Roberto Reis

Roberto Reis evaluated Globo's interview with Lula and Flávio, assigning grades of 6 and 8, respectively. According to him, Lula avoided major mistakes and communicated his ideas, although his hoarse voice bothered some voters in qualitative assessments. Reis stated that the president did little to promote his proposals, attacked Flávio minimally, and did not highlight the bus fare issue. He also criticized Lula's tendency to overly contextualize his answers, which, in his evaluation, reduced the time to address the main points and hindered the production of snippets for social media. Regarding Flávio, Reis said he defended the continuity of social programs, attacked Lula, and accused the opposing campaign of spreading false information. He also emphasized the candidate's statement that Lula would have forgotten about Bolsa Família for four years, while he would remember the program every day. Reis assessed that Flávio dodged questions that could become traps but noted that Renata pressed for answers not given and was, at times, more incisive with him. Reis considered that Flávio achieved more objectives than Lula and won the interview. According to his evaluation, Lula made a serious mistake when responding about Bolsa Família, allowing the opponent to exploit the issue, while Flávio did not have serious flaws. Although he stated that Flávio did not have an extraordinary performance, Reis affirmed that the result was positive for him, who, according to the author, was leading the polls as he approached the final stretch of the campaign. #Eleições2023 #PolíticaBrasil #DebateEleitoral (translated)

Roberto Reis pointed out five changes that, in his opinion, were necessary in Flávio's campaign. He said that Ronaldo Caiado, Cleitinho, Augusto Cury, Romeu Zema, ACM Neto, and other leaders were being underutilized and needed to be given tasks and agendas. Reis advocated for mobilizing supporters to respond to rumors about Bolsa Família, BPC, and pensions. According to him, employment, debts, and cost of living were real concerns that were changing votes among the less privileged classes. He also called for concrete proposals: IPVA with Cleitinho, security with Caiado, and income and prosperity with Zema and Pablo Marçal. Regarding the debates, he recommended preparation, quick responses, and different strategies for each of the two meetings. For the street campaign, he suggested increasing presence and mobilizing supporters, stating that the left had already mobilized. He also proposed organizing the monitoring of the ballots and holding a "bloquinho 22" in all cities the following week. Reis summarized his proposal as turning support into work and effort. #CampanhaFlávio #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that the electoral race was tight and, in his assessment, Lula had been regaining votes among voters from classes D and E, especially among those concerned about losing social benefits. According to him, this group had supported Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round after promises of improvements and prosperity. Reis said that Lula was not gaining votes from Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, or Renan, but from Flávio. The author claimed that there was an unprecedented fear campaign, with allegations of the political use of CRAS, daycare centers, and educational institutions, in addition to the circulation of false information. According to Reis, voters were being warned that they could lose their pensions, Bolsa Família, BPC, and minimum wage adjustments. Reis said that Flávio had already started to react with an advertisement about public safety, crime, and factions, which also reaffirmed the commitment to maintain and improve social programs. In the author's view, the response should be more incisive, with the participation of new allies. He also advocated for Flávio and Cleitinho to jointly present a national proposal for the IPVA, citing the discussion about the tax in Minas Gerais, where, according to him, Cleitinho won in the first round. Regarding the polls, Reis assessed that Flávio was still leading by about 2 points, possibly reaching 3 in the final stretch, while Lula faced greater rejection and a persistent ceiling. He noted that some polls already indicated a tie but expressed reservations about the sampling considerations, especially regarding the composition of social segments. For Reis, the transfer of votes from the third way had already occurred, and the challenge was to maintain the votes gained in the first round. He asked Rogério Marinho to demand greater participation from the new allies and a more precise direction for communication actions. #Eleições2024 #Lula #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that he believed they would win, but said that people should also take action. He suggested participating in demonstrations, trying to convince undecided voters, working in WhatsApp groups, demanding engagement from parliamentarians, and reporting fake news and abuses. Reis added that society was mobilizing and questioned whether readers would just be watching. #Mobilização #ParticipaçãoCívica #Engajamento (translated)

Roberto Reis claimed to have published 16 posts in the 24 hours prior and to have about 90,000 followers on his social media. In the final stretch of the campaign, he asked his supporters to participate in demonstrations, convince undecided voters, interact in WhatsApp groups, report false news and abuses, and promote right-wing agendas. He described the involvement as a civic duty and argued that the portion of the country that, according to him, pays the bills should mobilize more than those who only spend. He also urged people to talk about it with friends and relatives. #Cidadania #Engajamento #Direita (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that one should not rely on only one research institute and said he had repeated this warning about 50 times. He claimed that if people knew how the surveys were conducted, they would not accept them without question. Reis advocated for the establishment of a CPI on the institutes and said that Nikolas was right to raise the issue. As an alternative, he recommended consulting research aggregators, including Polling Data, and mentioned a comparison between the situation at that moment and that of 2022. #pesquisa #CPI #dados (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that, the day before, the PT had gone to the streets claiming to defend workers, but that militants vandalized and destroyed the place before leaving. According to him, voters ended up cleaning the mess and bearing the costs as taxpayers. Reis also said that Brazil already saw the PT as it was and that Lula no longer deceived anyone. https://t.co/tLGj7CfetO #PT #Trabalhadores #Brasil (translated)

Roberto Reis wrote that Lula should not have run for office, as he would certainly face a certain defeat, according to him. He stated that the candidacy would destroy Lula's legacy, make people aware of truths, and could even lead to his imprisonment. Reis also attributed Lula's decision to run to Janja. #Lula #Política #Eleições (translated)

Roberto Reis accused Janones of using a WhatsApp channel called LULA'S ARMY to spread false news and commit electoral crimes. According to Reis, the channel had more than 1.5 million followers. He questioned whether the TSE would monitor the case and whether Meta would take action. Reis also advised readers to report the channel via WhatsApp and to send complaints to the Electoral Justice through the Pardal app from the TSE. #Fakenews #CrimesEleitorais #Justiça (translated)

Roberto Reis wrote that the Avante Party had started internal discussions and talks with Augusto Cury. According to him, the majority trend at that moment was to get closer to Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury had asked for some time to think before deciding. #Política #PartidoAvante #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)

Roberto Reis wrote that a friend who works with electoral campaigns told him he had seen qualitative research indicating that young people could not listen to Lula. Reis stated that the rejection, in his friend's assessment, was not about the content, but rather about the president's hoarse, shrill, and "wet" voice, which would cause aversion in a significant portion of the population. In response, Reis suggested that Lula should remain silent and let someone else speak. He also wrote that the president would have 20 days until his "political end." #Lula #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Roberto Reis argued that Flávio Bolsonaro should firmly support the end of the 6x1 work schedule, more intensely than Lula. He said that the proposal could be responsibly adjusted later and stated that, in an election, the goal was to overcome the opponent and achieve victory first. #Política #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that Tarcísio would have been the ideal candidate, but he did not want to run for fear of facing bolsonarism. He said that Flávio was the possible option to defeat Lula and mentioned numbers of 3% for Renan and 39% for Flávio in the first round. Reis added that he would vote for Renan — or any candidate — against Lula in the second round, but he defended Flávio as a candidate and said he prioritized the ability to defeat the opponent, not the identity of who would do it. #Eleições2024 #Política #Brasil (translated)

When you become a politician, you lead by example. “Outburst and resentment” are not attitudes that voters expect from a presidential candidate. Lula was imprisoned for 583 days in the Lava Jato and didn't say anything like that. Flávio had his father imprisoned, was prohibited from visiting him, and received attacks from all sides. He didn't say anything about that either. The system will hit hard. It's the game. And when that happens, the sheep will look at the leader expecting only one answer from him: “Is that all? Hit harder!” #política #liderança #Lula (translated)

We have a generational duel here. Nikolas is the beginning of a political generation, and Lula is the end of the other. In narratives, demands, and technology. I have no doubt that @nikolas_dm is largely responsible for @FlavioBolsonaro's victory through MG. And that’s what has been tormenting Lula. #Política #Geração #Brasil (translated)

Imagina trazer TRAIÇÃO para o centro de uma campanha presidencial faltando quatro dias para a eleição. Vamos aos três episódios: 1️⃣ MIRIAM CORDEIRO Em 1989, Miriam, ex companheira de Lula e mãe de Lurian, foi à televisão e fez acusações duríssimas sobre o relacionamento. Entre elas, afirmou que Lula o traia frequentemente e teria lhe oferecido dinheiro para abortar quando soube da gravidez. Não foi um ex sócio ressentido o acusando. Foi a própria ex mulher. 2️⃣ AS “VIUVINHAS” Em entrevista à Playboy, em 1979, o próprio Lula contou que, quando trabalhava no sindicato, havia pedido a um colega que o avisasse quando aparecesse uma “viuvinha bonitinha”. Foi nesse contexto que relatou como conheceu Marisa Letícia. Aqui não é ex mulher falando. É o próprio Lula contando. 3️⃣ JANJA E MARISA Em 2020, O Antagonista publicou o relato de Valter Sâmara, antigo amigo de Lula, segundo o qual Lula já mantinha um relacionamento com Janja quando Marisa Letícia ainda era viva. Ou seja: quem resolve transformar vida conjugal em pauta eleitoral precisa estar preparado para ver o próprio passado colocado sobre a mesa. Porque, nesse assunto, história para ser lembrada do Lula, não falta. #Eleições2022 #Lula #PolíticaBrasileira

Eu elegi 4 presidentes de clubes de futebol. São disputas muito mais apaixonadas e polarizadas que as da política tradicional. Quando clubes ou torcidas se mobilizam, sai de baixo. A paixão vai além da religião. Quem diria: Lula deu outro tiro no pé. #Futebol #Paixão #Política

O time jurídico do @FlavioBolsonaro não é só muito bom. É enorme. Há tempos não vejo um embate jurídico tão intenso em uma eleição. Como diz um amigo: Eleição é guerra. Mande prender. Mande pagar. #Eleições2024 #Jurídico #Política