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The author of the entry accused Bogucki, head of Nawrocki's office, of re-publishing a fragment of Nawrocki's speech from Stargard on October 2nd on October 6th. He pointed out that the day before, Nawrocki had said in his message that he did not want "an ongoing political war," and the following day blamed Donald Tusk's government for public finance problems and stated that the government was indebting Poles by 900 million zł daily, while every day "2000 apartments" were being lost. The author questioned these calculations. He wrote that 900 million zł daily would mean about 328.5 billion zł annually, while the maximum budget deficit for 2026 is noted to be 271.7 billion zł, or about 744 million zł daily. He added that according to data from the Ministry of Finance, the debt of the sector of government and local government institutions according to EU methodology increased in the first half of 2026 by 263.2 billion zł, which—he calculated—would be about 1.45 billion zł daily on average. He asked what category of debt, methodology, and period the 900 million zł figure referred to. Referring to the 2000 apartments daily, the author calculated that at the amount of 900 million zł, it would mean 450,000 zł per apartment. He assessed such a comparison as lacking economic value without indicating which state expenditures should be limited or what revenues should be increased. He noted that a deficit means that expenditures exceed revenues, and the expenditures funded by it include, among others, defense, benefits, healthcare, investments, and debt service. The author also questioned Nawrocki's statement that Tusk's government indebted Poles by 1 trillion zł within four years. He reminded that the government was appointed on December 13, 2023, and by the day of the speech in Stargard, on October 2, 2026, it had not even been in power for three full years. He added that the statement could refer to a forecast for four years, but—as he pointed out—Nawrocki did not present it as a forecast. #Polska #Polityka #FinansePubliczne (translated)

The documentary 'NAZA', directed by Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor, presents striking testimonies from anonymous members of the Israeli army about the methodology of mass extermination in Gaza, provoking a deep reflection on the dehumanization of the conflict and outrage at the brutality of war. #NAZA #Documental #Gaza (translated)

Javier Milei described a confession from Pagni as valuable and stated that, in his opinion, it revealed his character and a cowardly strategy. He also insulted Fernán Saguier in vulgar terms, whom he presented as a refuge of that methodology, and asserted that appearances were falling apart. He closed with the acronym VLLC. #Confesión #Verdad #Desenmascarar (translated)

The Elections Research published numbers from a Datafolha survey for the government of Ceará in which Elmano de Freitas (PT) appeared with 50% of valid votes, compared to 47% for Ciro Gomes (PSDB). Delegate Huggo (Mission), Vera Lúcia (New) and Zé Batista (PSTU) each had 1%. Compared to the previous numbers presented, Elmano rose by 2 points, Ciro dropped by 2, Huggo and Vera Lúcia remained unchanged, and Zé Batista advanced by 1 point. In total voting intention, Elmano recorded 46% (+3) and Ciro, 44% (stable). Delegate Huggo, Vera Lúcia, and Zé Batista each had 1%; blank, null, or none totaled 4% (-2), and undecided voters made up 3% (-2). The publication stated that the race was focused on the two main candidates and compared the data to a survey from September, in which Ciro was ahead by 44% to 43%. It also noted that the three-point difference between the leaders was not fully covered by the reported margin of error, which was ±2 points, and that formal interpretation depended on the specific margin and methodology of the survey. According to the published technical sheet, the survey was commissioned by O POVO and conducted on October 2 and 3, 2026, with 1,560 interviews, a margin of error of ±2 percentage points, a confidence level of 95%, and registrations with the TSE CE-09234/2026 and BR-06469/2026. #Eleições2026 #Ceará #Datafolha (translated)

The polls this year have a bias... What we are seeing in some polls in Brazil goes through a methodology called likely voters. Basically, the institutes try to estimate not only who the voter intends to vote for, but also the probability that this voter will actually show up at the polls. And here's an important point: Lula performs very strongly among lower-income voters, a segment that has historically been more prone to abstention. When this factor enters the model, the tendency is to reduce his advantage and create an appearance of greater closeness to Flávio. Does that make sense? More or less... The problem is that this type of methodology depends on something extremely difficult: predicting today who will effectively vote on Election Sunday. And 2026 may have a completely different dynamic from 2022. What we are seeing in terms of mobilization in the streets in favor of Lula, for example, is something that must be taken into account. Mobilization also affects the voter’s willingness to leave home to vote. Therefore, I have my doubts about to what extent this "likely voter" model will be able to accurately capture this election. The traditional method of voting intention has always worked in Brazil. In 2022, we had a very specific context, including PRF operations involving the transportation of voters that led the TSE itself to intervene during the second round. This needs to be remembered when someone tries to use that election as an absolute parameter to project abstention in 2026. So I would be very cautious with polls that try to turn voting intention into predictions of turnout. After all, polls measure intention. Who will or will not step outside on election day is a variable that is much more difficult to predict. #Eleições2026 #Voto #PesquisaEleitoral (translated)

Eu fico incrédulo com o sofrível jornalismo da Daniela Lima. Ela começou o programa dela falando que não era fake news que a igreja católica estava preocupada com a questão na Nossa Senhora Aparecida. Que existiam estudos e documentos da igreja católica sobre o assunto. Daí ela mostra os tais "estudos" e os "documentos" e eles são: > POSTS no site da CNBB. > 2 documentos aleatórios de propostas de discussão para grupos de estudos da CNBB > Um artigo sobre catolicismo nas comunidades em 2008. Ela pega posts no site da CNBB e documentos aleatórios, junta tudo isso e diz "olha aí, a IGREJA católica está preocupada com essa questão, sim" Não tem metodologia, não tem recorte, não tem análise, não tem crítica, não tem nada. Ainda diz "IGREJA CATÓLICA VIU 'APITO DE CACHORRO' EM FALA DE FLÁVIO BOLSONARO" É tão bizarro que chega a dar pena. #jornalismo #fakeNews #IgrejaCatólica

Jorge Jesus é meu ídolo e eu posso te provar: a redução do limite de estrangeiros não possui nenhuma relação com os processos de formação. São discussões diferentes. A formação passa por estrutura, captação, metodologia e tempo de desenvolvimento. https://t.co/RUNXkURpxj #JorgeJesus #futebol #formação

Nowy szef przygotowania fizycznego pierwszego zespołu całkowicie przeformułował całą metodologię pracy, co przyniosło absolutnie wyjątkowe rezultaty. Benjamin Kugel przybył do FC Barcelony tego lata na prośbę Hansiego Flicka. Niemiecki trener chciał nowego podejścia do przygotowania fizycznego. Kugel nie miał praktycznie żadnych problemów z adaptacją. Po pierwsze, ponieważ bardzo dobrze zna swojego rodaka Flicka – pracowali razem w reprezentacji Niemiec – a po drugie, ponieważ mówi doskonale po hiszpańsku, dzięki latom spędzonym w Kostaryce jako student. Jego metodologia koncentruje się na pomaganiu piłkarzom w osiągnięciu pełnego potencjału fizycznego, oferując jasne programy treningowe dopasowane do indywidualnych potrzeb i wymagań każdego zawodnika. Na początek w dużej mierze zrezygnował z gum oporowych i pasów jako narzędzi do treningu siłowego na siłowni, powracając do hantli. Tylko nieliczni zawodnicy, jak Pedri, stosują program treningowy z gumami, ponieważ okazał się on dla niego korzystny, ale on jest jednym z nielicznych wyjątków. Wdrożono również ćwiczenia regeneracyjne po meczu. Wszyscy zawodnicy, zarówno zawodnicy pierwszego składu, jak i rezerwowi, wykonują serię ćwiczeń siłowych, uwzględniając swój czas gry; intensywność ćwiczeń jest znacznie wyższa dla rezerwowych niż dla zawodników pierwszego składu. Kugel chce wiedzieć wszystko o swoich zawodnikach, dlatego też stara się zawsze utrzymywać bliski dialog, aby zrozumieć i zinterpretować stan fizyczny każdego piłkarza zdając sobie sprawę, że są dni, kiedy można zwiększyć wysiłek fizyczny na siłowni, a inne, kiedy należy go zmniejszyć. Nie ma wątpliwości, że niemiecki trener przygotowania fizycznego zaliczył fantastyczny debiut w szatni. Zawodnicy czują się, jakby lecieli na boisku, a drużyna fizycznie przytłacza przeciwników. Największym wyzwaniem dla Flicka i Kugla będzie utrzymanie tej intensywności przez cały sezon. [@fansjavimiguel - @diarioas] (2️⃣) 🏋️ #FCBarcelona #trening #fizjologia

Cała ta drama z doktoratem Jakuba Wiecha niestety jest kolejnym dowodem na to, że polska nauka zżerana jest od środka problemami organizacyjnymi i funkcjonalnymi, których w żaden sposób nie idzie rozwiązać jedynie postulatem „dofinansowania”. Według wiedzy na dzień dzisiejszy możemy już zidentyfikować następujące problemy: - Doktorant był źle prowadzony przez promotora. - Doktorant nie został należycie zapoznany z metodologią pracy naukowej i nie wypracował przez lata krytycznego warsztatu badawczego. - Doktorat przeszedł przez system antyplagiatowy, mimo że ma mocno wątpliwe fragmenty. - Recenzenci byli nad wyraz optymistyczni i nie pokazali widocznych na pierwszy rzut oka wad rozprawy; nie po to, aby ją „uwalić”, ale sprawiedliwie ocenić. - Prawdziwa próba weryfikacji doktoratu, która też wymaga kontroli, została sporządzona w dużej mierze przez model AI, a nie człowieka, który dogłębnie przeczytał rozprawę i ją rozumie jako naukowiec. - Doktorant był maglowany 6h (sic!) na obronie, aby czterech członków komisji, czyli względna większość, wstrzymało się taktycznie od głosu (sic!). - Podczas obrony dochodzi do serii skandalicznych wpisów jakiegoś frustrata na X, który o ile ma nawet prawo prywatnie nienawidzić Jakuba Wiecha, tak jego obecność na tym wydarzeniu jest cyrkiem dla małp a nie rzetelną próbą naukowej debaty. - Ostateczna decyzja o nadaniu stopnia naukowego zostanie podjęta w kuluarach naukowych i niezależnie od prób ujawnienia szczegółów, będzie już na zawsze budziła poważne kontrowersje; nie bez przyczyny. Najgorsze jednak jest to, że większość ludzi ma w dupie poziom nauki i doktoratów, naukowcy w Polsce o tym doskonale wiedzą, dlatego powstał taki system, którego funkcje kontrolne działają z czystego przypadku albo jako element gry personalnej. Jeśli to nie jest bantustan w sercu Europy, to powiedzcie mi co nim jest. #nauka #doktorat #Polska

Investigadores españoles han descubierto un error metodológico en el informe PISA de la OCDE, revelando que los resultados de los estudiantes de clases acomodadas no están disminuyendo más que los de los de clases bajas, como se había afirmado anteriormente. #PISA #Educación #Metodología

Quando as pesquisas do mercado ficam resignadas e proclamam um “quadro inalterado” é porque já estão fazendo o pouso do ajuste de chegada. Pra não ficar tão feia a manipulação de metodologia e distribuição. Sabem que CNT/MDA só semana que vem. E sabem que pode, sim, dar Lula reeleito no 1º turno. O consórcio Mendonça-Globo-pesquisas derreteu sem produzir nenhum resultado. Bora, Lula! #Lula #Eleições2022 #Política

Mi sbilancio un po': ritengo che la sottovalutazione del controllo metodologico delle consulenze difensive abbia il potenziale di diventare una Caporetto giuridico-scientifica. Se i metodi saranno smontati scientificamente dalla Procura, addio al sogno di perizie. #garlasco #giustizia #consulenze #metodologia

Continuar falando de Daniel Vorcaro, do Master e de todos esses casos já não está diminuindo voto do Flávio, isso está evidente, e também não está aumentando voto para o presidente Lula. As pessoas têm carência de projeto, de proposta, de futuro. Uma grande parte da classe média, e principalmente os jovens, que são votos que a gente também precisa disputar, quer ouvir sobre um projeto de futuro que não seja apenas comida na mesa. Isso é real. O povo quer comida, mas também quer diversão, arte, quer comprar seu apartamento, seu carro, viajar, viver melhor. Essa é a realidade do povo brasileiro. Por isso, a gente precisa apresentar propostas e medidas concretas que ajudem as pessoas a construir essa vida. E acabar com as bets é uma dessas medidas. É uma forma de enfrentar um problema que está levando muita gente ao vício e ao endividamento e ajudar as famílias a retomarem o controle da própria vida financeira. Bet não é economia. Podem dizer que time de futebol vai falir, que isso ou aquilo vai acontecer. Mas quem move este país é o povo. E o povo está sendo sufocado por muita coisa, inclusive pela desinformação. A gente precisa voltar para o eixo e voltar a falar de projeto de país, de futuro e de melhoria concreta da vida das pessoas. É isso que precisa estar no centro do debate. E a gente sabe também o que está em jogo quando se discute a volta da extrema-direita ao poder. O Brasil já viveu a fila do osso. E quer voltar pra morte da fome? Eu tenho falado isso há muito tempo. A gente pode continuar questionando metodologia de pesquisa, mas a realidade é que nenhuma está sendo boa. A única que trouxe um resultado melhor foi a CNT. Isso é um alerta. #Brasil #Política #Futuro

📊 ATLAS/BLOOMBERG | NACIONAL | PRESIDENTE Flávio Bolsonaro cresce 4,3 pontos e reduz a distância para Lula no 1º turno. O petista marca 44,1%, contra 41,7% do senador. No 2º turno, Flávio aparece numericamente à frente: 47,2% a 46,8%. ✅ 1º TURNO 🔴 Lula (PT): 44,1% (+1,1) 🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 41,7% (+4,3) 🟡 Renan Santos (Missão): 5,1% (-1,4) 🟢 Augusto Cury (Avante): 3,5% (-3,1) ⚪ Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 1,7% (+0,6) 🟠 Romeu Zema (Novo): 1,1% (-1,0) 🟣 Samara Martins (UP): 0,7% (-0,3) ⚫ Clariana Barão (DC): 0% (-0,3) ⬜ Branco/nulo: 1,6% (+1,0) ⬜ Não sabe: 0,5% (+0,1) ✅ 2º TURNO 🔵 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 47,2% (+0,8) 🔴 Lula (PT): 46,8% (+0,6) ⬜ Branco/nulo/não sabe: 6,0% (-1,4) ▶️ A principal mudança está no crescimento de Flávio no 1º turno, que reduz a diferença para Lula de 5,6 para 2,4 pontos. No confronto direto, os dois aparecem separados por apenas 0,4 ponto, dentro da margem de erro. 📋 FICHA TÉCNICA Instituto: AtlasIntel Contratante: Bloomberg Campo: 11 a 16 de setembro Amostra: 5.018 eleitores Metodologia: recrutamento digital aleatório (Atlas RDR) Margem de erro: 1 ponto percentual Confiança: 95% Registro TSE: consultar registro do levantamento #Eleições2024 #FlávioBolsonaro #Lula

🚨🚨🚨 A comissão técnica permanente continuará no clube Chegará com apenas 2 membros de comissão técnica o auxiliar e o preparador físico Tite assina o contrato e é anunciado oficialmente pelo Botafogo O objetivo do Botafogo é manter esse trabalho que se inicia até dezembro de 2028 pelo menos A intenção é que nunca mais a SAF perca processos, metodologias e “memória” na troca de treinadores #Botafogo #Futebol #Treinamento

Daniela Lima ignora números da Quaest e explica que essa pesquisa é contrata pela TV e não divulga o detalhamento das perguntas ou da metodologia, “então eu prefiro trabalhar com pesquisas que tem o total de informações liberadas”, diz. https://t.co/ND2MBGD6md #Pesquisa #Transparência #Mídia