Elections Research reported that a survey by the Veritá institute for the national presidential runoff indicated Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 51.1% of valid votes and Lula (PT) with 48.9%. In detail, the survey recorded 51.07% for Bolsonaro and 48.93% for Lula, a difference of 2.14 percentage points, according to the publication. The publication stated that the survey had a margin of error of ±1 percentage point and a confidence level of 95%. The field work took place from October 12 to 16, 2026, with 15,554 interviewees. The registration with the TSE was BR-01107/2026, and the funding was described as an own initiative. Elections Research added that the results should be considered in light of the methodology and sample uncertainty and that, in isolation, they did not determine the electoral outcome. #Eleições2026 #Pesquisa #Brasil (translated)
