Aldo Sterone stated that the conflict was no longer genuinely between Ukraine and Russia, but between Russia and France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, which he referred to as the "Trio." He claimed that Ukrainian soldiers were being kidnapped off the streets and then sent to the front, and that Zelensky was securing funds before claiming attacks carried out by the Trio. According to Sterone, Vladimir Putin was constrained by a doctrine inherited from the Soviet era, which would only leave him the choice between a nuclear response and inaction. He estimated that the war was becoming asymmetric and asserted that Russia had just lost a third refinery in three days, while Ukraine was devastated and had almost no valid targets left. He predicted that Russian strikes would be followed by new drone attacks on Russian facilities. Sterone also claimed that France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, along with the United States, were seeking to dismantle Russia into 22 republics. He asserted that the European Union was ready to ruin its economy to achieve this goal. He added that Yandex's data centers would not return to normal operations before 2030, according to the most optimistic estimates he cited. He presented three scenarios: the continuation of economic pressure and attacks on Russian infrastructure; a coup that would replace Putin with a general, followed by what he suggested would be conventional strikes against Paris, London, or Berlin; or an escalation likely to lead to nuclear war. He believed that Putin's passivity encouraged new attacks and could ultimately result in strikes on Moscow or a European Union capital. #Ukraine #Russie #Géopolitique (translated)
