-related immigration that is likely to integrate. He also believed that the debate on immigration should be able to take place without being associated with racist connotations, she wrote. Finally, Savionova reported that Lisnard considered it a priority to produce artificial intelligence and robotics, rather than just limiting themselves to regulating them. He also wanted young people to learn to master these technologies and develop their critical thinking. She described his approach as pragmatic and measured, and believed that his intervention could encourage people to discover his project and join it. #DavidLisnard #PolitiqueFrançaise #Réforme (translated)

The post cited betting markets as suggesting that Marine Le Pen remained the favourite, although her momentum had faded after the deadly attack in Trappes. It also said that Lisnard was extending his lead over Jean-Luc Mélenchon and gradually closing the gap with Édouard Philippe, particularly on Polymarket. https://t.co/BCCpqlIqvL #France #politics #elections #FR (translated)

Six months before the election, the French Mileistes believed that Philippe and Attal had no chance of winning, as they would have to account for Emmanuel Macron's record. They criticized them for not proposing anything and judged their work to be mediocre. The movement considered Retailleau's draft program interesting, while regretting that it lacked details and did not plan to address pensions. They believed that his campaign would be difficult due to his tenure at the Ministry of the Interior and that he had already lost the battle against Lisnard. The French Mileistes advised him to quickly rally behind the latter. Regarding Lisnard, they noted a favorable dynamic on social media, in polls, and for the growth of his party. They described him as a convinced liberal and believed he was the only one who could convince retirees to accept a reduction in their pensions. However, they found it difficult to assess his program, as few definitive elements had been published, and wondered if he could make up for his lack of notoriety in six months. According to them, he would also have to respond to accusations of weakness from the right and potential compromise with the Macronist center. They believed he needed to convince 30 to 40% of the French to embrace liberalism. The French Mileistes considered Marine Le Pen the clear favorite of the election but described her party as historically socialist in economic terms. They praised the change in tone related to the recent presentation of a budget she wanted to be responsible, while judging her calculations so poor that it could, according to them, be seen as dishonesty or amateurism. They believed that without a change in economic direction, she risked leading the country to bankruptcy. Concerning Zemmour, they recalled his historically antiliberal position and attributed a genuine communication effort in favor of liberalism to Sarah Knafo. They considered his change in economic discourse credible, as they saw the economy as secondary for Zemmour, but believed that his budget lacked credibility if it aimed to simultaneously reduce the deficit and taxes. They asserted that Zemmour suffered from a very bad image in public opinion and had almost no chance of winning. In their eyes, R! should have presented Knafo. #Élections2024 #PolitiqueFrançaise #Libéralisme (translated)

Clément Macchi reported the results of the eighth wave of a poll on the 2027 presidential election conducted by Harris Interactive and RTL France. According to him, Le Pen remained well in the lead, with 33 to 35%, while Mélenchon, credited with 17 to 19%, qualified for the second round in all scenarios. He also indicated that the central bloc was still struggling. Tested for the first time, Lisnard garnered 7 to 8% and was ahead of Retailleau by three points, who was credited with 4 to 5%, when the two appeared in the same scenario. Macchi added that the LR candidate was going through a difficult period and that Zemmour was ahead of or matched him in three out of five scenarios. #Présidentielle2027 #Vote #Politique (translated)

Paul Cébille reported presidential voting intentions attributed to Harris Interactive, M6, and RTL, in a scenario he described as "fragmented." According to the figures he published, Le Pen garnered 33%, Mélenchon 17%, Philippe 15%, Glucksmann 12%, Lisnard 7%, Zemmour 5%, and Retailleau 4%. He emphasized that this projection placed Mélenchon in the second round and Retailleau behind Lisnard. https://t.co/u7J8H8NnfO #Présidentielles2027 #Sondage #Politique (translated)

Marc Vanguard wrote that Harris had published its weekly poll, in which Marine Le Pen was ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 16 points. He noted that Édouard Philippe had fallen to 15% and that Bruno Retailleau, credited with 4%, was behind David Lisnard, at 7%. According to him, Lisnard's progress was confirmed. https://t.co/wsMoxgkeIq #Politique #Sondage #Élections (translated)

Clément Macchi wrote that Lisnard had, for the first time, a clear lead over Retailleau. He indicated that the LR candidate, whom he deemed to be in difficulty, was even trailing Zemmour in one of the scenarios, while Mélenchon was slightly declining. For the second round, Macchi stated that Le Pen was reaching unprecedented levels regardless of her opponent and was surpassing even the results recorded by Ifop. #Politique #Élections2022 #France (translated)

Clément Macchi published the figures from the third wave of a hypothesis for the 2027 presidential election conducted by OpinionWay with CNEWS. He indicated Le Pen at 36% (+1), Mélenchon at 16% (+1), Glucksmann at 13% (stable), Philippe at 12% (stable), Retailleau at 6% (stable), Lisnard at 6% (+2), Attal at 4% (-1), and Zemmour at 4% (-1). https://t.co/JQ30wgSy6B #Présidentielle2027 #Politique #Sondage (translated)

David Lisnard, mayor of Cannes and presidential candidate, accuses the far left of inflaming social tensions and manipulating young people, while highlighting the need to isolate repeat offenders to reduce violence during protests. #ExtrêmeGauche #DavidLisnard #République (translated)

Cerfia reported, citing Le Parisien, that Bruno Retailleau and David Lisnard discussed a single right-wing candidacy for the 2027 presidential election during a lunch organized at the initiative of Robert Ménard. The two men also reportedly mentioned the possibility of a primary to differentiate between them. #Présidentielle2027 #Politique #France (translated)

Clément Macchi announced that an upcoming publication would show that following October 17th, more than 6 out of 10 French people were considering protecting themselves by their own means. He added that more than two-thirds blamed LFI for contributing to an environment conducive to violence. According to him, Le Pen, Retailleau, and Lisnard were at the top of the personalities whom the French trusted the most to protect them from looting. #France #Sécurité #Violences (translated)

Sir 𝕏 wrote that Nouvelle Énergie, the party of David Lisnard, should become the second party in France in terms of members up to date with their contributions. According to him, at the current rate, it could surpass Les Républicains and even become the first party in the country, ahead of the RN, by mid-November. He estimated that a change was underway. https://t.co/UITWdRBqZX #Politique #France #PartisPolitiques (translated)