Dr. Rainer Zitelmann devised a scenario he refers to as the "script of horror": Manuela Schwesig would take over the SPD leadership in December and allow the coalition to collapse after a grace period. New elections could then take place at Easter 2027, with Schwesig potentially performing as successfully as she did in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. According to Zitelmann, the AfD could remain at around 30 percent, while the CDU/CSU under Chancellor Merz would likely drop to about 17 percent instead of the current 19 percent. Together, that would amount to 47 to 49 percent; however, since the CDU would not want to coalition with the AfD, a blockage would arise. The SPD could rise to over 20 percent with Schwesig as "Merkel 2.0," compared to the current 13 percent. She would position herself as an opponent of the AfD and promise social justice without social reforms or cuts. According to this scenario, the wealthy should bear the costs; media, trade unions, and NGOs would massively support Schwesig. After the election, Schwesig could, according to Zitelmann, negotiate with the Greens and the Left, to whom he attributed 15 and 11 percent respectively. A red-green-red coalition would therefore exceed 46 percent. If that were not enough, a split CDU/CSU could join as another junior partner. Zitelmann wrote that the Union is eager to continue governing and would secure positions and subordinate itself for that purpose. https://t.co/Ldys88KFJ4 #Politik #Deutschland #Wahlen (translated)
