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Roberto Reis stated that André Janones had obtained 70,000 votes and nearly did not get elected, despite his numbers, because, according to him, he could not reach voters outside the left. He compared the result to that of Nikolas Ferreira, to whom he attributed over 3 million votes — 40 times Janones's total — and said that several candidates from Minas Gerais and councilors from São Paulo had received more votes than Janones. Reis also compared the reach of the two's publications on Instagram: he claimed that Nikolas had reached 6 million people in three minutes with a video about the Northeast, while Janones would have needed to gather the left for three weeks to achieve the same result. He challenged readers to choose a polling institute for a qualitative assessment with undecided voters and said he would lose a bet if Janones had changed at least one person's vote. The author accused Janones of keeping leftist supporters mobilized without winning votes and claimed that he sought to inherit Lula's supporters, taking advantage of the PT's lack of skill on the internet. He also said that Rafael Fonteles and Camilo Santana were doing the heavy lifting while Janones took the fame and what was left of Lula's political legacy. #Política #Eleições2023 #Brasil (translated)

Roberto Reis questioned the idea of winning over Renan and stated that he worked 24 hours a day in favor of Lula. According to Reis, Renan simultaneously played a role similar to that of Janones and Janja, guiding the vote for Lula without explicitly asking them to vote for him. #Lula #Eleições2024 #Política (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that there were five days left until the election and advocated that Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign avoid ideas he considered outlandish, focusing instead on execution. He also recommended that close supporters should not participate in podcasts or press conferences and that the campaign should not act as if victory was already guaranteed. #Eleições2022 #Política #Brasil (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that there was an ongoing wave of the right and said he had never seen demonstrations with the colors green and yellow on such a scale, not even in the Northeast. He claimed that he had been campaigning throughout Brazil for almost 30 years and had never witnessed anything like it. Reis also recommended that logistics plans be prepared for the following day in São Paulo, claiming that the city would not be able to handle what was planned to happen. #Direita #Manifestações #Brasil (translated)

Roberto Reis evaluated Globo's interview with Lula and Flávio, assigning grades of 6 and 8, respectively. According to him, Lula avoided major mistakes and communicated his ideas, although his hoarse voice bothered some voters in qualitative assessments. Reis stated that the president did little to promote his proposals, attacked Flávio minimally, and did not highlight the bus fare issue. He also criticized Lula's tendency to overly contextualize his answers, which, in his evaluation, reduced the time to address the main points and hindered the production of snippets for social media. Regarding Flávio, Reis said he defended the continuity of social programs, attacked Lula, and accused the opposing campaign of spreading false information. He also emphasized the candidate's statement that Lula would have forgotten about Bolsa Família for four years, while he would remember the program every day. Reis assessed that Flávio dodged questions that could become traps but noted that Renata pressed for answers not given and was, at times, more incisive with him. Reis considered that Flávio achieved more objectives than Lula and won the interview. According to his evaluation, Lula made a serious mistake when responding about Bolsa Família, allowing the opponent to exploit the issue, while Flávio did not have serious flaws. Although he stated that Flávio did not have an extraordinary performance, Reis affirmed that the result was positive for him, who, according to the author, was leading the polls as he approached the final stretch of the campaign. #Eleições2023 #PolíticaBrasil #DebateEleitoral (translated)

Roberto Reis pointed out five changes that, in his opinion, were necessary in Flávio's campaign. He said that Ronaldo Caiado, Cleitinho, Augusto Cury, Romeu Zema, ACM Neto, and other leaders were being underutilized and needed to be given tasks and agendas. Reis advocated for mobilizing supporters to respond to rumors about Bolsa Família, BPC, and pensions. According to him, employment, debts, and cost of living were real concerns that were changing votes among the less privileged classes. He also called for concrete proposals: IPVA with Cleitinho, security with Caiado, and income and prosperity with Zema and Pablo Marçal. Regarding the debates, he recommended preparation, quick responses, and different strategies for each of the two meetings. For the street campaign, he suggested increasing presence and mobilizing supporters, stating that the left had already mobilized. He also proposed organizing the monitoring of the ballots and holding a "bloquinho 22" in all cities the following week. Reis summarized his proposal as turning support into work and effort. #CampanhaFlávio #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that the electoral race was tight and, in his assessment, Lula had been regaining votes among voters from classes D and E, especially among those concerned about losing social benefits. According to him, this group had supported Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round after promises of improvements and prosperity. Reis said that Lula was not gaining votes from Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, or Renan, but from Flávio. The author claimed that there was an unprecedented fear campaign, with allegations of the political use of CRAS, daycare centers, and educational institutions, in addition to the circulation of false information. According to Reis, voters were being warned that they could lose their pensions, Bolsa Família, BPC, and minimum wage adjustments. Reis said that Flávio had already started to react with an advertisement about public safety, crime, and factions, which also reaffirmed the commitment to maintain and improve social programs. In the author's view, the response should be more incisive, with the participation of new allies. He also advocated for Flávio and Cleitinho to jointly present a national proposal for the IPVA, citing the discussion about the tax in Minas Gerais, where, according to him, Cleitinho won in the first round. Regarding the polls, Reis assessed that Flávio was still leading by about 2 points, possibly reaching 3 in the final stretch, while Lula faced greater rejection and a persistent ceiling. He noted that some polls already indicated a tie but expressed reservations about the sampling considerations, especially regarding the composition of social segments. For Reis, the transfer of votes from the third way had already occurred, and the challenge was to maintain the votes gained in the first round. He asked Rogério Marinho to demand greater participation from the new allies and a more precise direction for communication actions. #Eleições2024 #Lula #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that he believed they would win, but said that people should also take action. He suggested participating in demonstrations, trying to convince undecided voters, working in WhatsApp groups, demanding engagement from parliamentarians, and reporting fake news and abuses. Reis added that society was mobilizing and questioned whether readers would just be watching. #Mobilização #ParticipaçãoCívica #Engajamento (translated)

Roberto Reis claimed to have published 16 posts in the 24 hours prior and to have about 90,000 followers on his social media. In the final stretch of the campaign, he asked his supporters to participate in demonstrations, convince undecided voters, interact in WhatsApp groups, report false news and abuses, and promote right-wing agendas. He described the involvement as a civic duty and argued that the portion of the country that, according to him, pays the bills should mobilize more than those who only spend. He also urged people to talk about it with friends and relatives. #Cidadania #Engajamento #Direita (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that one should not rely on only one research institute and said he had repeated this warning about 50 times. He claimed that if people knew how the surveys were conducted, they would not accept them without question. Reis advocated for the establishment of a CPI on the institutes and said that Nikolas was right to raise the issue. As an alternative, he recommended consulting research aggregators, including Polling Data, and mentioned a comparison between the situation at that moment and that of 2022. #pesquisa #CPI #dados (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that, the day before, the PT had gone to the streets claiming to defend workers, but that militants vandalized and destroyed the place before leaving. According to him, voters ended up cleaning the mess and bearing the costs as taxpayers. Reis also said that Brazil already saw the PT as it was and that Lula no longer deceived anyone. https://t.co/tLGj7CfetO #PT #Trabalhadores #Brasil (translated)

Roberto Reis wrote that Lula should not have run for office, as he would certainly face a certain defeat, according to him. He stated that the candidacy would destroy Lula's legacy, make people aware of truths, and could even lead to his imprisonment. Reis also attributed Lula's decision to run to Janja. #Lula #Política #Eleições (translated)

Roberto Reis accused Janones of using a WhatsApp channel called LULA'S ARMY to spread false news and commit electoral crimes. According to Reis, the channel had more than 1.5 million followers. He questioned whether the TSE would monitor the case and whether Meta would take action. Reis also advised readers to report the channel via WhatsApp and to send complaints to the Electoral Justice through the Pardal app from the TSE. #Fakenews #CrimesEleitorais #Justiça (translated)

Roberto Reis wrote that the Avante Party had started internal discussions and talks with Augusto Cury. According to him, the majority trend at that moment was to get closer to Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury had asked for some time to think before deciding. #Política #PartidoAvante #FlávioBolsonaro (translated)

Roberto Reis wrote that a friend who works with electoral campaigns told him he had seen qualitative research indicating that young people could not listen to Lula. Reis stated that the rejection, in his friend's assessment, was not about the content, but rather about the president's hoarse, shrill, and "wet" voice, which would cause aversion in a significant portion of the population. In response, Reis suggested that Lula should remain silent and let someone else speak. He also wrote that the president would have 20 days until his "political end." #Lula #Eleições2024 #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Roberto Reis argued that Flávio Bolsonaro should firmly support the end of the 6x1 work schedule, more intensely than Lula. He said that the proposal could be responsibly adjusted later and stated that, in an election, the goal was to overcome the opponent and achieve victory first. #Política #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Roberto Reis stated that Tarcísio would have been the ideal candidate, but he did not want to run for fear of facing bolsonarism. He said that Flávio was the possible option to defeat Lula and mentioned numbers of 3% for Renan and 39% for Flávio in the first round. Reis added that he would vote for Renan — or any candidate — against Lula in the second round, but he defended Flávio as a candidate and said he prioritized the ability to defeat the opponent, not the identity of who would do it. #Eleições2024 #Política #Brasil (translated)