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Aldo Sterone stated that the conflict was no longer genuinely between Ukraine and Russia, but between Russia and France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, which he referred to as the "Trio." He claimed that Ukrainian soldiers were being kidnapped off the streets and then sent to the front, and that Zelensky was securing funds before claiming attacks carried out by the Trio. According to Sterone, Vladimir Putin was constrained by a doctrine inherited from the Soviet era, which would only leave him the choice between a nuclear response and inaction. He estimated that the war was becoming asymmetric and asserted that Russia had just lost a third refinery in three days, while Ukraine was devastated and had almost no valid targets left. He predicted that Russian strikes would be followed by new drone attacks on Russian facilities. Sterone also claimed that France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, along with the United States, were seeking to dismantle Russia into 22 republics. He asserted that the European Union was ready to ruin its economy to achieve this goal. He added that Yandex's data centers would not return to normal operations before 2030, according to the most optimistic estimates he cited. He presented three scenarios: the continuation of economic pressure and attacks on Russian infrastructure; a coup that would replace Putin with a general, followed by what he suggested would be conventional strikes against Paris, London, or Berlin; or an escalation likely to lead to nuclear war. He believed that Putin's passivity encouraged new attacks and could ultimately result in strikes on Moscow or a European Union capital. #Ukraine #Russie #Géopolitique (translated)

Clément Molin estimated that the war in Ukraine had caused nearly one million deaths among Ukrainian and Russian military personnel. He emphasized that the available counts were partial and that both sides were attempting to hide their losses. According to the figures he presented as verified, the Ukrainian toll amounted to 106,000 dead, 105,000 missing — the majority of whom were likely dead — and 12,000 prisoners of war, totaling approximately 224,000 losses. For Russia, he reported 282,000 dead and at least 70,000 additional deaths by the end of 2025, amounting to about 352,000 losses, while noting that losses for 2026 were almost absent from the counts. Molin cited the work of M0nstas, based on data from Mediazona and Ualosses, indicating that official Ukrainian figures were comparable to Russian losses when considering the changing ratio of killed to wounded. He concluded that Russian losses might actually be between 500,000 and 600,000 dead. For Ukraine, he estimated the toll to be between 300,000 and 400,000 dead, considering this estimate more difficult to reach. He reported that Ualosses faced challenges in obtaining precise data for major cities, Transcarpathia, and the occupied south and east. He added to the death toll the volunteers and foreign mercenaries, Ukrainians from occupied territories conscripted into the Russian army and killed in combat, as well as 2,000 North Koreans killed in Kursk. He also reminded that, in his view, the number of wounded was at least twice that of the dead, and that tens of thousands of people had been amputated on both sides. In this regard, he cited the official Ukrainian figure of 1.5 million military losses. Molin estimated that the total death toll therefore exceeded one million and called for the consideration of psychological trauma, desertions, and demobilized soldiers. He described the war as a "bloodbath" and wrote that each year seemed more deadly than the last. #Ukraine #Guerre #Conflit (translated)

It is time [for the United States] to once again don the imperialist costume and say that [they] must govern these countries incapable of doing so themselves, […] all these African governments that only think of plundering and filling their pockets. #Congo #Mercenaires #TimKennedy (translated)

As the security situation in northern Mali deteriorates and the violence committed by the Malian army and Russian mercenaries from the Wagner group intensifies, thousands of Malian refugees, including the Tuareg community, continue to pour into Mauritania, fleeing a context of massacres and impunity. #Mali #Mauritanie #Réfugiés (translated)

Steve Wembi reported that an ambush attributed to the AFC/M23 had resulted in about 20 dead and wounded among the forces of Vectus Global, Erik Prince's security company, in South Kivu on September 17, 2026. According to sources close to the Congolese government and the company, cited by Wembi, the dead included at least seven Congolese and a former member of the New Zealand special forces. Tim Kennedy, a former UFC fighter and ex-member of the U.S. special forces, had been injured and reportedly received three bullet wounds to the leg. Wembi also relayed the remarks of an East African security expert, who described the mercenaries as illegal fighters and war criminals, accusing them of disregarding any rules of engagement. He wrote that Vectus Global's role in the DRC had expanded from securing mining revenues to conducting security support operations in the eastern part of the country. According to his account, Erik Prince's men had deployed to Uvira after the AFC/M23 withdrew from the city in January 2026. #RDC #Sécurité #Conflit (translated)

Les marchands de crise (cc @aliounetine16), les faux théoriciens du droit constitutionnel, les reliques politiques, les mercenaires de la presse, on se donne rendez-vous demain matin. En direct à 09h sur notre chaîne YouTube, à ne pas manquer! https://t.co/ObNFkvnzmL #CrisePolitique #DroitConstitutionnel #Média