The Russian ruler Vladimir Putin stated that he is not preparing for any confrontation with Europe. He also mentioned that Moscow is observing violations of the rights of the Russian-speaking minority in the Baltic states. Similarly, the Kremlin chief spoke about Ukraine before launching the invasion. Before the full-scale aggression began on February 24, 2022, Moscow repeatedly denied that it was preparing to attack the neighboring country. Additionally, to justify the war, Putin also spoke, without evidence, about the "protection of Russian-speaking minorities" living in the Donbas. In recent days, warnings have increased regarding provocations from Russia in some of the North Atlantic Alliance states. According to European statesmen and intelligence services, hostile actions could take the form of sabotage, intensified hybrid attacks, or false flag operations. European states are also mentioning the threat of drone and missile attacks or a limited invasion by a smaller armed group into NATO territory. The latest warning came the day before yesterday from Danish intelligence services. They also mentioned the possibility of a ground invasion. However, according to the intelligence agency, the likelihood of this is very low – the Russian army has been engaged for over four and a half years in the attempt to capture two Ukrainian regions, whose independence Putin recognized before the invasion. Meanwhile, Russia is losing a huge number of personnel. Ukraine estimates it at over one and a half million. These figures cannot be independently verified; however, earlier this year, the Dutch intelligence agency and the American Center for Strategic and International Studies stated that losses have reached 1.2 million soldiers. The aim of hostile actions, according to increasing reports from European statesmen and intelligence services, is to test the cohesion of the alliance and sow fear in states supporting Ukraine. (translated)









