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Vitor de Lucca disclosed numbers from a national survey by AtlasIntel for the second round, comparing the periods from October 3 to 8 and from October 13 to 18. In the scenario of total stimulated votes, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) had 51.1%, with a variation of -1.7%, and Lula (PT) had 48.9%, with a variation of +1.7%. According to the author, the survey interviewed 4,998 people, had a margin of error of 1%, and a confidence level of 95%. The registration with the TSE was BR-02418/2026. #Pesquisa #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca stated that PoderData and Nexus conducted surveys during the same period, but said that the lack of disclosure of decimal numbers and total votes by PoderData prevented a complete comparison. He classified Nexus's survey as of higher quality and considered the decision of the institute to disclose the decimals when the election became tighter to be correct. De Lucca also wrote that, in the last week, the priority should be to try to convert votes and share excerpts of the debate on social media, instead of worrying about surveys. He recommended paying special attention to Facebook, which he described as a bubble of the right, and said that the left was forgetting that many people still use the platform. #Eleições2023 #PesquisaEleitoral #VotoConsciente (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released a national survey from PODERDATA/AYA for the Presidency, with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 52% of valid votes in the second round, an increase of 2 points, and Lula (PT) at 48%, a decrease of 2 points. The publication indicated the period as "October 13-15 > 16 to 18" and reported that 3,000 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of 1.8%, a confidence level of 95%, and registration with the TSE BR-02586/2026. (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released numbers from a BTG/NEXUS survey about President Lula, comparing the periods from October 10 to 12 and from October 16 to 18. According to the data he published, 48.8% disapproved of the president, a decrease of 1.1%, while 47.2% approved of him, an increase of 1.9%. Another 4.1% did not know or did not respond, a drop of 0.7%. In the evaluation of the government, 42.9% classified the administration as bad or terrible, a decrease of 2.0%; 32.4% as excellent or good, a decrease of 1.4%; and 23.6% as regular, an increase of 3.4%. The percentage of those who did not know or did not respond was 1.0%, with no variation. De Lucca reported that the survey interviewed 2,002 people, had a margin of error of 2%, a confidence level of 95%, and was registered with the TSE under number BR-04499/2026. #Lula #Pesquisa #Aprovação (translated)

Vitor de Lucca reported that the BTG/NEXUS survey for national president, conducted from October 16 to 18, indicated Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula (PT) tied at 44.5% in the second round, in total spontaneous votes. According to the data he released, Flávio dropped 1.8 percentage points compared to the period from October 10 to 12, while Lula maintained the same percentage. NS/NR totaled 6.2%, an increase of 2.3 points, and none, blank or null, accounted for 4.7%, a decrease of 0.5 points. De Lucca reported that 2,002 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of 2% and a confidence level of 95%. The registration with the TSE was BR-04499/2026. #Pesquisa #Eleições2023 #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca reported that the BTG/NEXUS survey on a potential second round, with total stimulated votes, indicated Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 46.5% and Lula (PT) with 45.9%. Compared to the period from October 10 to 12, between October 16 and 18, Flávio dropped by 1.4 percentage points and Lula rose by 0.8. None, blank, or null votes totaled 4.7%, with no variation, and 2.9% answered "don't know/did not respond," an increase of 0.6 points. According to the data released by Vitor de Lucca, 2,002 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of 2% and a confidence level of 95%. The registration at the TSE was BR-04499/2026. #Pesquisa #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca wrote that the BTG/NEXUS survey for the second round, considering valid votes, indicated Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 50.3%, a decrease of 1.3 points, and Lula (PT) with 49.7%, an increase of 1.3 points, comparing October 10 to 12 and October 16 to 18. According to him, the survey interviewed 2,002 people, had a margin of error of 2%, a confidence level of 95%, and registration with the TSE BR-04499/2026. #Pesquisa #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca asked people not to watch the video, not to click on the posts, and not to comment on the topic, arguing that interacting with posts from Bolsonaro supporters increased their engagement. He argued that, at that moment, people should direct their interaction towards positive content. #EngajamentoPositivo #LutarContraODiscursoDeÓdio #FocoNoBem (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released a Future survey for the Presidency, in a stimulated second round scenario, with results from October 14 to 15 and a comparison with October 7 to 10. According to the published numbers, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) had 49.0%, a decrease of 1.0 point, and Lula (PT) had 47.5%, an increase of 0.9 points. NS/NR/undecided amounted to 2.1% (+0.4 points), while nobody, blank or null votes accounted for 1.5% (-0.2 points). The margin of error was 2.2%, with a confidence level of 95%; the registration with the TSE was BR-03764/2026. #Eleições2022 #Pesquisa #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca reported that a national survey by FUTURA for the Presidency, referencing the periods from October 7 to 10 and from October 14 to 15, showed Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 50.8% of the valid votes in the second round and Lula (PT) with 49.2%. According to the data released, the percentages varied, respectively, by -1.0% and +1.0%. De Lucca indicated a margin of error of 2.2%, a confidence level of 95%, and registration with the TSE under the number BR-03764/2026. #Pesquisa #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca announced the results of a national survey by PODERDATA/AYA on the approval of the Lula government and President Lula, comparing the periods from October 10 to 12 and from October 13 to 15. According to the published data, 46% approved of the government (+2), 49% disapproved (+1), and 5% did not know (-1). Regarding the president, 46% approved (+2), 47% disapproved (-3), and 7% did not know (+1). De Lucca reported that 3,000 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of 1.8% and a confidence level of 95%, and mentioned the TSE registration BR-04258/2026. #Pesquisa #Lula #Política (translated)

Vitor de Lucca disclosed a national survey by PoderData/Aya for the Presidency, with dates indicated as October 10 to 12 and 13 to 15. In the valid votes for the second round, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula (PT) each had 50%; the survey indicated variations of -1 point for Bolsonaro and +1 for Lula. De Lucca reported that 3,000 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of 1.8%, a confidence level of 95%, and registration with the TSE BR-04258/2026. #Eleições2022 #Pesquisa #PoderData (translated)

Vitor de Lucca stated that the reduction of the age of criminal responsibility would be approved by the elected Congress. He argued that the left should present a version that would be acceptable, instead of allowing far-right proposals to prevail. #maioridadepenal #política #direitoshumanos (translated)

Vitor de Lucca wrote that a survey released that day indicated that there was still much to be contested and argued that mobilization should continue. He recommended publishing content on Facebook, Kwai, and WhatsApp as well, stating that the X was a bubble and that rarely did anyone change their vote based on something seen on the platform. #LutaContinua #Pesquisa #MudançaDeVoto (translated)

Vitor de Lucca shared the numbers from a Datafolha survey in Ceará. In valid votes, Elmano de Freitas (PT) appeared with 50% (+2), Ciro Gomes (PSDB) with 47% (-2), Delegate Huggo (Missão) and Vera Lúcia (Novo) with 1% each (unchanged), and Zé Batista (PSTU) with 1% (+1). In the total votes, Elmano had 46% (+3) and Ciro, 44% (unchanged). Delegate Huggo and Vera Lúcia registered 1% each (unchanged), as well as Zé Batista, who had an increase of 1 point. Blank, null, or none totaled 4% (-2), and the undecided, 3% (-2). #Ceará #Eleições2023 #Datafolha (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released numbers from a CNT/MDA survey for the Presidency of the Republic, comparing the periods from September 9 to 13 and from September 30 to October 2, 2026. In the second round, Lula (PT) appeared with 47.3% of the total votes, without variation, and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 43.1%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points. Blank and null votes totaled 7.6%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points, and undecided voters were at 1.9%, a reduction of 0.6 percentage points. According to the data released by de Lucca, 2,002 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%. The reported registration was BR-04756/2026. #Eleições2026 #Pesquisa #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released numbers from a CNT/MDA survey for the Presidency, comparing the periods from September 9 to 13 and from September 30 to October 2, 2026. In valid votes for the second round, Lula (PT) appeared with 52.3%, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points, and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 47.6%, an increase of 1.8 points. De Lucca informed that 2,002 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points, a confidence level of 95%, and registration BR-04756/2026. #Pesquisa #Eleições2026 #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released data from a national CNT/MDA survey, comparing the periods of September 9 to 13 and September 30 to October 2, 2026. According to the numbers he published, 47.4% approved of Lula's performance, an increase of 1.5%, and 49.2% disapproved, a decrease of 0.5%. Another 3.4% did not know or did not answer, a reduction of 1.0%. In the evaluation of Lula's government, 35.3% considered it excellent or good (+1.5%), 41.1% bad or terrible (+1.7%), and 22.7% regular (-2.7%). 0.9% did not know or did not answer (-0.4%). De Lucca reported that 2,002 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%. He also indicated the TSE registration BR-04756/2026. #Lula #AvaliaçãoGovernamental #PesquisasPolíticas (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released the results of the CNT/MDA research for the national presidency, comparing the survey conducted from September 9 to 13 with the one performed from September 30 to October 2, 2026. In the stimulated first-round scenario, with total votes, Lula (PT) was at 43.1% (+2.6%), and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 38.0% (+7.6%). Writer Augusto Cury (Avante) had 3.2% (-2.8%), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) 3.0% (no variation), Renan Santos (Missão) 1.5% (-1.2%), Romeu Zema (Novo) 0.8% (-0.2%), and others 0.5% (-0.6%). Blank and null votes totaled 5.0% (-1.0%), and undecided voters 4.7% (-2.8%). De Lucca added that Pablo Marçal had recorded 1.8% in the previous survey. According to the released data, 2,002 interviews were conducted, with a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%. The reported registration was BR-04756/2026. #Eleições2026 #Pesquisa #PolíticaBrasil (translated)