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The profile Só Quem é LULA 2026 stated that ICL Notícias had reported that Daniel Vorcaro, the owner of Banco Master, paid R$ 10 million per year to CNN and demanded to approve the questions before interviews. According to the profile, executives from the channel frequently asked for money, and an executive from Master allegedly described CNN as a recurring source of money requests. The author also accused CNN of giving space to Roberta Luchsinger to make accusations against Lula and Lulinha without presenting evidence, documents, or facts. It was stated that Vorcaro financed the channel and that Flávio traveled by private jet with him and negotiated millions with Banco Master. In the profile's assessment, Roberta's interview was not journalism but a service rendered; it also claimed that CNN charged instead of interviewing. The publication also mentioned the hashtags #DebateNaBand, #UmaSemanaParaOTetra, #AtoPelaDemocracia, #ElesPoderiamEstarVivos, and #VacinaSalvaVidaBolsonaroTira, in addition to Haddad, Roberta Luchsinger, Lulinha, Ministry of Prosperity, Pablo Marçal, Marcelo Aguiar, Collor, Nexus, PoderData, Bolsonaro, and Globo, in a series of references to topics and people that, according to the author, appeared in the debate or trends. In the end, it requested that the content be shared before it disappeared. #CNN #Imprensa #Jornalismo (translated)

Dawisson Belém Lopes wrote that research results could appear as 50/50 on PoderData or 52/48 on Nexus, but they would be statistically equivalent. Therefore, he stated, it was important to observe the trend: Nexus would be closer to the average, while PoderData would be going in the opposite direction. #Pesquisas #Estatística #Tendências (translated)

The Political Axis published numbers from a BTG/Nexus survey for the second round of the 2026 elections. Among valid votes, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) had 50.3%, a decrease of 1.7 points, and Lula (PT) had 49.7%, an increase of 1.7 points. In total votes, Bolsonaro had 46.5% (−1.4) and Lula had 45.9% (+0.8). Blank and null votes accounted for 4.7% (no variation), while 2.9% were undecided (+0.6). According to the publication, the survey was conducted by phone between October 16 and 18, with 2,002 respondents and a margin of error of ±2 percentage points. The registration with the TSE was BR-04499/2026. #Eleições2026 #Brasil #Votação (translated)

She cited research from BTG/Nexus, AtlasIntel, and PoderData/AYA about the second round. According to the figures she presented, Flávio Bolsonaro had 50.3% of the valid votes against 49.7% for Lula in the first; 51.1% against 48.9% in the second; and 52% against 48% in the third. She noted that Flávio was leading in all three, but said that nothing was guaranteed and argued that supporters should maintain their mobilization to remove Lula from political life. #Eleições2024 #FlávioBolsonaro #Lula (translated)

Political Analysis stated that three polls released that day showed a tie between Flávio and Lula in Nexus, at 50% for each, with variations of -2 and +2, respectively. In Atlas, Flávio had 51% (-2) and Lula, 49% (+2); in PoderData, Flávio appeared with 52% (+2) and Lula with 48% (-2). According to the publication, the average was 51% for Flávio and 49% for Lula, before the Band debate and the adjustment of the Bolsa Família, which began that day. #Pesquisas #Eleições2024 #Brasil (translated)

Pedro Albuquerque F stated that even the most favorable polls for Lula were unable to help him. According to him, Nexus showed a tie at 50% to 50% and had underestimated Flávio by 8 points in the first round; Atlas indicated Flávio with 51% and Lula with 49%, after underestimating him by 5 points; and PoderData showed Flávio with 52% and Lula with 48%, after underestimating him by 4 points. Albuquerque F added that, despite the historical underestimation of Flávio, all still indicated a tie or advantage for him. #Eleições2023 #PolíticaBrasileira #Lula (translated)

Dcmonline reported that the rejection of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) fell in the BTG/Nexus poll released on Monday (19), one week before the elections. According to the publication, the percentage of voters who said they would "definitely not" vote for him decreased from 50.6% on October 13 to 47.8%, a reduction of 2.8 percentage points. The rejection of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) was 46.8%, compared to 47% in the previous round, added dcmonline. https://t.co/WiyoZdHNiL #Eleições2022 #Lula #PolíticaBrasileira (translated)

Vitor de Lucca stated that PoderData and Nexus conducted surveys during the same period, but said that the lack of disclosure of decimal numbers and total votes by PoderData prevented a complete comparison. He classified Nexus's survey as of higher quality and considered the decision of the institute to disclose the decimals when the election became tighter to be correct. De Lucca also wrote that, in the last week, the priority should be to try to convert votes and share excerpts of the debate on social media, instead of worrying about surveys. He recommended paying special attention to Facebook, which he described as a bubble of the right, and said that the left was forgetting that many people still use the platform. #Eleições2023 #PesquisaEleitoral #VotoConsciente (translated)

Janoninho stated that a BTG/Nexus survey released that day showed Flávio declining and Lula rising, tied in the second round. In the stimulated valid votes, Flávio had 50.3%, a drop of 1.3 points, and Lula had 49.7%, a rise of 1.3 points. In the spontaneous survey, the author reported a tie of 50% to 50% between the two and also mentioned numbers of 44.5% for each. Janoninho said that Flávio was losing momentum in the final stretch and called on voters to vote for Lula on the 25th, associating the candidacy with the number 13. #Eleições2023 #Lula #Flávio (translated)

The Political Analysis stated that voters from the so-called third way supported the end of the 6x1 shift. According to data from NEXUS cited in the publication, the proposal was approved by 92% of those who voted for Lula, 39% of those who voted for Flávio, 71% of those who chose other candidates, and 68% of those who did not vote or annulled their votes. The author also assessed that very liberal voters had already voted for Flávio in the first round, while the others remained in contention. He added that Lula could gain votes from voters of other candidates and from those who annulled or abstained if he prioritized labor and social issues in the final stretch. #Política #Eleições2024 #Trabalho (translated)

Lázaro Rosa stated that a BTG/NEXUS poll for the second round indicated a tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in valid votes. According to the numbers he published, Flávio had 50.3%, with a decrease of 1.3 percentage points, and Lula, 49.7%, with an increase of 1.3 points. Rosa said that the difference had dropped from 3.2% to 0.6% and reported a margin of error of 2%. He also urged supporters to continue working with even more intensity. #Eleições2024 #Brasileiros #Política (translated)

Lucas Mourão stated that the Nexus poll was favorable to Lula: according to him, the gap, previously 2.6 percentage points, dropped to 0.6 in less than a week, with the result at 50.3 to 49.7. He wrote that if the trend continued in the next polls, Lula could “incorporate Gabigol 2019 in Lima.” #Lula #Pesquisa #Eleições2024 (translated)

Elections Research reported that, in a BTG/NEXUS survey on the second round of the presidential election in Brazil, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) had 50.3% of valid votes and Lula (PT) had 49.7%, without rounding. According to the publication, Flávio dropped 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous round, while Lula gained 1.3 points, leaving the two separated by 0.6 points. The survey was conducted from October 16 to 18, 2026, with 2,002 interviews, a margin of error of ±2 percentage points, and a confidence level of 95%. The registration in the TSE reported was BR-04499/2026. Elections Research stated that the result, on its own, did not allow for the identification of a winner. #Eleições2026 #Pesquisa #Brasil (translated)

Vitor de Lucca released numbers from a BTG/NEXUS survey about President Lula, comparing the periods from October 10 to 12 and from October 16 to 18. According to the data he published, 48.8% disapproved of the president, a decrease of 1.1%, while 47.2% approved of him, an increase of 1.9%. Another 4.1% did not know or did not respond, a drop of 0.7%. In the evaluation of the government, 42.9% classified the administration as bad or terrible, a decrease of 2.0%; 32.4% as excellent or good, a decrease of 1.4%; and 23.6% as regular, an increase of 3.4%. The percentage of those who did not know or did not respond was 1.0%, with no variation. De Lucca reported that the survey interviewed 2,002 people, had a margin of error of 2%, a confidence level of 95%, and was registered with the TSE under number BR-04499/2026. #Lula #Pesquisa #Aprovação (translated)