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Saara Huhtasaari assessed that Ukraine could not win the war and that this should have been clear as early as 2022. She considered supporting the war foolish from the beginning and wrote that hundreds of billions had been spent on Ukraine while corruption and abuses in military procurements continued. According to her, the money had disappeared and politicians had become richer. Huhtasaari believed that Trump's diesel agreement would not change the outcome of the war, claiming that Ukraine would lose regardless. She blamed the West for maintaining a narrative for four years that victory would require only more weapons and time. In her opinion, this was a war of attrition, in which Russia was enduring better and Ukraine's personnel reserves were dwindling. #Ukraina #sota #historia (translated)

The Russian security service FSB has detained a Swedish man suspected of planning actions by terrorists and saboteurs against Russian military targets, and who is alleged to have entered the country illegally after fighting alongside Ukrainian troops. #Venäjä #Ruotsi #terrorismi (translated)

Henri Vanhanen thanked Charles Lindbergh for addressing military issues based on facts. He assessed that Sanna Marin's demand to shoot down every Russian plane violating NATO airspace did not hold up under closer scrutiny, even though it sounded resolute. Vanhanen wrote that Russia's repeated violations of airspace should not be underestimated, but shooting down an armed fighter during peacetime would be a different scale of solution than intercepting a drone that has invaded airspace. According to him, it would be essential to assess whether it was a short violation or a deep incursion into Finnish territory that disregarded warnings and posed a real military threat. Vanhanen warned that shooting down a fighter could lead to the deaths of Russian soldiers and trigger a chain of events whose consequences Finland would not decide alone. He also viewed that Russia aimed to provoke and test the West's reactions, and it should not be allowed to dictate the timing or conditions for an escalation in the military situation. According to him, credible defense required both the readiness to use force and discretion in its application. https://t.co/uT4UMwcIib #turvallisuuspolitiikka #Venäjä #Nato (translated)

Henri Vanhanen wrote that he doubted whether Vladimir Putin had a realistic understanding of the situation in the war in Ukraine or whether he would be willing to accept information contrary to his own views. Vanhanen assessed that in Russia's system, reporting bad news to the leadership could be dangerous and that the military leadership, subordinates, or the president's inner circle might distort or filter information. Vanhanen referred to a recent assessment by the think tank ISW, which stated that Ukraine's successful counteroffensive in northern Donetsk had shattered Russia's plan to encircle the region's key defensive cities from two directions. According to him, Russia's goal of capturing the entire Donetsk region appeared to be further away as a result. Vanhanen wrote that Putin might continue the war to achieve unrealistic goals if he believed that Russia was closer to victory than reality suggests. He deemed it even more concerning that Putin might be receiving accurate information but did not want to believe it. Vanhanen emphasized that Russia's military failure, in his view, might not necessarily change Putin's goals or his desire to continue the war. He believed that an unrealistic situational picture could lead to the prolongation of the war and taking greater risks, and he appealed for continued support for Ukraine and to resist Russia's military pressure. https://t.co/Lb2advefv2 #Ukraina #Putin #sota (translated)

Pekka Toveri wrote that Trump started a war against Iran despite the advice of his military advisors. According to Toveri, Trump had disrupted the U.S. diesel market as the midterms approached and was now afraid of losing. Toveri added that Trump had asked for help from a person he described as a bloodthirsty dictator and thanked him. https://t.co/KyUKpbiU38 #Trump #Iran #politiikka (translated)

– The Russians are intentionally targeting civilian sites. For them, a bus full of passengers is an attractive target precisely because a single strike can kill as many people as possible, said Vadym Filashkin, the head of the military administration of the Donetsk region, according to CNN. #UkrainanSota #Venäjä #Kuolemantapaukset (translated)

The author stated that NATO's Supreme Allied Commander, General Grynkewich, would publish a new doctrine on warfare against Russia this week. According to him, preliminary information indicated that the doctrine would combine drone capabilities and traditional military force to stop Russia and for subsequent actions. #Nato #Venäjä #sotilasvoima #FI #RU (translated)

The author recounted asking Arto Luukkanen what the Russian military intelligence could do at its worst in Finland and what he would say to those who think he is trying to scare people. The author described Luukkanen's response as chilling and difficult to listen to but said that it is worth listening to. https://t.co/3gMN4FKdSd #Suomi #Venäjä #sotilastiedustelu #FI #RU (translated)

The author wrote that the situation, which had been ongoing from week to week, had begun to include the sinking of trade vessels from NATO countries, and asked how this should be responded to. According to him, the situation was being accepted as the new normal and continued as if nothing had happened. He stated that he did not support military power but considered that nothing followed from the decisions of politicians. #Nato #politiikka #rauha #FI #NATO (translated)

The author stated that the leaders of the Security Police and military intelligence had jointly opened up the situation to the Finnish people. He saw this as a strong message that the state was vigilant and that Finns also had reason to remain alert. https://t.co/bCxSJhqPj5 #Suomi #turvallisuus #tiedustelu #FI (translated)

Yaron Nadbornik asked why the United States did not label the events in Gaza as genocide, even though some researchers did. He estimated that the difference might be due to the U.S. military leadership having access to real-time military intelligence, such as satellite imagery and intelligence cooperation, which civilian researchers, according to him, did not have. He also noted that many researchers specialized in other topics. Nadbornik argued that criticism cited organizations and institutions as needed, which had expanded the interpretation of the concept of international genocide so that Israel's actions fit within it. He mentioned examples like Amnesty's report on page 101, B'Tselem's output, and a UN committee. Finally, Nadbornik described the media as a new Pravda and wrote that those who did not accept it deserved to be canceled. He compared political correctness to the Soviet Union and sarcastically noted that no researcher should be upset. https://t.co/2MNmZd6ulU #kansanmurha #Gazassa #politiikka (translated)