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Xico Graziano stated that leaked data from the CPMI of the INSS indicated movements of R$ 19.5 million in Lulinha's account between 2022 and 2026, including transfers of R$ 721.3 from Lula to his son. He wrote that the committee's report was rejected in the final vote and did not lead to investigations, and questioned Lula about corruption. https://t.co/WZ9anecD3W #Lula #Corrupção #CPMI (translated)

Xico Graziano wrote that the most anticipated survey of the day indicated Flávio leading by 4 percentage points, a difference that, according to him, would be equivalent to about 4.8 million votes. He said that the survey considered, even if partially, the Band debate and came after a series of events, measures that he classified as electioneering and rumors. Graziano compared the result with the previous survey from RealTime Big Data, released on October 1st. According to him, it showed Lula with 43% and Flávio with 39% in the first round, but underestimated Flávio. For the second round, it indicated Flávio with 46% against 45% for Lula, which, he wrote, showed a balanced contest. #Eleições2023 #PesquisaEleitoral #Flávio (translated)

Xico Graziano accused Lula of lying and presented as evidence a publication by Everardo Maciel, Secretary of the Federal Revenue during Fernando Henrique Cardoso's (FHC) government. In the text shared by Graziano, Maciel refuted statements he attributed to Lula in a debate on Band: that he had created the Simples and received a “broken” country from FHC. Maciel asserted that the regime was established by Law No. 9.317, of December 5, 1996, during FHC's government, following the conversion of MP No. 1.526, of November 5, 1996, approved by symbolic voting in both Houses of Congress. He also stated that he conceived the regime and its name with the collaboration of members of the Federal Revenue. Maciel added that the success of the federal Simples inspired similar regimes in the States and that Complementary Law No. 123, of December 14, 2006, extended and unified the system for States that had not yet adopted it and for the Municipalities. According to him, this recognized the success of the program created during FHC's government. Regarding public accounts, Maciel said he coordinated the economic transition between FHC's and Lula's governments, with the exception of the Central Bank, and stated that the transition team recognized the fiscal balance. He attributed part of the turbulence in 2002 to the markets' reaction to the election perspective and said Lula committed, in the Letter to the Brazilian People, to maintain the inherited fiscal policy. In Maciel's assessment, the continuity of this policy, along with a favorable international scenario, largely explained the fiscal performance of Lula's first term. Maciel questioned whether Lula needed to offend FHC's legacy or claim the creation of the Simples, and Graziano concluded the post by asking if there was anything more to say. #Lula #FHC #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Xico Graziano said that Flávio promised to create a Ministry of Prosperity, with Caixa as the operational bank. He positively assessed the proposal to support prosperity, as well as to protect people from poverty, and to combine Bolsa Família with financing for those who wanted to overcome difficulties. According to Graziano, the idea made Flávio gain points. #Prosperidade #BolsaFamilia #Financiamentos (translated)

Xico Graziano wrote that Flávio Bolsonaro repeated, in an interview with TV Globo, that he would not run for re-election and that his family members — his father or brothers — would not be candidates for his succession. Graziano said he liked the statement and considered it to be true, recalling that in March of this year, Flávio had filed a PEC to abolish re-election. He added that other proposals on the subject were being discussed in Congress and that Fernando Henrique Cardoso had acknowledged in 2020 that the amendment for re-election had been his biggest mistake during his presidency. In Graziano's assessment, by advocating for a single term, Flávio opened the door to discuss the succession for 2030, with Tarcísio as the first in line. The author expressed hope that if Flávio won, he would eliminate re-election for governors and mayors as well, but questioned whether Congress would approve the proposal or if it was merely a staged act. #Política #Reeleição #Democracia (translated)

Xico Graziano said that Lula's successive promises reminded him of Paulo Maluf's campaign for the government of São Paulo in 1998, when Mário Covas was running for reelection. According to Graziano, Maluf's campaign massively and repetitively promoted works carried out during his terms as mayor and governor, from 1979 to 1982, at a time without the internet. He stated that the exaggerated marketing became a subject of mockery and gave rise to parodies. Graziano reported that a large billboard at the entrance to Santos, at the junction to Praia Grande, mocked the campaign by attributing the Atlantic Ocean to Maluf. He said that the photograph of the sign circulated in newspapers and had a demoralizing effect on the candidate, who lost to Covas. In Graziano's assessment, the electorate perceived when attempts were made to mislead them, even in the face of needs. He compared Lula's last-minute promises to jokes and said that the effect of those promises on the voters would still be seen. #Lula #PolíticaBrasil #Eleições2024 (translated)

Xico Graziano wrote that Lula tried to corner Cleitinho, but ended up receiving a reaction. He compared politics to physics and stated that political actions usually provoke responses, like when someone offends another person. Graziano also said that Lula's talk about the elected governor of Minas Gerais earned votes for Flávio and questioned whether the president had learned the lesson. #Política #Lula #Eleições (translated)

Xico Graziano stated that he had known Reinaldo Azevedo for about 30 years and described him as an excellent journalist who, according to him, was critical of the Workers' Party and was not left-wing. He said that Azevedo later changed his position and became a strong defender of Lula. Graziano mentioned that he had even thought that this change might have been influenced by money, as some people said, but he did not believe that. He stated that people could change their opinions and ideology, citing his own experience, and that he had tolerated comments and analyses from Azevedo that he considered terrible. Finally, he said that he had been mistaken and accused the journalist of having sold out and debased himself. #Jornalismo #ReinaldoAzevedo #Opinião (translated)

Xico Graziano stated that a Datafolha survey indicated a 2 percentage point difference between Flávio and Lula, although, according to him, the institute's methodology tended slightly to the left. Graziano said that Lula had a 46% rejection rate, compared to 44% for Flávio, and that 41% disapproved of the PT government, while 35% supported it. In the author's assessment, the indices indicated that Lula's electoral influence was discredited and that, without an extraordinary event or a serious mistake by Flávio, it would be difficult for Lula to reverse the scenario. #Eleição2024 #PolíticaBrasil #DataFolha (translated)

Xico Graziano criticized Lilia Schwacz for a video in which, according to him, the professor said she would use Pix as much as possible because Flávio Bolsonaro could end the system by order of Donald Trump. Graziano classified the statement as false and questioned whether Schwacz knew this or truly believed that a victory for Bolsonaro would leave Brazil subservient to the United States. The author highlighted that Schwacz was a professor of Anthropology at USP, a Global Scholar from Princeton, an award-winning writer, and the owner of the publishing house Cia das Letras. He also stated that she was elected to the Brazilian Academy of Letters in March 2024 for chair 9. Graziano compared the video to her inauguration speech two years earlier, in which, according to him, Schwacz had advocated for the strengthening of institutions and citizenship. Graziano questioned whether the professor had used her prestige to deceive the public and speculated about the reasons for the publication, mentioning the possibility that she had consumed alcohol or was out of touch with reality due to living in an academic bubble. He also associated the episode with what he described as an old ideology of the Brazilian intellectual left, formed in the 1950s and 1960s and still linked to the class struggle. #FakeNews #Cidadania #Antropologia (translated)

Xico Graziano stated that a report by the magazine VEJA about supposed payments linked to Lula had provoked a reaction within the PT. According to him, PT members denied the accusations, said there was no evidence, and echoed a contestation from the Federal Police. In summarizing the report, Graziano said that banker Vorcaro reported having negotiated with João Vaccari Neto, former treasurer of the PT, payments to obtain access to pension funds for federal employees. According to the excerpt of the article he shared, it would amount to R$ 30 million in cash destined for the Lula Institute to fund a documentary about Lula abroad, in addition to another undisclosed amount paid directly to the institute, managed by Paulo Okamotto. Graziano added that Vorcaro had provided details to the Attorney General's Office (PGR), which did not proceed with the case as it deemed there was insufficient evidence. The banker’s defense, according to the account reproduced by the author, mentioned WhatsApp messages and records of withdrawals and deliveries of money. Graziano expressed belief that VEJA would not publish the report without confidence in the material and assessed that the published piece would merely be a preview of new revelations. He considered the story credible, although there might not be definitive proof, and compared the case to the Atibaia site, which, according to him, was not registered in Lula's name in the registry office. In Graziano's view, the report would harm the PT and Lula's campaign, discouraging voters and causing some to give up on voting. He stated that the case would reduce Lula's chances of reversing a defeat in the first round. #Lula #Petismo #VEJA (translated)

Xico Graziano stated that electoral surveys reflected the days prior, and not the future scenario. According to him, at the beginning of the week, PoderData and Datafolha showed Flávio two percentage points ahead of Lula. Graziano said that Flávio received support from Zema, Caiado, and Cury, while Cleitinho, Tarcísio, and Moro mobilized in his campaign. He also stated that in Rio de Janeiro, the PL candidate was announced as the big winner. Regarding Lula, he wrote that he remained in Brasília reorganizing the campaign and that Janja faced criticisms both inside and outside the PT; in Graziano's assessment, there were no other relevant facts. Based on this, he evaluated that Flávio was gaining ground while Lula remained stagnant, and that the next surveys would reflect recent events. #Eleições2023 #PesquisaEleitoral #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Xico Graziano wrote that Eduardo Paes' candidacy was at risk, attributing this to the weariness of his political style and his closeness to Lula. According to Graziano, the political landscape of Rio de Janeiro had shifted more towards bolsonarism, and Paes' strategy had turned against him, linking him to Lula's decline. Graziano concluded that Paes lost. #EduardoPaes #PolíticaRJ #Bolsonarismo (translated)

Xico Graziano wrote that the former governors Beto Richa (PSDB) and Roberto Requião (PDT) lost the election for the Chamber of Deputies. According to him, Richa received 58 thousand votes and Requião, 79 thousand, even with Requião's son running for governor. Graziano stated that they were "two more unemployed politicians." #Paraná #Eleições2022 #Política (translated)

Xico Graziano wrote that Renan Santos led the MBL, founded the Missão party, presented proposals that he considered interesting for the country, and contested the elections with idealism. According to Graziano, ideological polarization consumed the energy of the campaign, and politicians rarely engaged in self-criticism after a defeat, preferring to attribute it to others or external factors. The author stated that Santos had launched good ideas but questioned whether Missão had been able to find fertile ground for them or if the proposals themselves hindered their realization. He also mentioned that the party's challenge continued to be formulating a development model without populism, based on economic freedom, technological education, and the empowerment of individuals, without public assistance that he called handouts or oversight of progressive agendas. He added that the model should include fighting organized crime and expressed hope that it would be viable in Brazil. #política #RenanSantos #ideologia (translated)

Reporter da Band: "Mas foi uma fake news né presidente?" Lula: "Eu não sei se foi fake news. O dado concreto é que está na rede social, muito forte". Lula, na cara dura, passou pano para a desinformação. Fez proselitismo sobre a questão, deixando claro o oportunismo eleitoral do fato religioso, por eles criado. Pobre Nossa Senhora de Aparecida, servindo ao jogo vil da política. O que tem pensado Alexandre de Moraes, o paladino da democracia, contra esse crime? #FakeNews #Desinformação #Política