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Maxim Röder wrote that he has clearly outperformed the market this year. He sarcastically noted that the recovery of the software industry apparently could not have been predicted. He referred to his assessment from April 13, 2026, that the software sector was in a bear market or a buying zone, and questioned whether a software crash really only happens once in a lifetime. #Software #Markt #Bärenmarkt (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that the most expensive emotion on the stock market is the conviction that this time everything is different. In his view, the phases of market psychology repeat themselves in both bull and bear markets. https://t.co/MKYin3fsN0 #Börse #Marktpsychologie #Investieren (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that many private investors would suffer significant losses and give up frustrated in the coming two years. In his assessment, this was not due to unfair markets, but because they missed favorable periods and did not understand fundamental developments during difficult market phases. Additionally, they tried to ride out volatility without a plan until their emotions took over. Röder advised staying rational and evaluating data instead of narratives. #Investieren #Börse #Finanzen (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that many people waste their energy complaining about injustice, the supposed advantages of others, and a guilty system. When his family came to Germany, he was ten years old; they had neither money, nor contacts, nor knowledge of German. Instead, they had hunger and a willingness to work, wrote Röder. Today, his family has achieved more than they could have imagined back then. In his view, success arises when one focuses on their own path instead of envying others or comparing themselves to them. #Erfolg #Motivation #Selbstvertrauen (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that he had the opportunity to exit profitably with each of his investments, but did not always do so. Sometimes he was held back by conviction, sometimes by convenience or greed. Complaining helps little in the face of losses: one must analyze ruthlessly why the exit was missed, otherwise one will continue to pay for lessons at the stock exchange. It is crucial to take responsibility. #Investieren #Finanzen #Börse (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that a graphic shows why he was still carefree and fully invested in 2023 and 2024, but is now thinking more about it. He explained that the planned investments from Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle have reached historically unprecedented levels. As risks, Röder mentioned that annual investments of one trillion dollars required revenues from AI software amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars. Additionally, chips with cycles of three to six years could later burden operating margins due to depreciations. He questioned how much free cash flow would remain for stock buybacks when the funds were flowing into data centers and transformers. Röder wrote that no one knows how the developments will turn out. However, the risk today is significantly higher than in 2023, 2024, or 2025. #Investitionen #BigTech #Risiko (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that the quarterly earnings season is approaching and, in his opinion, the market will become exciting again. He also asked which quarterly numbers the readers would pay special attention to in the coming weeks. https://t.co/h2xVxBTseV #Quartalszahlen #Marktanalyse #Investieren (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that despite the record levels of the indices, one of the strongest concealed corrections of recent years is taking place in the background. According to him, several long-standing quality companies and former stock market favorites are in a bear market: FICO is down 70 percent from its all-time high, Adobe 66 percent, Nike 78 percent, NovoNordisk 74 percent, Chipotle 53 percent, Rollins 52 percent, Netflix 47 percent, McDonald's 30 percent, and PepsiCo 35 percent. Röder added that there are numerous other examples. #Börse #Aktien #Investieren (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that he sees no long-term reasons for concern about ServiceNow and has already explained his assessment in detail this year. Corporations do not only buy software, but also certifications, liability, support guarantees, audit trails, and a data model that has received millions of customizations over the years. Therefore, the switching barrier is very high. According to Röder, a clone created with Vibe Coding does not offer these safeguards. In case of errors in productive operation, the liability question arises, and no CIO will risk their neck for that. Additionally, large corporations have different approval processes, security standards, and regulatory requirements than small companies. According to Röder, ServiceNow positions itself as a deeply integrated platform that connects various AI models and data sources and orchestrates processes in companies securely. For investors, the question is not whether AI scripts will replace enterprise software, but how quickly and effectively ServiceNow will monetize new AI licenses. #Software #KI #ServiceNow (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that 90 percent of investors fail in the stock market because they expect linear returns. From January to May, frustration, sales, and a sideways phase predominated, while between May and October there was a steep breakout with significant price gains. The annual performance often occurs within a few weeks, he explained. Those who cannot withstand the loss phases are not present for the later gains. Investors who exited in March, April, or May would have been frustrated in October, Röder wrote. #Börse #Anlage #Investieren (translated)

Maxim Röder wrote that he completely sold Applovin for a profit at the beginning of 2026. The stock then traded sideways for months and at times was significantly above his selling price, but is now around 41 percent below. The price trend shows him that evaluations of his decision changed depending on the stock's performance. For assessing Applovin, it is more important to understand the operational business and the valuation drivers, Röder wrote. The company has achieved a dominant position in mobile gaming with its AXON engine. Since the entire mobile gaming market is only growing organically in the low single-digit percentage range, gaming alone, in his opinion, can no longer enable sustainable hypergrowth rates. While the segment continues to generate high cash flows, it is not a sufficient growth driver for a hypergrowth valuation. The management is therefore trying to penetrate e-commerce and web advertising. However, this step is not proceeding linearly, Röder wrote. Outside of mobile gaming, Applovin lacks a natural moat; at the same time, training and computing costs are rising in the short term, and the market is skeptical. Analyst forecasts for medium-term revenue growth are already falling below 30 percent starting in 2027, he stated. Ultimately, it will be crucial whether the management is right with its e-commerce vision. #Aktienmarkt #Investieren #MobileGaming (translated)

I think the upcoming crypto (Bitcoin) cycle will be different from the previous ones. Unfortunately, that will catch a lot of people off guard, as everything will happen much faster and differently. We completely shaved the last cycle, and of course I hope that we can cash out in this one too. Currently, I am really satisfied with our BTC position 😊 I wish you all good luck/success and don't let yourselves be pushed around in the next 1-2 years 😋 #Krypto #Bitcoin #Investieren (translated)

The market is reacting positively today: The probability of a rate increase in October has noticeably decreased. Just a few days ago, it looked different. This is exactly the topic I will address in detail on Sunday. Because what will be crucial for the market now is whether we are facing a fast or slow interest rate cycle. A topic that I have been addressing since the beginning of 2026 😊 #Zinsen #Marktanalyse #Finanzen (translated)

Daten lügen nicht, egal wie laut das Rauschen. Unfassbar stolz auf alle https://t.co/MAHjtOI1j8 Schlingel, die damals die simple Strategie stur durchgezogen und ordentlich abkassiert haben. Disziplin schlägt Emotionen. Weil die Nachfrage hoch war: Heute um 15:00 Uhr kommt das Krypto-Video auf YouTube. Ich zeige euch genau, wie man den Kryptomarkt prognostiziert und die Wahrscheinlichkeiten auf seine Seite holt. 📌 Hinweis: Am Sonntag kommt kein Video - dafür am Montag wie gewohnt der Livestream! 😋 #Krypto #Investieren #Finanzen

Crazy wie schnell die Zeit vergeht: Mittlerweile mache ich schon seit 2 Jahren Full Time YouTube. Davor saß ich im risikorelevanten Kreditgeschäft und genau diese Denkweise prägt meine Analysen bis heute. Erst prüfen, woran ein Unternehmen scheitern kann, bevor ich mir ausmale, wie viel Rendite es abwirft. #YouTube #Zeitvergehen #Analyse