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- El Niño is well-formed and rapidly strengthening. WMO forecasts indicate an almost 100% probability that it will last until February 2027, summarizes Celeste Saulo, the WMO Secretary-General, citing forecasts from 13 leading research institutions. #ElNiño #zmianyklimatyczne #ekologia (translated)

Extreme weather events are intensifying worldwide, resulting in school closures in Malaysia, restrictions on shipping through the Panama Canal, and a state of emergency in California, with forecasts suggesting they may peak in the record hot year 2026. #ElNiño #zmianyklimatyczne #ekologia (translated)

The author wrote that the WTO has raised its forecast for the growth of global merchandise trade volume to 3.9% from the earlier 1.9%. It also adjusted the forecast for 2027 to 4.1%, compared to the 2.6% projected in March. As the author noted, the changes were primarily based on the growing... (translated)

The author wrote that the German government raised its GDP growth forecast for this year from 0.5 to 1.3 percent, and for next year from 0.9 to 1.1 percent. He indicated that the economy is driven by state investments and assessed that the forecasts confirm that the war is harming the economy. #gospodarka #Niemcy #PKB #DE (translated)

In recent days, there have been 12 attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, which led to the sinking of one of them, and forecasts indicate further escalating incidents due to the tense situation between Iran and the USA. #cieśninaOrmuz #bezpieczeństwożeglugi #konfliktizraelskoirański (translated)

Rafał Komarewicz wrote that the Supreme Audit Office indicated the lack of doctors as the biggest problem in emergency services, while the Supreme Medical Chamber (NIL) was lobbying to limit the number of places in medical studies, citing its own forecasts of a surplus of doctors. He cited a county hospital as an example, where there was no radiologist at night, and the on-call doctor did not perform an ultrasound. Komarewicz claimed that 3.5-year-old Kacper with an intestinal obstruction could have been saved if the ultrasound had been performed earlier, rather than during resuscitation. The NIL was accused of limiting access to the profession and not holding consequences for mistakes, and its actions were described as a pathological monopoly. According to him, without breaking this monopoly, no reform will bring results. #Zdrowie #Ratownictwo #Lekarze (translated)

JLL experts predict that in 2027, the sale of apartments in the housing market will not increase, and in an optimistic scenario, it will remain stable or slightly decrease due to the negative geopolitical and macroeconomic environment. #Nieruchomości #SprzedażMieszkań #PrognozyRynkowe (translated)

The race is on! According to the latest forecast from the International Monetary Fund, the Polish economy will surpass Switzerland in terms of nominal GDP in 2027. "The race is on! According to the latest forecast from the International Monetary Fund, the Polish economy will surpass Switzerland in terms of nominal GDP in 2027," wrote Finance Minister Andrzej Domański on platform X, commenting on these forecasts. #PolskaGospodarka #PKB #MFW (translated)

The author wrote that trade in goods turned out to be more resilient to disruptions than was anticipated in March, which led the World Trade Organization to raise its forecast for the growth of its volume in 2026. At the same time, it lowered the forecast for trade in services. #handel #WTO #prognozy #PL (translated)

The author of the entry stated that the WTO has raised its forecast for the growth of global merchandise trade volume to 3.9 percent from the previous 1.9 percent. The forecast for 2027 has been revised to 4.1 percent, compared to the 2.6 percent projected in March. The entry indicated that the changes were based mainly on a sharp increase, without specifying what it referred to. #WTO #handel #gospodarka #PL (translated)

In September 2026, Katowice Airport served a record number of over 915,000 passengers, which means an increase of 3.2% compared to the same month of the previous year, but forecasts indicate a slowdown in growth in the fourth quarter due to the geopolitical situation and fuel prices. #KatowiceAirport #turystyka #lotnictwo (translated)

The algorithm used in the Deep Risk Recidivism Assessment System (PSORR) raises controversies due to a lack of transparency and doubts regarding its impact on forecasts concerning prisoners, which prompted the Helsinki Foundation for Human Rights to intervene and file a complaint with the court after the Ministry of Justice refused to disclose key information. #PSORR #recydywa #prawoczłowieka (translated)

The author of the entry claimed that Andrzej Domański revealed the KO program aimed at reducing state expenditures by 210 billion zlotys, among other things, on social programs and investments. He also wrote that the budget deficit is expected to amount to 7.3% of GDP in 2027, and according to the government forecast, it will fall to 4.2% of GDP by 2030. #Polska #gospodarka #budżet #PL (translated)

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is facing criticism for unrealistic economic forecasts that have proven to be false over the past 18 months, as his confident assertions about the real estate market and gasoline prices have strayed significantly from reality. #Ekonomika #Prognózy #Inflace (translated)