The author accused Datafolha of having backed down by publishing, for the first time, three scenarios. He requested that the other two be ignored and stated that, in the highlighted scenario, the mobilization of those who did not vote would lead to victory. The publication also used the hashtag #RetireesWithLula. #AposentadosComLula #Lula #Eleições2024 #Brasil #BR (translated)
A recent Datafolha survey reveals that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro are tied at 50% of the voting intentions just three days before the presidential runoff in Brazil, with Bolsonaro at 47% and Lula at 46% when considering blank and null ballots. #ElezioniBrasile #Lula #Bolsonaro (translated)
Lula and Bolsonaro face off head-to-head with 50% of the voting intentions ahead of the presidential runoff on October 25, according to a Datafolha survey. #ElezioniBrasile #Lula #Bolsonaro (translated)
According to the latest survey by the Datafolha Institute, the outgoing president Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are tied at 50% of the voting intentions ahead of the presidential runoff on October 25 in Brazil. #ElezioniBrasile #Lula #Bolsonaro (translated)
GugaNoblat stated that Flávio would be "fainting" and mentioned that, according to the aggregator PollingData, Lula had more than a 70% chance of winning. He conditioned this scenario on maintaining mobilization in the streets in support of the president and advocated for intensifying street presence and combating abstention. He also said that a miracle could occur if the streets remained mobilized. #Lula #Eleições2022 #PollingData (translated)
Kim D. Paim wrote that the PowerData survey had shown a tie between Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula (PT) the previous week. According to the numbers he quoted for valid votes, Flávio had 52%, an increase of 2 points, and Lula had 48%, a decrease of 2 points. Paim predicted that Quaest and Datafolha would make a "correction" on Friday and Saturday, raising Flávio's votes and lowering Lula's. #Eleições2024 #Política #Votação (translated)
JH Fonseca called for mobilization and stated that one should not rely on a big mistake by Datafolha in the second round. He also argued that everyone should continue seeking more votes. https://t.co/pH7gGbtCyi #Eleições2024 #Vote #Mobilização (translated)
I was shocked to write that Datafolha indicated a technical tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in a possible second round of the 2026 elections. https://t.co/7yVOeQUwZt #Eleições2026 #Lula #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)
Pedro Menin stated that he reviewed a table sent by a follower about 10 elections and 17 run-offs between 1989 and 2026. According to him, in 15 of the 17 cases, or 88%, the official result was more favorable to the opponent of the PT than indicated by the DataFolha polls. Menin noted that in the second round of 1989, the poll was conducted by Ibope. Based on the comparison, he said that in the second rounds, the ballots favored the PT's opponent by an average of 2 points compared to DataFolha. In the first rounds, the average was said to be 4 points in favor of the opponent of the PT candidate. For this year, he stated that the difference was 5 points in favor of Flávio, in line with historical trends. Menin predicted Flávio's victory, with a score between 52 to 48 and 54 to 46, and urged his supporters to maintain their engagement until the end. He also said they could hold him accountable on the 25th and that they would win. #Eleições2026 #PT #EngajamentoCívico (translated)
Pedro Menin stated that, in the second round, Flávio should increase his presence in the South, Southeast, and Midwest, where, according to him, voters from Caiado and Zema would migrate. He said that the data from PoderData indicated the opposite, with losses of 4 to 6 points in the regions where Flávio would be stronger, and added that Datafolha and Quaest did not indicate this trend. Menin estimated a victory for Flávio between 52% to 48% and 55% to 45% and called for mobilization and participation from the voters. #Eleições2024 #PoderData #Mobilização (translated)
CarlosPRJ recalled that the Bolsa Família payments with an adjustment would start to be released on Monday (10/19). He also stated that Lula had 58% among this electorate, according to DataFolha, and assessed that there was still room for growth. #BolsaFamília #Lula #Eleições2022 (translated)
Lula has reduced Flávio Bolsonaro's lead to two points in a technical tie less than a week before the elections, according to the Datafolha poll, while his campaign is affected by accusations of favoritism by the tech company Meta. #EleccionesBrasil #Lula #Bolsonaro (translated)
POPTime reported that Guilherme Cortez celebrated with the people the technical tie between Lula and Flávio in a new Datafolha poll. https://t.co/MqoGjedBUb #Lula #Datafolha #Política (translated)
Lucas Mourão wrote that the second Datafolha poll for the second round of 2014, released on October 15, indicated Aécio Neves with 51% and Dilma Rousseff with 49%. He added that the outcome of that election was known to everyone. https://t.co/hGosUlJCW8 #Eleições2014 #Brasil #História (translated)
The Noblat Blog reported, based on Globo, that according to Datafolha, Lula has grown among voters under 24 years old, gaining 7 percentage points and leading in that group by 53% to 41%. In the previous survey, Bolsonaro was leading by 54% to 46%. #Eleições2022 #Lula #Datafolha (translated)
Renato Rovai highlighted a new analysis from Datafolha and stated that it brought a detail that no one was talking about. https://t.co/rfEai0StqN #Datafolha #Análise #Eleições (translated)
Xico Graziano stated that a Datafolha survey indicated a 2 percentage point difference between Flávio and Lula, although, according to him, the institute's methodology tended slightly to the left. Graziano said that Lula had a 46% rejection rate, compared to 44% for Flávio, and that 41% disapproved of the PT government, while 35% supported it. In the author's assessment, the indices indicated that Lula's electoral influence was discredited and that, without an extraordinary event or a serious mistake by Flávio, it would be difficult for Lula to reverse the scenario. #Eleição2024 #PolíticaBrasil #DataFolha (translated)
Research Elections released numbers from a Datafolha survey for the presidential runoff, published on October 15, 2026. According to the presented data, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) had 47% of the total votes, compared to 45% for Lula (PT), while other votes accounted for 8%. In valid votes, Flávio appeared with 51% and Lula with 49%. The publication stated that the two-point difference kept the candidates in a technical tie, considering the margin of error, and that the race remained open ten days before the runoff. According to the technical sheet provided, the survey interviewed 2,520 people between October 13 and 15, had a margin of error of two percentage points, and a confidence level of 95%. The registration with the TSE was BR-00466/2026, and the indicated source was G1. #Eleições2026 #Datafolha #PolíticaBrasil (translated)
Sérgio Santos stated that a Datafolha survey showed Flávio Bolsonaro with 47% and Lula with 45%. In valid votes, according to him, Flávio had 51% and Lula 49%, a result he classified as a technical tie. Santos attributed Flávio's negative fluctuation to the increase in blank and null votes, from 5% to 6%. https://t.co/7yko7FSbfY #Eleições2024 #Brasil #Política (translated)
Gleisi Hoffmann stated that the DataFolha poll, which reduced the gap between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula by two points, showed that the mobilization of her political camp and the democratic camp on social media and in the streets was yielding results. She argued that the group should remain vigilant and push forward, and said that their opponents were preparing actions for the final stretch of the campaign and resorting to heavy tactics, especially with the “blessings of Meta.” #Política #Eleições2024 #Democracia (translated)
